Evidence map›Paper›PMID 38098081›Full record

Trial reportBMC medical informatics and decision making2023

Construction and evaluation of a column chart model and a random forest model for predicting the prognosis of hydrodistention surgery in BPS/IC patients based on preoperative CD117, P2X3R, NGF, and TrkA levels.

Lei Pang, Zijun Ding, Hongqiang Chai, Weibing Shuang

Open access · goldAbstract readRandomized Controlled Trial
In one paragraph

Trial report in BMC medical informatics and decision making, 2023. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 3 papers.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
3citing papers in PubMed
1.5field-weighted citation impact, top 17% of its field
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

3 citing papers in PubMed, 5 citations in OpenAlex.

  1. Article
  2. Review
  3. Review
4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

4 authors at 2 institutions in 1 country.

Lei PangDepartment of Urology, Yingze District, Fifth Hospital of Shanxi Medical University (Shanxi Provincial People's Hospital), No. 29, Shuangta East Street, Taiyuan City, 030012, Shanxi Province, China.
Zijun DingDepartment of Neonatology, Xinghualing District, Shanxi Children's Hospital, No. 13, Xinmin North Street, Taiyuan City, 030013, Shanxi Province, China.
Hongqiang ChaiDepartment of Urology, Yingze District, Fifth Hospital of Shanxi Medical University (Shanxi Provincial People's Hospital), No. 29, Shuangta East Street, Taiyuan City, 030012, Shanxi Province, China.
Weibing ShuangDepartment of Urology, Yingze District, First Hospital of Shanxi Medical University, No. 85, Jiefang South Road, Taiyuan City, 030012, Shanxi Province, China. shuangweibing@126.com.
Shanxi Medical University · CNShanxi Provincial Children's Hospital · CN

Funding

General Project of Natural Science Research in Shanxi Basic Research Program 202103021224391The scientific research project of Shanxi Provincial Health Commission 2022073
6 · The paper itself

Abstract

objectiveThis study seeks to investigate independent risk factors affecting the prognoses of patients with bladder pain syndrome/interstitial cystitis (BPS/IC) following hydrodistention surgery and to develop a column chart model and a random forest model to help predict clinical outcomes.

methodA retrospective analysis was conducted on the clinical data of 1006 BPS/IC patients who visited the urology department of the Fifth Hospital of Shanxi Medical University (Shanxi Provincial People's Hospital) between June 2012 and June 2022. The patients were randomly divided into a model group (n = 704) and a validation group (n = 302). In the model group, logistic regression analysis was used to identify independent risk factors, which were used to construct a prognostic nomogram. The nomogram was evaluated by analyzing the area under the curve (AUC), calibration curve, and decision curve. These results were subsequently validated via consistency analysis (n = 302). And based on the random forest algorithm, we calculate the same data and construct a random forest model.

resultMultivariate logistic regression analysis revealed that age and the expression of the biomarkers CD117, P2X3R, NGF, and TrkA were independent prognostic factors for patients with BPS/IC (P < 0.05). Using these five indicators, a nomogram was developed to predict the risk factors for BPS/IC (scores ranged from 0 to 400). Based on the indicators, the nomogram demonstrated good prognostic performance (AUC = 0.982 and 95% confidence interva is 0.960-0.100). The correction curve indicated a high level of differentiation in the model, and the decision curve suggested positive clinical benefits. The random forest model has high accuracy and good calibration in predicting the prognosis of patients with interstitial cystitis after hydrodistention surgery.

conclusionAge, CD117, P2X3R, NGF, and TrkA are independent prognostic factors for bladder pain syndrome/interstitial cystitis. The column chart model and random forest model constructed based on these indicators have good predictive performance for patient prognosis.

Indexed as

Cystitis, InterstitialBiomarkersHumansPrognosisRandom ForestRetrospective StudiesBiomarkersInterstitial cystitisNomogramP2X3RPrognostic modelRandom forest

Identifiers

PMID38098081
PMCPMC10722748
OpenAlexW4389763133

What OpenQuestion holds

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Registered trials

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Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.