Evidence map›Paper›PMID 38102868›Full record

ArticlePaediatric and perinatal epidemiology2024

Bias analyses to investigate the impact of differential participation: Application to a birth defects case-control study.

Julie M Petersen, Jacob C Kahrs, Nedghie Adrien, Mollie E Wood, Andrew F Olshan, Louisa H Smith, Meredith M Howley, Elizabeth C Ailes, Paul A Romitti, Amy H Herring and 4 more

Open access · greenAbstract read
In one paragraph

Article in Paediatric and perinatal epidemiology, 2024. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 3 papers.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
3citing papers in PubMed
1.0field-weighted citation impact, top 21% of its field
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

3 citing papers in PubMed, 4 citations in OpenAlex.

  1. A Scoping Review of 5-HTPharmacoepidemiology and drug safety · 2026
    Article
  2. Article
  3. Article
4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

14 authors at 10 institutions in 1 country.

Julie M PetersenDivision for Surveillance, Research, and Promotion of Perinatal Health, Massachusetts Department of Public Health, Boston, Massachusetts, USA.ORCID https://orcid.org/0000-0001-7845-4545
Jacob C KahrsDepartment of Epidemiology, Gillings School of Global Public Health, University of North Carolina at Chapel Hill, Chapel Hill, North Carolina, USA.ORCID https://orcid.org/0000-0001-7171-2652
Nedghie AdrienDivision for Surveillance, Research, and Promotion of Perinatal Health, Massachusetts Department of Public Health, Boston, Massachusetts, USA.ORCID https://orcid.org/0000-0003-1565-5352
Mollie E WoodDepartment of Epidemiology, Gillings School of Global Public Health, University of North Carolina at Chapel Hill, Chapel Hill, North Carolina, USA.ORCID https://orcid.org/0000-0002-9302-2641
Andrew F OlshanDepartment of Epidemiology, Gillings School of Global Public Health, University of North Carolina at Chapel Hill, Chapel Hill, North Carolina, USA.ORCID https://orcid.org/0000-0001-9115-5128
Louisa H SmithDepartment of Health Sciences, Bouvé College of Health Sciences, Northeastern University, Boston, Massachusetts, USA.ORCID https://orcid.org/0000-0001-9029-4644
Meredith M HowleyBirth Defects Registry, New York State Department of Health, Albany, New York, USA.ORCID https://orcid.org/0000-0002-8420-5040
Elizabeth C AilesNational Center on Birth Defects and Developmental Disabilities, Centers for Disease Control and Prevention, Atlanta, Georgia, USA.
Paul A RomittiDepartment of Epidemiology, College of Public Health, University of Iowa, Iowa City, Iowa, USA.ORCID https://orcid.org/0000-0001-5393-9984
Amy H HerringDepartment of Statistical Science, Duke University, Durham, North Carolina, USA.ORCID https://orcid.org/0000-0003-1552-8871
Samantha E ParkerDepartment of Epidemiology, Boston University School of Public Health, Boston, Massachusetts, USA.ORCID https://orcid.org/0000-0002-7193-077X
Gary M ShawDivision of Neonatology, Department of Pediatrics, Stanford University School of Medicine, Stanford, California, USA.ORCID https://orcid.org/0000-0001-7438-4914
Maria D PolitisArkansas Center for Birth Defects Research and Prevention, Fay W. Boozman College of Public Health, University of Arkansas for Medical Sciences, Little Rock, Arkansas, USA.ORCID https://orcid.org/0000-0002-7511-8383
National Birth Defects Prevention Study
University of North Carolina at Chapel Hill · USBoston University · USCenters for Disease Control and Prevention · USDuke University · USMassachusetts Department of Public Health · USNew York State Department of Health · USNortheastern University · USStanford Medicine · USUniversity of Arkansas for Medical Sciences · USUniversity of Iowa · US

