Evidence map›Paper›PMID 38110741›Full record

ArticleInternational journal of epidemiology2024

Lifetime risk of maternal near miss morbidity: a novel indicator of maternal health.

Ursula Gazeley, Antonino Polizzi, Julio E Romero-Prieto, José Manuel Aburto, Georges Reniers, Veronique Filippi

Open access · hybridAbstract readCase Reports
In one paragraph

Article in International journal of epidemiology, 2024. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 5 papers.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
5citing papers in PubMed
4.1field-weighted citation impact, top 6% of its field
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

5 citing papers in PubMed, 7 citations in OpenAlex.

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4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

6 authors at 3 institutions in 2 countries.

Ursula GazeleyDepartment of Infectious Disease Epidemiology, London School of Hygiene and Tropical Medicine, London, UK.ORCID 0000-0003-3309-7411
Antonino PolizziLeverhulme Centre for Demographic Science, Nuffield College and Department of Sociology, University of Oxford, Oxford, UK.ORCID 0000-0001-9169-8608
Julio E Romero-PrietoDepartment of Population Health, London School of Hygiene and Tropical Medicine, London, UK.ORCID 0000-0002-8131-7821
José Manuel AburtoDepartment of Population Health, London School of Hygiene and Tropical Medicine, London, UK.ORCID 0000-0002-2926-6879
Georges ReniersDepartment of Population Health, London School of Hygiene and Tropical Medicine, London, UK.ORCID 0000-0001-6582-1692
Veronique FilippiDepartment of Infectious Disease Epidemiology, London School of Hygiene and Tropical Medicine, London, UK.ORCID 0000-0003-1331-3391
London School of Hygiene & Tropical Medicine · GBLeverhulme Trust · GBUniversity of Southern Denmark · DK

Funding

European Union Horizon 2020 research and innovation programme Marie Curie Fellowship 896821
6 · The paper itself

Abstract

backgroundThe lifetime risk of maternal death quantifies the probability that a 15-year-old girl will die of a maternal cause in her reproductive lifetime. Its intuitive appeal means it is a widely used summary measure for advocacy and international comparisons of maternal health. However, relative to mortality, women are at an even higher risk of experiencing life-threatening maternal morbidity called 'maternal near miss' (MNM) events-complications so severe that women almost die. As maternal mortality continues to decline, health indicators that include information on both fatal and non-fatal maternal outcomes are required.

methodsWe propose a novel measure-the lifetime risk of MNM-to estimate the cumulative risk that a 15-year-old girl will experience a MNM in her reproductive lifetime, accounting for mortality between the ages 15 and 49 years. We apply the method to the case of Namibia (2019) using estimates of fertility and survival from the United Nations World Population Prospects along with nationally representative data on the MNM ratio.

resultsWe estimate a lifetime risk of MNM in Namibia in 2019 of between 1 in 40 and 1 in 35 when age-disaggregated MNM data are used, and 1 in 38 when a summary estimate for ages 15-49 years is used. This compares to a lifetime risk of maternal death of 1 in 142 and yields a lifetime risk of severe maternal outcome (MNM or death) of 1 in 30.

conclusionsThe lifetime risk of MNM is an urgently needed indicator of maternal morbidity because existing measures (the MNM ratio or rate) do not capture the cumulative risk over the reproductive life course, accounting for fertility and mortality levels.

Indexed as

Maternal DeathNear Miss, HealthcarePregnancy ComplicationsAdolescentAdultFemaleHumansMaternal HealthMaternal MortalityMiddle AgedMorbidityYoung Adultdemographic methodslifetime riskMaternal healthmaternal morbiditymaternal mortalitymaternal near miss

Identifiers

PMID38110741
PMCPMC11212495
OpenAlexW4389958820

What OpenQuestion holds

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LicenceCC BY
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Registered trials

None linked

Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.