Evidence map›Paper›PMID 38087115›Full record

ArticleNature medicine2023

Benefits, harms and cost-effectiveness of cervical screening, triage and treatment strategies for women in the general population.

Kate T Simms, Adam Keane, Diep Thi Ngoc Nguyen, Michael Caruana, Michaela T Hall, Gigi Lui, Cindy Gauvreau, Owen Demke, Marc Arbyn, Partha Basu and 12 more

Open access · hybridAbstract read
In one paragraph

Article in Nature medicine, 2023. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 53 papers, 1 of them a synthesis that pooled it.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
53citing papers in PubMed, 1 pooled it
18.9field-weighted citation impact, top 1% of its field
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

53 citing papers in PubMed, 1 synthesis or guideline pooled it, 88 citations in OpenAlex.

  1. Pooled it
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  12. A guide to cancer screening.Nature reviews. Clinical oncology · 2026
    Review
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4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

22 authors at 9 institutions in 8 countries.

Kate T Simms *The Daffodil Centre, University of Sydney, a joint venture with Cancer Council NSW, Sydney, NSW, Australia. kate.simms@nswcc.org.au.ORCID 0000-0003-2568-7956
Adam Keane *The Daffodil Centre, University of Sydney, a joint venture with Cancer Council NSW, Sydney, NSW, Australia.
Diep Thi Ngoc NguyenThe Daffodil Centre, University of Sydney, a joint venture with Cancer Council NSW, Sydney, NSW, Australia.
Michael CaruanaThe Daffodil Centre, University of Sydney, a joint venture with Cancer Council NSW, Sydney, NSW, Australia.ORCID 0000-0002-5439-6552
Michaela T HallThe Daffodil Centre, University of Sydney, a joint venture with Cancer Council NSW, Sydney, NSW, Australia.ORCID 0000-0002-8989-1449
Gigi LuiThe Daffodil Centre, University of Sydney, a joint venture with Cancer Council NSW, Sydney, NSW, Australia.
Cindy GauvreauChild Health Evaluative Sciences, The Hospital for Sick Children Research Institute, Toronto, ON, Canada.
Owen DemkeGlobal Diagnostics, Clinton Health Access Initiative, Kigali, Rwanda.
Marc ArbynUnit of Cancer Epidemiology, Belgian Cancer Centre, Sciensano, Brussels, Belgium.
Partha BasuEarly Detection, Prevention and Infections Branch, International Agency for Research on Cancer, Lyon, France.
Nicolas WentzensenDivision of Cancer Epidemiology and Genetics, National Cancer Institute, National Institutes of Health, Rockville, MD, USA.ORCID 0000-0003-1251-0836
Beatrice Lauby-SecretanEvidence Synthesis and Classification Branch, International Agency for Research on Cancer (IARC), Lyon, France.
Andre IlbawiDepartment for the Management of Noncommunicable Diseases, Disability, Violence and Injury Prevention, World Health Organization, Geneva, Switzerland.
Raymond HutubessyDepartment of Immunization, Vaccines and Biologicals, World Health Organization, Geneva, Switzerland.
Maribel AlmonteEarly Detection, Prevention and Infections Branch, International Agency for Research on Cancer, Lyon, France.
Silvia De SanjoséDivision of Cancer Epidemiology and Genetics, National Cancer Institute, National Institutes of Health, Rockville, MD, USA.
Helen KellyLondon School of Hygiene & Tropical Medicine, London, UK.
Shona DalalDepartment of Global HIV, Hepatitis and Sexually Transmitted Infections Programmes, World Health Organization, Geneva, Switzerland.
Linda O EckertDepartment of Global Health, University of Washington, Seattle, WA, USA.
Nancy SantessoDepartment of Health Research Methods, Evidence, and Impact, McMaster University, Hamilton, ON, Canada.
Nathalie BroutetDepartment of Reproductive Health and Research, World Health Organization, Geneva, Switzerland.
Karen CanfellThe Daffodil Centre, University of Sydney, a joint venture with Cancer Council NSW, Sydney, NSW, Australia.
The University of Sydney · AUWorld Health Organization · CHCentre international de recherche sur le cancer · FRNational Institutes of Health · USGhent University · BEHospital for Sick Children · CAImpact · CALondon School of Hygiene & Tropical Medicine · GBUniversity of Washington · US

Funding

World Health Organization 001
6 · The paper itself

Abstract

In 2020, the World Health Organization (WHO) launched a strategy to eliminate cervical cancer as a public health problem. To support the strategy, the WHO published updated cervical screening guidelines in 2021. To inform this update, we used an established modeling platform, Policy1-Cervix, to evaluate the impact of seven primary screening scenarios across 78 low- and lower-middle-income countries (LMICs) for the general population of women. Assuming 70% coverage, we found that primary human papillomavirus (HPV) screening approaches were the most effective and cost-effective, reducing cervical cancer age-standardized mortality rates by 63-67% when offered every 5 years. Strategies involving triaging women before treatment (with 16/18 genotyping, cytology, visual inspection with acetic acid (VIA) or colposcopy) had close-to-similar effectiveness to HPV screening without triage and fewer pre-cancer treatments. Screening with VIA or cytology every 3 years was less effective and less cost-effective than HPV screening every 5 years. Furthermore, VIA generated more than double the number of pre-cancer treatments compared to HPV. In conclusion, primary HPV screening is the most effective, cost-effective and efficient cervical screening option in LMICs. These findings have directly informed WHO's updated cervical screening guidelines for the general population of women, which recommend primary HPV screening in a screen-and-treat or screen-triage-and-treat approach, starting from age 30 years with screening every 5 years or 10 years.

Indexed as

Papillomavirus InfectionsUterine Cervical NeoplasmsAdultCervix UteriChild, PreschoolCost-Benefit AnalysisEarly Detection of CancerFemaleHumansTriage

Identifiers

PMID38087115
PMCPMC10719104
OpenAlexW4389617045

What OpenQuestion holds

Textmetadata
LicenceCC BY
Read underepoch 390

Registered trials

None linked

Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.