Evidence map›Paper›PMID 38058535›Full record

ArticleWellcome open research2023

Effectiveness of BNT162b2 and ChAdOx1 against SARS-CoV-2 household transmission: a prospective cohort study in England.

Samuel Clifford, Pauline Waight, Jada Hackman, Stephane Hué, Charlotte M Gower, Freja Cm Kirsebom, Catriona Skarnes, Louise Letley, Jamie Lopez Bernal, Nick Andrews and 2 more

Open access · goldAbstract read
In one paragraph

Article in Wellcome open research, 2023. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 19 papers, 2 of them syntheses that pooled it.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
19citing papers in PubMed, 2 pooled it
2.1field-weighted citation impact, top 12% of its field
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

19 citing papers in PubMed, 2 syntheses or guidelines pooled it, 18 citations in OpenAlex.

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  17. SARS-CoV-2: from herd immunity to hybrid immunity.Nature reviews. Immunology · 2022
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4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

12 authors at 2 institutions in 1 country.

Samuel CliffordCentre for Mathematical Modelling of Infectious Diseases, London School of Hygiene & Tropical Medicine, London, WC1E 7HT, UK.ORCID https://orcid.org/0000-0002-3774-3882
Pauline WaightNational Infection Service, UK Health Security Agency, London, NW9 5EQ, UK.
Jada HackmanCentre for Mathematical Modelling of Infectious Diseases, London School of Hygiene & Tropical Medicine, London, WC1E 7HT, UK.ORCID https://orcid.org/0000-0001-8412-8674
Stephane HuéCentre for Mathematical Modelling of Infectious Diseases, London School of Hygiene & Tropical Medicine, London, WC1E 7HT, UK.
Charlotte M GowerNational Infection Service, UK Health Security Agency, London, NW9 5EQ, UK.
Freja Cm KirsebomNational Infection Service, UK Health Security Agency, London, NW9 5EQ, UK.
Catriona SkarnesNational Infection Service, UK Health Security Agency, London, NW9 5EQ, UK.
Louise LetleyNational Infection Service, UK Health Security Agency, London, NW9 5EQ, UK.
Jamie Lopez BernalNational Infection Service, UK Health Security Agency, London, NW9 5EQ, UK.
Nick AndrewsNational Infection Service, UK Health Security Agency, London, NW9 5EQ, UK.
Stefan Flasche *Centre for Mathematical Modelling of Infectious Diseases, London School of Hygiene & Tropical Medicine, London, WC1E 7HT, UK.ORCID https://orcid.org/0000-0002-5808-2606
Elizabeth Miller *Department of Infectious Disease Epidemiology, London School of Hygiene & Tropical Medicine, London, WC1E 7HT, UK.
UK Health Security Agency · GBLondon School of Hygiene & Tropical Medicine · GB

Funding

Wellcome Trust
6 · The paper itself

Abstract

Background: The ability of SARS-CoV-2 vaccines to protect against infection and onward transmission determines whether immunisation can control global circulation. We estimated the effectiveness of Pfizer-BioNTech mRNA vaccine (BNT162b2) and Oxford AstraZeneca adenovirus vector vaccine (ChAdOx1) vaccines against acquisition and transmission of the Alpha and Delta variants in a prospective household study in England. Methods: Households were recruited based on adult purported index cases testing positive after reverse transcription-quantitative (RT-q)PCR testing of oral-nasal swabs. Purported index cases and their household contacts took oral-nasal swabs on days 1, 3 and 7 after enrolment and a subset of the PCR-positive swabs underwent genomic sequencing conducted on a subset. We used Bayesian logistic regression to infer vaccine effectiveness against acquisition and transmission, adjusted for age, vaccination history and variant. Results: Between 2 February 2021 and 10 September 2021, 213 index cases and 312 contacts were followed up. After excluding households lacking genomic proximity (N=2) or with unlikely serial intervals (N=16), 195 households with 278 contacts remained, of whom 113 (41%) became PCR positive. Delta lineages had 1.53 times the risk (95% Credible Interval: 1.04 - 2.20) of transmission than Alpha; contacts older than 18 years old were 1.48 (1.20 - 1.91) and 1.02 (0.93 - 1.16) times more likely to acquire an Alpha or Delta infection than children. Effectiveness of two doses of BNT162b2 against transmission of Delta was 36% (-1%, 66%) and 49% (18%, 73%) for ChAdOx1, similar to their effectiveness for Alpha. Protection against infection with Alpha was higher than for Delta, 69% (9%, 95%) Conclusions: BNT162b2 and ChAdOx1 reduce transmission of the Delta variant from breakthrough infections in the household setting, although their protection against infection within this setting is low.

Indexed as

covidhousehold transmissionSARS-CoV-2secondary attack ratevaccination

Identifiers

PMID38058535
PMCPMC10697107
OpenAlexW4388221796

What OpenQuestion holds

Textmetadata
LicenceCC BY
Read underepoch 390

Registered trials

None linked

Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.