Evidence map›Paper›PMID 38068365›Full record

ArticleJournal of clinical medicine2023

Using Multi-Modal Electronic Health Record Data for the Development and Validation of Risk Prediction Models for Long COVID Using the Super Learner Algorithm.

Weijia Jin, Wei Hao, Xu Shi, Lars G Fritsche, Maxwell Salvatore, Andrew J Admon, Christopher R Friese, Bhramar Mukherjee

Open access · goldAbstract read
In one paragraph

Article in Journal of clinical medicine, 2023. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 4 papers.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
4citing papers in PubMed
1.0field-weighted citation impact, top 21% of its field
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

4 citing papers in PubMed, 5 citations in OpenAlex.

  1. Article
  2. Developing a phenotype risk score formedRxiv : the preprint server for health sciences · 2026
    Article
  3. A Predictive Model for the Development of Long COVID in Children.International journal of environmental research and public health · 2025
    Article
  4. Review
4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

8 authors at 1 institution in 1 country.

Weijia JinDepartment of Biostatistics, School of Public Health, University of Michigan, Ann Arbor, MI 48109, USA.ORCID 0000-0002-0644-5153
Wei HaoDepartment of Biostatistics, School of Public Health, University of Michigan, Ann Arbor, MI 48109, USA.ORCID 0000-0002-5367-1479
Xu ShiDepartment of Biostatistics, School of Public Health, University of Michigan, Ann Arbor, MI 48109, USA.ORCID 0000-0001-8566-9552
Lars G FritscheDepartment of Biostatistics, School of Public Health, University of Michigan, Ann Arbor, MI 48109, USA.ORCID 0000-0002-2110-1690
Maxwell SalvatoreDepartment of Biostatistics, School of Public Health, University of Michigan, Ann Arbor, MI 48109, USA.ORCID 0000-0002-3659-1514
Andrew J AdmonDepartment of Epidemiology, University of Michigan, Ann Arbor, MI 48109, USA.
Christopher R FrieseSchool of Nursing, University of Michigan, Ann Arbor, MI 48109, USA.
Bhramar MukherjeeDepartment of Biostatistics, School of Public Health, University of Michigan, Ann Arbor, MI 48109, USA.
University of Michigan · US

Funding

XenograftP30CA046592 · NCI · UNIVERSITY OF MICHIGAN AT ANN ARBOR · PI Eric R. Fearon · 1988 to 2026
$178.2M
Characterizing the Impact of Fragmented Care in Acute Respiratory FailureK08HL155407 · NHLBI · UNIVERSITY OF MICHIGAN AT ANN ARBOR · PI ADMON, ANDREW JOHN · 2021 to 2025
$848k
NCI NIH HHS P30 CA046592NHLBI NIH HHS K08 HL155407NIH HHS K08HL155407NIH HHS P30CA046592
6 · The paper itself

Abstract

backgroundPost-Acute Sequelae of COVID-19 (PASC) have emerged as a global public health and healthcare challenge. This study aimed to uncover predictive factors for PASC from multi-modal data to develop a predictive model for PASC diagnoses.

methodsWe analyzed electronic health records from 92,301 COVID-19 patients, covering medical phenotypes, medications, and lab results. We used a Super Learner-based prediction approach to identify predictive factors. We integrated the model outputs into individual and composite risk scores and evaluated their predictive performance.

resultsOur analysis identified several factors predictive of diagnoses of PASC, including being overweight/obese and the use of HMG CoA reductase inhibitors prior to COVID-19 infection, and respiratory system symptoms during COVID-19 infection. We developed a composite risk score with a moderate discriminatory ability for PASC (covariate-adjusted AUC (95% confidence interval): 0.66 (0.63, 0.69)) by combining the risk scores based on phenotype and medication records. The combined risk score could identify 10% of individuals with a 2.2-fold increased risk for PASC.

conclusionsWe identified several factors predictive of diagnoses of PASC and integrated the information into a composite risk score for PASC prediction, which could contribute to the identification of individuals at higher risk for PASC and inform preventive efforts.

Indexed as

COVID-19electronic health recordsphenotype risk scorepost-acute sequelae of SARS-CoV-2 infectionpredictive models

Identifiers

PMID38068365
PMCPMC10707399
OpenAlexW4389056449

What OpenQuestion holds

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LicenceCC BY
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Registered trials

None linked

Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.