ArticleNature communications2023
Integrating climate change induced flood risk into future population projections.
Article in Nature communications, 2023. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 9 papers.
What it found
Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.
The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.
The trial behind it
Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.
Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.
Who cites it
9 citing papers in PubMed.
- Spatiotemporal dynamics of population change in flood risk zones of the Pearl River Delta (1985-2024).Scientific reports · 2026Article
- Deep learning completes US flood hazard maps revealing millions exposed to previously unrecognized risk.Nature communications · 2026Article
- Rising urban flood risk and exposure under shared socioeconomic pathways in Greater Accra Ghana.Scientific reports · 2026Article
- Inferring fine-grained migration patterns across the United States.Nature communications · 2025Article
- Barriers to quantifying human alterations of global floodplains and how we can overcome them.Cell reports sustainability · 2025Article
- Future flooding tolerant rice germplasm: Resilience afforded beyond Sub1A gene.The plant genome · 2025Article
- Understanding the environmental health implications of tourism on carbon emissions in China.Frontiers in public health · 2025Article
- Exodus of the affluent? examining climate hazards, migration, and household income in the U.S.Population and environment · 2025Article
- Revisiting FR13A for submergence tolerance: beyond the SUB1A gene.Journal of experimental botany · 2024Article
Corrections and comments
PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.
Authors and funding
9 authors.
Funding
No grant is acknowledged in the PubMed record.
Abstract
Flood exposure has been linked to shifts in population sizes and composition. Traditionally, these changes have been observed at a local level providing insight to local dynamics but not general trends, or at a coarse resolution that does not capture localized shifts. Using historic flood data between 2000-2023 across the Contiguous United States (CONUS), we identify the relationships between flood exposure and population change. We demonstrate that observed declines in population are statistically associated with higher levels of historic flood exposure, which may be subsequently coupled with future population projections. Several locations have already begun to see population responses to observed flood exposure and are forecasted to have decreased future growth rates as a result. Finally, we find that exposure to high frequency flooding (5 and 20-year return periods) results in 2-7% lower growth rates than baseline projections. This is exacerbated in areas with relatively high exposure to frequent flooding where growth is expected to decline over the next 30 years.
Identifiers
What OpenQuestion holds
Registered trials
Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.