Evidence map›Paper›PMID 38059267›Full record

ArticleNature climate change2023

Forest composition change and biophysical climate feedbacks across boreal North America.

Richard Massey, Brendan M Rogers, Logan T Berner, Sol Cooperdock, Michelle C Mack, Xanthe J Walker, Scott J Goetz

Abstract read
In one paragraph

Article in Nature climate change, 2023. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 11 papers.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
11citing papers in PubMed
–field-weighted citation impact
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

11 citing papers in PubMed.

  1. Article
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  8. Article
  9. Shifting equilibria in a warming boreal forest.Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences of the United States of America · 2025
    Article
  10. Review
  11. Article
4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

7 authors.

Richard MasseySchool of Informatics, Computing and Cyber Systems, Northern Arizona University, Flagstaff, AZ USA.ORCID 0000-0002-4831-8718
Brendan M RogersWoodwell Climate Research Center, Falmouth, MA USA.ORCID 0000-0001-6711-8466
Logan T BernerSchool of Informatics, Computing and Cyber Systems, Northern Arizona University, Flagstaff, AZ USA.ORCID 0000-0001-8947-0479
Sol CooperdockWoodwell Climate Research Center, Falmouth, MA USA.ORCID 0000-0001-9056-7008
Michelle C MackCenter for Ecosystem Science and Society, Northern Arizona University, Flagstaff, AZ USA.
Xanthe J WalkerSchool of Informatics, Computing and Cyber Systems, Northern Arizona University, Flagstaff, AZ USA.ORCID 0000-0002-2448-691X
Scott J GoetzSchool of Informatics, Computing and Cyber Systems, Northern Arizona University, Flagstaff, AZ USA.ORCID 0000-0002-6326-4308

Funding

No grant is acknowledged in the PubMed record.

6 · The paper itself

Abstract

Deciduous tree cover is expected to increase in North American boreal forests with climate warming and wildfire. This shift in composition has the potential to generate biophysical cooling via increased land surface albedo. Here we use Landsat-derived maps of continuous tree canopy cover and deciduous fractional composition to assess albedo change over recent decades. We find, on average, a small net decrease in deciduous fraction from 2000 to 2015 across boreal North America and from 1992 to 2015 across Canada, despite extensive fire disturbance that locally increased deciduous vegetation. We further find near-neutral net biophysical change in radiative forcing associated with albedo when aggregated across the domain. Thus, while there have been widespread changes in forest composition over the past several decades, the net changes in composition and associated post-fire radiative forcing have not induced systematic negative feedbacks to climate warming over the spatial and temporal scope of our study.

Indexed as

AttributionClimate-change ecologyEcosystem ecologyFire ecology

Identifiers

PMID38059267
PMCPMC10695824

What OpenQuestion holds

Textmetadata
LicenceCC BY
Read underepoch 390

Registered trials

None linked

Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.