Evidence map›Paper›PMID 38072652›Full record

ArticleClinical infectious diseases : an official publication of the Infectious Diseases Society of America2024

Modeling the Impacts of Antiviral Prophylaxis Strategies in Mitigating Seasonal Influenza Outbreaks in Nursing Homes.

Sinead E Morris, Casey M Zipfel, Komal Peer, Zachary J Madewell, Stephan Brenner, Shikha Garg, Prabasaj Paul, Rachel B Slayton, Matthew Biggerstaff

Open access · hybridAbstract read
In one paragraph

Article in Clinical infectious diseases : an official publication of the Infectious Diseases Society of America, 2024. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 3 papers.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
3citing papers in PubMed
0.6field-weighted citation impact, top 27% of its field
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

3 citing papers in PubMed, 3 citations in OpenAlex.

  1. Article
  2. Article
  3. [Recommendations on prevention and treatment of respiratory infections in institutionalised older people].Revista espanola de quimioterapia : publicacion oficial de la Sociedad Espanola de Quimioterapia · 2025
    Review
4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

9 authors at 1 institution in 1 country.

Sinead E MorrisInfluenza Division, US Centers for Disease Control and Prevention, Atlanta, Georgia, USA.ORCID 0000-0001-8626-1698
Casey M ZipfelDivison of Healthcare Quality Promotion, US Centers for Disease Control and Prevention, Atlanta, Georgia, USA.ORCID 0000-0002-7903-6318
Komal PeerDivision of Environmental Health Science and Practice, US Centers for Disease Control and Prevention, Atlanta, Georgia, USA.
Zachary J MadewellCenter for Global Health, US Centers for Disease Control and Prevention, Atlanta, Georgia, USA.
Stephan BrennerAgency for Toxic Substances and Disease Registry, US Centers for Disease Control and Prevention, Atlanta, Georgia, USA.
Shikha GargInfluenza Division, US Centers for Disease Control and Prevention, Atlanta, Georgia, USA.
Prabasaj PaulDivison of Healthcare Quality Promotion, US Centers for Disease Control and Prevention, Atlanta, Georgia, USA.
Rachel B SlaytonDivison of Healthcare Quality Promotion, US Centers for Disease Control and Prevention, Atlanta, Georgia, USA.
Matthew BiggerstaffInfluenza Division, US Centers for Disease Control and Prevention, Atlanta, Georgia, USA.
Centers for Disease Control and Prevention · US

Funding

Intramural CDC HHS CC999999
6 · The paper itself

Abstract

backgroundAntiviral chemoprophylaxis is recommended for use during influenza outbreaks in nursing homes to prevent transmission and severe disease among non-ill residents. Centers for Disease Control and Prevention (CDC) guidance recommends prophylaxis be initiated for all non-ill residents once an influenza outbreak is detected and be continued for at least 14 days and until 7 days after the last laboratory-confirmed influenza case is identified. However, not all facilities strictly adhere to this guidance and the impact of such partial adherence is not fully understood.

methodsWe developed a stochastic compartmental framework to model influenza transmission within an average-sized US nursing home. We compared the number of symptomatic illnesses and hospitalizations under varying prophylaxis implementation strategies, in addition to different levels of prophylaxis uptake and adherence by residents and healthcare personnel (HCP).

resultsProphylaxis implemented according to current guidance reduced total symptomatic illnesses and hospitalizations among residents by a median of 12% and 36%, respectively, compared with no prophylaxis. We did not find evidence that alternative implementations of prophylaxis were more effective: compared to full adoption of current guidance, partial adoption resulted in increased symptomatic illnesses and/or hospitalizations, and longer or earlier adoption offered no additional improvements. In addition, increasing uptake and adherence among nursing home residents was effective in reducing resident illnesses and hospitalizations, but increasing HCP uptake had minimal indirect impacts for residents.

conclusionsThe greatest benefits of influenza prophylaxis during nursing home outbreaks will likely be achieved through increasing uptake and adherence among residents and following current CDC guidance.

Indexed as

Antiviral AgentsDisease OutbreaksInfluenza, HumanNursing HomesAgedCenters for Disease Control and Prevention, U.S.ChemopreventionHospitalizationHumansSeasonsUnited StatesAntiviral Agentsantiviralinfluenzamathematical modelnursing homeprophylaxis

Identifiers

PMID38072652
PMCPMC11260992
OpenAlexW4389525841

What OpenQuestion holds

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LicenceTDM
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Registered trials

None linked

Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.