Evidence map›Paper›PMID 38102539›Full record

ArticleBMC medical research methodology2023

Better performance for right-skewed data using an alternative gamma model.

Peter Veazie, Orna Intrator, Bruce Kinosian, Ciaran S Phibbs

Abstract read
In one paragraph

Article in BMC medical research methodology, 2023. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 9 papers.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
9citing papers in PubMed
–field-weighted citation impact
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

9 citing papers in PubMed.

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4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

4 authors.

Peter VeazieCanandaigua Veterans Affairs Medical Center, 400 Fort Hill Ave., Canandaigua, New York, 14424, USA. peter_veazie@urmc.rochester.edu.
Orna IntratorCanandaigua Veterans Affairs Medical Center, 400 Fort Hill Ave., Canandaigua, New York, 14424, USA.
Bruce KinosianCpl Michael J. Crescenz Veterans Affairs Medical Center, 3900 Woodland Ave, Philadelphia, PA, 19104, USA.
Ciaran S PhibbsPalo Alto Veterans Affairs Health Care System, 750 Willow Road (MPD 152), Menlo Park, CA, 94025, USA.

Funding

U.S. Department of Veterans Affairs HSR&D IIR 16-240
6 · The paper itself

Abstract

backgroundThe Maximum Likelihood Estimator (MLE) for parameters of the gamma distribution is commonly used to estimate models of right-skewed variables such as costs, hospital length of stay, and appointment wait times in Economics and Healthcare research. The common specification for this estimator assumes the variance is proportional to the square of the mean, which underlies estimation and specification tests. We present a specification in which the variance is directly proportional to the mean.

methodsWe used simulation experiments to investigate finite sample results, and we used United States Department of Veterans Affairs (VA) healthcare cost data as an empirical example comparing the fit and predictive ability of the models.

resultsSimulation showed the MLE based on a correctly specified alternative has less parameter bias, lower standard errors, and less skewness in distribution than a misspecified standard model. The application to VA healthcare cost data showed the alternative specification can have better R square, smaller root mean squared error, and smaller mean residuals within deciles of predicted values.

conclusionsThe alternative gamma specification can be a useful alternative to the standard specification for estimating models of right-skewed continuous variables.

Indexed as

Health Care CostsHealth Services ResearchComputer SimulationHumansGamma distributionGeneralized Linear modelsMaximum likelihood estimationRight-skewed variables

Identifiers

PMID38102539
PMCPMC10722755

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Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.