Evidence map›Paper›PMID 38076638›Full record

ArticleClinical epidemiology2023

An Explainable Machine Learning Model to Predict Acute Kidney Injury After Cardiac Surgery: A Retrospective Cohort Study.

Yuchen Gao, Chunrong Wang, Wenhao Dong, Bianfang Li, Jianhui Wang, Jun Li, Yu Tian, Jia Liu, Yuefu Wang

Open access · goldAbstract read
In one paragraph

Article in Clinical epidemiology, 2023. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 7 papers, 1 of them a synthesis that pooled it.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
7citing papers in PubMed, 1 pooled it
1.5field-weighted citation impact, top 15% of its field
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

7 citing papers in PubMed, 1 synthesis or guideline pooled it, 7 citations in OpenAlex.

  1. Pooled it
  2. Review
  3. Observational
  4. Article
  5. Review
  6. Article
  7. Article
4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

9 authors at 3 institutions in 1 country.

Yuchen Gao *Department of Anesthesiology, State Key Laboratory of Cardiovascular Disease, Fuwai Hospital, National Center of Cardiovascular Diseases, Chinese Academy of Medical Sciences and Peking Union Medical College, Beijing, People's Republic of China.
Chunrong Wang *Department of Anesthesiology, Peking Union Medical College Hospital, Chinese Academy of Medical Sciences and Peking Union Medical College, Beijing, People's Republic of China.
Wenhao DongDepartment of Surgical Intensive Care Unit & Anesthesiology, Beijing Shijitan Hospital, Capital Medical University, Beijing, People's Republic of China.
Bianfang LiDepartment of Surgical Intensive Care Unit & Anesthesiology, Beijing Shijitan Hospital, Capital Medical University, Beijing, People's Republic of China.
Jianhui WangDepartment of Anesthesiology, State Key Laboratory of Cardiovascular Disease, Fuwai Hospital, National Center of Cardiovascular Diseases, Chinese Academy of Medical Sciences and Peking Union Medical College, Beijing, People's Republic of China.
Jun LiDepartment of Anesthesiology, State Key Laboratory of Cardiovascular Disease, Fuwai Hospital, National Center of Cardiovascular Diseases, Chinese Academy of Medical Sciences and Peking Union Medical College, Beijing, People's Republic of China.
Yu TianDepartment of Anesthesiology, State Key Laboratory of Cardiovascular Disease, Fuwai Hospital, National Center of Cardiovascular Diseases, Chinese Academy of Medical Sciences and Peking Union Medical College, Beijing, People's Republic of China.
Jia LiuDepartment of Anesthesiology, State Key Laboratory of Cardiovascular Disease, Fuwai Hospital, National Center of Cardiovascular Diseases, Chinese Academy of Medical Sciences and Peking Union Medical College, Beijing, People's Republic of China.
Yuefu WangDepartment of Surgical Intensive Care Unit & Anesthesiology, Beijing Shijitan Hospital, Capital Medical University, Beijing, People's Republic of China.
Chinese Academy of Medical Sciences & Peking Union Medical College · CNCapital Medical University · CNBeijing Shijitan Hospital · CN

Funding

No grant is acknowledged in the PubMed record.

6 · The paper itself

Abstract

Background: To derive and validate a machine learning (ML) prediction model of acute kidney injury (AKI) that could be used for AKI surveillance and management to improve clinical outcomes. Methods: This retrospective cohort study was conducted in Fuwai Hospital, including patients aged 18 years and above undergoing cardiac surgery admitted between January 1, 2017, and December 31, 2018. Seventy percent of the observations were randomly selected for training and the remaining 30% for testing. The demographics, comorbidities, laboratory examination parameters, and operation details were used to construct a prediction model for AKI by logistic regression and eXtreme gradient boosting (Xgboost). The discrimination of each model was assessed on the test cohort by the area under the receiver operator characteristic (AUROC) curve, while calibration was performed by the calibration plot. Results: A total of 15,880 patients were enrolled in this study, and 4845 (30.5%) had developed AKI. Xgboost model had the higher discriminative ability compared with logistic regression (AUROC, 0.849 [95% CI, 0.837-0.861] vs 0.803[95% CI 0.790-0.817], Conclusion: ML models can provide clinical decision support to determine which patients should focus on perioperative preventive treatment to preemptively reduce acute kidney injury by predicting which patients are not at risk.

Indexed as

acute kidney injurycardiac surgerymachine learningprediction modelSHAPshapley additive explanations

Identifiers

PMID38076638
PMCPMC10706584
OpenAlexW4389309367

What OpenQuestion holds

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LicenceCC BY-NC
Read underepoch 390

Registered trials

None linked

Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.