Evidence map›Paper›PMID 38071463›Full record

ArticleEpilepsia open2024

Variation in seizure risk increases from antiseizure medication withdrawal among patients with well-controlled epilepsy: A pooled analysis.

Samuel W Terman, Geertruida Slinger, Adriana Koek, Jeremy Skvarce, Mellanie V Springer, Julie M Ziobro, James F Burke, Willem M Otte, Roland D Thijs, Morten I Lossius and 3 more

Open access · goldAbstract read
In one paragraph

Article in Epilepsia open, 2024. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 7 papers.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
7citing papers in PubMed
1.6field-weighted citation impact, top 17% of its field
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

7 citing papers in PubMed, 7 citations in OpenAlex.

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4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

13 authors at 7 institutions in 6 countries.

Samuel W TermanDepartment of Neurology, University of Michigan, Ann Arbor, Michigan, USA.ORCID 0000-0001-6179-9467
Geertruida SlingerDepartment of Child Neurology, UMC Utrecht Brain Center, Wilhelmina Children's Hospital, University Medical Center Utrecht and Utrecht University, Utrecht, The Netherlands.ORCID 0000-0002-3656-8795
Adriana KoekDepartment of Neurology, University of Michigan, Ann Arbor, Michigan, USA.
Jeremy SkvarceUniversity of Michigan Medical School, Ann Arbor, Michigan, USA.
Mellanie V SpringerDepartment of Neurology, University of Michigan, Ann Arbor, Michigan, USA.
Julie M ZiobroDepartment of Pediatrics, University of Michigan, Ann Arbor, Michigan, USA.
James F BurkeDepartment of Neurology, The Ohio State University, Columbus, Ohio, USA.
Willem M OtteDepartment of Child Neurology, UMC Utrecht Brain Center, Wilhelmina Children's Hospital, University Medical Center Utrecht and Utrecht University, Utrecht, The Netherlands.ORCID 0000-0003-1511-6834
Roland D ThijsStichting Epilepsie Instellingen Nederland (SEIN), Heemstede, The Netherlands.
Morten I LossiusOslo University Hospital National Center for Epilepsy, Oslo, Norway.
Anthony G MarsonDepartment of Pharmacology and Therapeutics, University of Liverpool, Liverpool, UK.
Laura J BonnettDepartment of Health Data Science, University of Liverpool, Liverpool, UK.
Kees P J BraunDepartment of Child Neurology, UMC Utrecht Brain Center, Wilhelmina Children's Hospital, University Medical Center Utrecht and Utrecht University, Utrecht, The Netherlands.
University of Michigan · USUtrecht University · NLUniversity of Liverpool · GBLeiden University Medical Center · NLOslo University Hospital · NOThe Ohio State University · USUniversity of California, San Francisco · US

Funding

Michigan Institute for Clinical and Health Research (MICHR)UL1TR002240 · NCATS · UNIVERSITY OF MICHIGAN AT ANN ARBOR · PI LUMENG, JULIE C, MASHOUR, GEORGE ALEXANDER · 2017 to 2022
$54.9M
U.S. Deprescribing Research NetworkR24AG064025 · NIA · NORTHERN CALIFORNIA INSTITUTE/RES/EDU · PI BOYD, CYNTHIA MELINDA, STEINMAN, MICHAEL A. · 2019 to 2023
$9.9M
Partnering with an Urban Safety Net Hospital to Deliver Stroke Preparedness in the Emergency DepartmentK01NS117555 · NINDS · UNIVERSITY OF MICHIGAN AT ANN ARBOR · PI SPRINGER, MELLANIE V · 2020 to 2024
$1.2M
Mechanisms of PCDH19-clustering epilepsyK08NS124937 · NINDS · UNIVERSITY OF MICHIGAN AT ANN ARBOR · PI Julie M Ziobro · 2023 to 2026
$976k
NCATS NIH HHS UL1 TR002240NIA NIH HHS R24 AG064025NIA NIH HHS R24AG064025NIH HHS K01 NS117555NIH HHS K08 NS124937NINDS NIH HHS K01 NS117555NINDS NIH HHS K08 NS124937
6 · The paper itself

Abstract

objectiveGuidelines suggest considering antiseizure medication (ASM) discontinuation in seizure-free patients with epilepsy. Past work has poorly explored how discontinuation effects vary between patients. We evaluated (1) what factors modify the influence of discontinuation on seizure risk; and (2) the range of seizure risk increase due to discontinuation across low- versus high-risk patients.

methodsWe pooled three datasets including seizure-free patients who did and did not discontinue ASMs. We conducted time-to-first-seizure analyses. First, we evaluated what individual patient factors modified the relative effect of ASM discontinuation on seizure risk via interaction terms. Then, we assessed the distribution of 2-year risk increase as predicted by our adjusted logistic regressions.

resultsWe included 1626 patients, of whom 678 (42%) planned to discontinue all ASMs. The mean predicted 2-year seizure risk was 43% [95% confidence interval (CI) 39%-46%] for discontinuation versus 21% (95% CI 19%-24%) for continuation. The mean 2-year absolute seizure risk increase was 21% (95% CI 18%-26%). No individual interaction term was significant after correcting for multiple comparisons. The median [interquartile range (IQR)] risk increase across patients was 19% (IQR 14%-24%; range 7%-37%). Results were unchanged when restricting analyses to only the two RCTs. SIGNIFICANCE: No single patient factor significantly modified the influence of discontinuation on seizure risk, although we captured how absolute risk increases change for patients that are at low versus high risk. Patients should likely continue ASMs if even a 7% 2-year increase in the chance of any more seizures would be too much and should likely discontinue ASMs if even a 37% risk increase would be too little. In between these extremes, individualized risk calculation and a careful understanding of patient preferences are critical. Future work will further develop a two-armed individualized seizure risk calculator and contextualize seizure risk thresholds below which to consider discontinuation. PLAIN LANGUAGE SUMMARY: Understanding how much antiseizure medications (ASMs) decrease seizure risk is an important part of determining which patients with epilepsy should be treated, especially for patients who have not had a seizure in a while. We found that there was a wide range in the amount that ASM discontinuation increases seizure risk-between 7% and 37%. We found that no single patient factor modified that amount. Understanding what a patient's seizure risk might be if they discontinued versus continued ASM treatment is critical to making informed decisions about whether the benefit of treatment outweighs the downsides.

Indexed as

EpilepsySeizuresDecision MakingHumansPatient PreferencePatientsantiseizure medicationsdiscontinuationepilepsyrisk prediction

Identifiers

PMID38071463
PMCPMC10839298
OpenAlexW4389515941

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Registered trials

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Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.