Funding

BD-STEPS II (Birth Defects Study To Evaluate Pregnancy exposures) - Core (Component A) & Steps Stillbirth (Component B)U01DD001224 · DD · MASSACHUSETTS STATE DEPT OF PUB HEALTH · PI MITCHELL, ALLEN A, YAZDY, MAHSA M · 2018 to 2022
$6.5M
New York State Component A: BD-STEPS II CoreU01DD001227 · DD · CENTER OF ENVIRONMENTAL HEALTH · PI HOWLEY, MEREDITH M · 2018 to 2022
$4.2M
Massachusetts Stillbirth Risk Factor Pilot ProjectU01DD001037 · DD · MASSACHUSETTS STATE DEPT OF PUB HEALTH · PI YAZDY, MAHSA M, YAZDY, MAHSA M · 2013 to 2017
$4.2M
New York State BD-STEPSU01DD001032 · DD · CENTER OF ENVIRONMENTAL HEALTH · PI BROWNE, MARILYN L. · 2013 to 2017
$3.5M
Massachusetts Center for Birth Defects Research and Prevention: Birth Defects Study To Evaluate Pregnancy exposureS (BD STEPS Core and Stillbirth)U01DD001300 · DD · MASSACHUSETTS STATE DEPT OF PUB HEALTH · PI WERLER, MARTHA M., YAZDY, MAHSA M · 2023 to 2025
$2.6M
New York State BD-STEPS: Component A and BU01DD001304 · DD · NYSDOH/HEALTH RESEARCH, INC. · PI HOWLEY, MEREDITH M · 2023 to 2025
$2.6M
CDC HHSIntramural CDC HHS CC999999NCBDD CDC HHS U01 DD001032NCBDD CDC HHS U01 DD001037NCBDD CDC HHS U01 DD001224NCBDD CDC HHS U01 DD001226NCBDD CDC HHS U01 DD001227NCBDD CDC HHS U01 DD001300NCBDD CDC HHS U01 DD001302NCBDD CDC HHS U01 DD001304
6 · The paper itself

Abstract

backgroundCertain associations observed in the National Birth Defects Prevention Study (NBDPS) contrasted with other research or were from areas with mixed findings, including no decrease in odds of spina bifida with periconceptional folic acid supplementation, moderately increased cleft palate odds with ondansetron use and reduced hypospadias odds with maternal smoking.

objectivesTo investigate the plausibility and extent of differential participation to produce effect estimates observed in NBDPS.

methodsWe searched the literature for factors related to these exposures and participation and conducted deterministic quantitative bias analyses. We estimated case-control participation and expected exposure prevalence based on internal and external reports, respectively. For the folic acid-spina bifida and ondansetron-cleft palate analyses, we hypothesized the true odds ratio (OR) based on prior studies and quantified the degree of exposure over- (or under-) representation to produce the crude OR (cOR) in NBDPS. For the smoking-hypospadias analysis, we estimated the extent of selection bias needed to nullify the association as well as the maximum potential harmful OR.

resultsUnder our assumptions (participation, exposure prevalence, true OR), there was overrepresentation of folic acid use and underrepresentation of ondansetron use and smoking among participants. Folic acid-exposed spina bifida cases would need to have been ≥1.2× more likely to participate than exposed controls to yield the observed null cOR. Ondansetron-exposed cleft palate cases would need to have been 1.6× more likely to participate than exposed controls if the true OR is null. Smoking-exposed hypospadias cases would need to have been ≥1.2 times less likely to participate than exposed controls for the association to falsely appear protective (upper bound of selection bias adjusted smoking-hypospadias OR = 2.02).

conclusionsDifferential participation could partly explain certain associations observed in NBDPS, but questions remain about why. Potential impacts of other systematic errors (e.g. exposure misclassification) could be informed by additional research.

Indexed as

Folic AcidHypospadiasOndansetronSpinal DysraphismBiasCase-Control StudiesCleft PalateCongenital AbnormalitiesDietary SupplementsFemaleHumansInfant, NewbornMaleOdds RatioPregnancySmokingFolic AcidOndansetronbiascongenital abnormalitiesdifferential participationquantitative bias analysisselection biassensitivity analysis

Identifiers

PMID38102868
PMCPMC11301528
OpenAlexW4389833403

What OpenQuestion holds

Textmetadata
LicenceTDM
Read underepoch 390

Registered trials

None linked

Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.