ArticleNature communications2023
Interactions between climate change, urban infrastructure and mobility are driving dengue emergence in Vietnam.
Article in Nature communications, 2023. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 75 papers, 2 of them syntheses that pooled it.
What it found
Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.
The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.
The trial behind it
Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.
Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.
Who cites it
75 citing papers in PubMed, 2 syntheses or guidelines pooled it.
- Battling dengue in a warming world: How climate and urbanization shape transmission in low- and middle-income countries (a rapid review).PLoS neglected tropical diseases · 2026Pooled it
- A systematic review of dengue controlled human infection studies: safety, viral kinetics and immunology.PLoS neglected tropical diseases · 2026Pooled it
- Dynamics and optimal control of a weighted-network dengue model with seasonal transmission.Infectious Disease Modelling · 2026Article
- Dengue virus infection.Nature reviews. Disease primers · 2026Review
- Cross-national prediction of imported dengue risk in Northeast Asia using climate, hydrological, and viral epidemiological indicators.Tropical medicine and health · 2026Article
- How climate change affects mosquito-borne infectious disease: The different trajectories of malaria and dengue.Science advances · 2026Review
- Article
- Sero-catalytic and spatial modeling of dengue virus force of infection in Timor-Leste.Nature communications · 2026Article
- Barriers in operating proactive source reduction informed by an early warning system for dengue prevention: A qualitative study from end-user perspectives in Vietnam.PLoS neglected tropical diseases · 2026Article
- Assessing the impact of intervention strategies on dengue dynamics in Shenzhen, China.PLoS neglected tropical diseases · 2026Article
- Machine learning reveals temperature as a key predictor of dengue risk across Thailand's provinces: A 20-year analysis.PLoS neglected tropical diseases · 2026Article
- Patterns, drivers, and trends of urban cooling demand across global cities.Nature communications · 2026Article
- A socio-hydro-epidemiological model for simulating trade-off between dengue infections, water shortages, and adaptive behavior.iScience · 2026Article
- Review
- Divergent urban-rural drivers of malaria vector ecology: a 6-year One Health longitudinal study in China.Parasites & vectors · 2026Article
- Environmental, climatic, and social risk factors of severe fever with thrombocytopenia syndrome and the implications of climate change.One health (Amsterdam, Netherlands) · 2026Article
- mRNA vaccine development for tuberculosis: antigen design, immune mechanisms, and translational challenges.Archives of microbiology · 2026Review
- Projections of dengue epidemics attributable to climate change in Peru.BMJ global health · 2026Article
- Rural dengue dynamics: the interplay of climate, built environment, and agriculture in Costa Rica.medRxiv : the preprint server for health sciences · 2026Article
- Global and regional burden of chikungunya from 2004 to 2024: a worldwide observational study.Journal of global health · 2026Observational
15 more citing papers are in PubMed but not listed here.
Corrections and comments
PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.
Authors and funding
21 authors.
Funding
Abstract
Dengue is expanding globally, but how dengue emergence is shaped locally by interactions between climatic and socio-environmental factors is not well understood. Here, we investigate the drivers of dengue incidence and emergence in Vietnam, through analysing 23 years of district-level case data spanning a period of significant socioeconomic change (1998-2020). We show that urban infrastructure factors (sanitation, water supply, long-term urban growth) predict local spatial patterns of dengue incidence, while human mobility is a more influential driver in subtropical northern regions than the endemic south. Temperature is the dominant factor shaping dengue's distribution and dynamics, and using long-term reanalysis temperature data we show that warming since 1950 has expanded transmission risk throughout Vietnam, and most strongly in current dengue emergence hotspots (e.g., southern central regions, Ha Noi). In contrast, effects of hydrometeorology are complex, multi-scalar and dependent on local context: risk increases under either short-term precipitation excess or long-term drought, but improvements in water supply mitigate drought-associated risks except under extreme conditions. Our findings challenge the assumption that dengue is an urban disease, instead suggesting that incidence peaks in transitional landscapes with intermediate infrastructure provision, and provide evidence that interactions between recent climate change and mobility are contributing to dengue's expansion throughout Vietnam.
Indexed as
Identifiers
What OpenQuestion holds
Registered trials
Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.