Evidence map›Paper›PMID 38102114›Full record

ArticleBlood cancer journal2023

The impact of thrombosis on probabilities of death and disease progression in polycythemia vera: a multistate transition analysis of 1,545 patients.

Tiziano Barbui, Alessandra Carobbio, Juergen Thiele, Naseema Gangat, Elisa Rumi, Alessandro Rambaldi, Alessandro M Vannucchi, Ayalew Tefferi, IWG-MRT group

Open access · goldAbstract read
In one paragraph

Article in Blood cancer journal, 2023. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 19 papers.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
19citing papers in PubMed
3.5field-weighted citation impact, top 7% of its field
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

19 citing papers in PubMed, 12 citations in OpenAlex.

  1. Article
  2. Review
  3. Article
  4. Article
  5. Article
  6. Review
  7. Article
  8. Review
  9. Article
  10. Review
  11. Article
  12. Review
  13. Article
  14. Article
  15. Article
  16. Review
  17. Review
  18. Article
  19. Article
4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

9 authors at 10 institutions in 4 countries.

Tiziano BarbuiFROM Research Foundation, Papa Giovanni XXIII Hospital, Bergamo, Italy. tbarbui@fondazionefrom.it.ORCID 0000-0003-2747-6327
Alessandra CarobbioFROM Research Foundation, Papa Giovanni XXIII Hospital, Bergamo, Italy.ORCID 0000-0001-9664-7084
Juergen ThieleInstitute of Pathology, University of Cologne, Cologne, Germany.
Naseema GangatHematology Division, Mayo Clinic, Rochester, MN, USA.ORCID 0000-0002-9104-6172
Elisa RumiDepartment of Molecular Medicine, University of Pavia, Pavia, Italy.
Alessandro RambaldiHematology and Bone Marrow Transplant Unit, ASST Papa Giovanni XXIII, Bergamo, Italy.
Alessandro M VannucchiCenter Research and Innovation of Myeloproliferative Neoplasms (CRIMM), Department of Experimental and Clinical Medicine, Azienda Ospedaliera Universitaria Careggi, University of Florence, Florence, Italy.ORCID 0000-0001-5755-0730
Ayalew TefferiHematology Division, Mayo Clinic, Rochester, MN, USA.ORCID 0000-0003-4605-3821
IWG-MRT group
Mayo Clinic in Arizona · USUniversity of Cologne · DEUniversity of Pavia · ITOspedale Papa Giovanni XXIII · ITUniversity of Padua · ITAzienda Ospedaliero-Universitaria Careggi · ITOspedale San Bortolo · ITFondazione IRCCS Ca' Granda Ospedale Maggiore Policlinico · ITMedical University of Vienna · ATUniversity of Milan · IT

Funding

Associazione Italiana per la Ricerca sul Cancro (Italian Association for Cancer Research) 1005
6 · The paper itself

Abstract

We applied a parametric Markov five-state model, on a well-characterized international cohort of 1,545 patients with polycythemia vera (PV; median age 61 years; females 51%), in order to examine the impact of incident thrombosis on the trajectory of death or disease progression. At a median follow-up of 6.9 years, 347 (23%) deaths, 50 (3%) blast phase (BP), and 138 (9%) fibrotic (post-PV MF) transformations were recorded. Incident thrombosis occurred at a rate of 2.62% pt/yr (arterial 1.59% and venous 1.05%). The probability of death, in the first 10 years, for 280 (18%) patients who developed thrombosis during follow-up was 40%, which was two-fold higher than that seen in the absence of thrombosis or any other transition state (20%; p < 0.01); the adverse impact from thrombosis was more apparent for arterial (HR 1.74; p < 0.01) vs venous thrombosis (p=NS) and was independent of other fixed (i.e., age, prior venous thrombosis, leukocytosis) or time-dependent (i.e., progression to BP or MF) risk variables. The transition probability to post-PV MF increased over time, in a linear fashion, with a rate of 5% capped at 5 and 10 years, in patients with or without incident thrombosis, respectively. The impact of thrombosis on transition probability to death or post-PV MF tapered off beyond 10 years and appeared to reverse direction of impact on MF evolution at the 12-year time point. These observations suggest thrombosis in PV to be a marker of aggressive disease biology or a disease-associated inflammatory state that is consequential to both thrombosis and disease progression.

Indexed as

Polycythemia VeraPrimary MyelofibrosisThrombosisVenous ThrombosisDisease ProgressionFemaleHumansMiddle AgedRisk Factors

Identifiers

PMID38102114
PMCPMC10724164
OpenAlexW4389789992

What OpenQuestion holds

Textmetadata
LicenceCC BY
Read underepoch 390

Registered trials

None linked

Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.