Evidence map›Paper›PMID 38111972›Full record

ArticleAnnals of clinical and translational neurology2024

Serum glial fibrillary acidic protein and disability progression in progressive multiple sclerosis.

Ahmed Abdelhak, Kai Antweiler, Markus C Kowarik, Makbule Senel, Joachim Havla, Uwe K Zettl, Ingo Kleiter, Thomas Skripuletz, Axel Haarmann, Alexander Stahmann and 10 more

Open access · goldAbstract read
In one paragraph

Article in Annals of clinical and translational neurology, 2024. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 35 papers, 4 of them syntheses that pooled it.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
35citing papers in PubMed, 4 pooled it
9.2field-weighted citation impact, top 2% of its field
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

35 citing papers in PubMed, 4 syntheses or guidelines pooled it, 36 citations in OpenAlex.

  1. Prognostic value of neurofilament light chain protein and glial fibrillary acidic protein in multiple sclerosis subtypes and disease activity patterns: a systematic review and meta-analysis.Neurological sciences : official journal of the Italian Neurological Society and of the Italian Society of Clinical Neurophysiology · 2026
    Pooled it
  2. Pooled it
  3. Rituximab in secondary progressive multiple sclerosis: a meta-analysis.Annals of clinical and translational neurology · 2024
    Pooled it
  4. Pooled it
  5. Article
  6. Review
  7. Article
  8. Article
  9. A framework for blood biomarker discovery in MS.Multiple sclerosis (Houndmills, Basingstoke, England) · 2026
    Review
  10. Article
  11. Article
  12. Article
  13. Review
  14. Article
  15. Review
  16. Article
  17. Article
  18. Article
  19. Article
  20. Article
4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

20 authors at 10 institutions in 3 countries.

Ahmed AbdelhakDepartment of Neurology, University of California San Francisco (UCSF), San Francisco, California, USA.ORCID 0000-0001-9731-4169
Kai AntweilerDepartment of Medical Statistics, University Medical Centre Göttingen, Göttingen, Germany.
Markus C KowarikDepartment of Neurology and Stroke, University Hospital of Tübingen, Tübingen, Germany.
Makbule SenelDepartment of Neurology, University Hospital of Ulm, Ulm, Germany.ORCID 0000-0002-2737-7495
Joachim HavlaInstitute of Clinical Neuroimmunology, LMU Hospital, Ludwig-Maximilians University, Munich, Germany.
Uwe K ZettlDepartment of Neurology, Neuroimmunological Section, University of Rostock, Rostock, Germany.
Ingo KleiterMarianne-Strauß-Klinik, Behandlungszentrum Kempfenhausen für Multiple Sklerose Kranke gGmbH, Berg, Germany.
Thomas SkripuletzDepartment of Neurology, Hannover Medical School, Hanover, Germany.
Axel HaarmannDepartment of Neurology, University Hospital Würzburg, Würzburg, Germany.
Alexander StahmannForschungs- und Projektentwicklungs-gGmbH, MS-Registry by the German MS-Society, Hanover, Germany.
Andre HussDepartment of Neurology, University Hospital of Ulm, Ulm, Germany.
Stefan GingeleDepartment of Neurology, Hannover Medical School, Hanover, Germany.
Markus KrumbholzDepartment of Neurology and Stroke, University Hospital of Tübingen, Tübingen, Germany.
Pascal BenkertMultiple Sclerosis Centre and Research Center for Clinical Neuroimmunology and Neuroscience (RC2NB), Department of Biomedicine, University Hospital and University of Basel, Basel, Switzerland.
Jens KuhleMultiple Sclerosis Centre and Research Center for Clinical Neuroimmunology and Neuroscience (RC2NB), Department of Biomedicine, University Hospital and University of Basel, Basel, Switzerland.ORCID 0000-0002-6963-8892
Tim FriedeDepartment of Medical Statistics, University Medical Centre Göttingen, Göttingen, Germany.ORCID 0000-0001-5347-7441
Albert C LudolphDepartment of Neurology, University Hospital of Ulm, Ulm, Germany.
Ulf ZiemannDepartment of Neurology and Stroke, University Hospital of Tübingen, Tübingen, Germany.ORCID 0000-0001-8372-3615
Tania KümpfelInstitute of Clinical Neuroimmunology, LMU Hospital, Ludwig-Maximilians University, Munich, Germany.ORCID 0000-0001-7509-5268
Hayrettin TumaniDepartment of Neurology, University Hospital of Ulm, Ulm, Germany.
University Children's Hospital Tübingen · DEUniversity Hospital Ulm · DELudwig-Maximilians-Universität München · DEMedizinische Hochschule Hannover · DEUniversity of Basel · CHGerman Cancer Society · DEGerman Center for Neurodegenerative Diseases · DEUniversitätsklinikum Würzburg · DEUniversity of California, San Francisco · USUniversity of Rostock · DE

Funding

Aktion Multiple Sklerose Erkrankter Landesverband (AMSEL)Bayerische MS-StiftungDeutschen Multiple Sklerose Gesellschaft
6 · The paper itself

Abstract

objectiveProgression prediction is a significant unmet need in people with progressive multiple sclerosis (pwPMS). Studies on glial fibrillary acidic protein (GFAP) have either been limited to single center with relapsing MS or were based solely on Expanded Disability Status Scale (EDSS), which limits its generalizability to state-of-the-art clinical settings and trials applying combined outcome parameters.

methodsSerum GFAP and NfL (neurofilament light chain) were investigated in EmBioProMS participants with primary (PP) or secondary progressive MS. Six months confirmed disability progression (CDP) was defined using combined outcome parameters (EDSS, timed-25-foot walk test (T25FW), and nine-hole-peg-test (9HPT)).

results243 subjects (135 PPMS, 108 SPMS, age 55.5, IQR [49.7-61.2], 135 female, median follow-up: 29.3 months [17.9-40.9]) were included. NfL (age-) and GFAP (age- and sex-) adjusted Z scores were higher in pwPMS compared to HC (p < 0.001 for both). 111 (32.8%) CDP events were diagnosed in participants with ≥3 visits (n = 169). GFAP Z score >3 was associated with higher risk for CDP in participants with low NfL Z score (i.e., ≤1.0) (HR: 2.38 [1.12-5.08], p = 0.025). In PPMS, GFAP Z score >3 was associated with higher risk for CDP (HR: 2.88 [1.21-6.84], p = 0.016). Risk was further increased in PPMS subjects with high GFAP when NfL is low (HR: 4.31 [1.53-12.13], p = 0.006).

interpretationBlood GFAP may help identify pwPPMS at risk of progression. Combination of high GFAP and low NfL levels could distinguish non-active pwPMS with particularly high progression risk.

Indexed as

Multiple SclerosisMultiple Sclerosis, Chronic ProgressiveBiomarkersFemaleGlial Fibrillary Acidic ProteinHumansIntermediate FilamentsMaleMiddle AgedNeoplasm Recurrence, LocalBiomarkersGFAP protein, humanGlial Fibrillary Acidic Protein

Identifiers

PMID38111972
PMCPMC10863922
OpenAlexW4389951601

What OpenQuestion holds

Textmetadata
LicenceCC BY-NC-ND
Read underepoch 390

Registered trials

None linked

Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.