Evidence map›Paper›PMID 38098859›Full record

ArticleDynamic games and applications2023

Learning to Mitigate Epidemic Risks: A Dynamic Population Game Approach.

Ashish R Hota, Urmee Maitra, Ezzat Elokda, Saverio Bolognani

Open access · hybridAbstract read
In one paragraph

Article in Dynamic games and applications, 2023. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 2 papers.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
2citing papers in PubMed
2.0field-weighted citation impact, top 14% of its field
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

2 citing papers in PubMed, 10 citations in OpenAlex.

  1. Article
  2. Article
4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

4 authors at 2 institutions in 2 countries.

Ashish R HotaDepartment of Electrical Engineering, IIT Kharagpur, Kharagpur, West Bengal 721302 India.
Urmee MaitraDepartment of Electrical Engineering, IIT Kharagpur, Kharagpur, West Bengal 721302 India.
Ezzat ElokdaAutomatic Control Laboratory, ETH Zürich, 8092 Zürich, Switzerland.
Saverio BolognaniAutomatic Control Laboratory, ETH Zürich, 8092 Zürich, Switzerland.
ETH Zurich · CHIndian Institute of Technology Kharagpur · IN

Funding

No grant is acknowledged in the PubMed record.

6 · The paper itself

Abstract

We present a dynamic population game model to capture the behavior of a large population of individuals in presence of an infectious disease or epidemic. Individuals can be in one of five possible infection states at any given time: susceptible, asymptomatic, symptomatic, recovered and unknowingly recovered, and choose whether to opt for vaccination, testing or social activity with a certain degree. We define the evolution of the proportion of agents in each epidemic state, and the notion of best response for agents that maximize long-run discounted expected reward as a function of the current state and policy. We further show the existence of a stationary Nash equilibrium and explore the transient evolution of the disease states and individual behavior under a class of evolutionary learning dynamics. Our results provide compelling insights into how individuals evaluate the trade-off among vaccination, testing and social activity under different parameter regimes, and the impact of different intervention strategies (such as restrictions on social activity) on vaccination and infection prevalence.

Indexed as

Dynamic population gameEpidemic mitigationPerturbed best response dynamicsTestingVaccination

Identifiers

PMID38098859
PMCPMC10716085
OpenAlexW4387844773

What OpenQuestion holds

Textmetadata
LicenceCC BY
Read underepoch 390

Registered trials

None linked

Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.