ArticleRMD open2023
Time trends in the burden of autoimmune diseases across the BRICS: an age-period-cohort analysis for the GBD 2019.
Article in RMD open, 2023. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 17 papers.
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Who cites it
17 citing papers in PubMed, 22 citations in OpenAlex.
- Monitoring the safety of the adjuvanted human papillomavirus vaccine HPV-16/18-AS04 in association with pregnancy and potential immune-related diseases in China: A retrospective observational cohort study.Human vaccines & immunotherapeutics · 2026Observational
- Global, regional, and national burden and future projections of pancreatitis: A Joinpoint, APC, and ARIMA modeling analysis.Clinical and experimental medicine · 2026Article
- Global and regional trends in psoriasis burden (1990-2021): age patterns and socio-demographic associations.BMC public health · 2025Article
- Burden of Cardiovascular Diseases Attributable to Hypertension in Population Aged 60 Years or Older from 1990 to 2040 across BRICS-plus Countries (Egypt, Ethiopia, Iran, Saudi Arabia, United Arab Emirates, Brazil, Russia, India, China, and South Africa).High blood pressure & cardiovascular prevention : the official journal of the Italian Society of Hypertension · 2025Article
- Disease burden attributable to high temperature between 1990 and 2021 in South Asia and Southeast Asia, with projections to 2045.Tropical medicine and health · 2025Article
- Diagnostic accuracy of T-SPOT.TB and TST in detecting active tuberculosis in patients with rheumatic immune diseases: a fully matched comparative study.BMC infectious diseases · 2025Article
- Direction of global health status: a narrative review and recommendation for incorporating integrative medicine for improvement.Journal of medicine and life · 2025Review
- Global, regional and national disparities and temporal trends of common autoimmune disease burdens among children and adolescents from 1990 to 2019.BMJ global health · 2025Article
- Age and sex as key determinants of multiple sclerosis incidence in Spain: a comprehensive analysis using the global burden of disease database (1990-2019).Neurological sciences : official journal of the Italian Neurological Society and of the Italian Society of Clinical Neurophysiology · 2025Article
- Autoimmune protocol diet: A personalized elimination diet for patients with autoimmune diseases.Metabolism open · 2025Review
- Global, regional, and national burdens of chronic kidney disease attributable to high body mass index from 1990 to 2021, with future forecasts up to 2050: a systematic analysis for the global burden of disease study 2021.Frontiers in public health · 2025Article
- Global, regional and national burden of inflammatory bowel disease in females from 1990 to 2021: an analysis of the global burden of disease study 2021.Frontiers in global women's health · 2025Article
- Comprehensive Insights into the Economic Burden of Rheumatoid Arthritis in Latin America: A Systematic Literature Review of Regional Perspectives.ClinicoEconomics and outcomes research : CEOR · 2025Review
- Microneedle Technology for Overcoming Biological Barriers: Advancing Biomacromolecular Delivery and Therapeutic Applications in Major Diseases.Research (Washington, D.C.) · 2025Review
- Temporal trends in the incidence and mortality of kidney cancer across BRICS from 1990 to 2021: an age-period-cohort analysis.Frontiers in public health · 2025Article
- Time trends in stomach cancer mortality across the BRICS: an age-period-cohort analysis for the GBD 2021.Frontiers in public health · 2025Article
- Burden of neurologic diseases in BRICS countries (1990 to 2021): an analysis of 2021 Global Burden of Disease Study.Frontiers in neurology · 2024Article
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Authors and funding
3 authors at 3 institutions in 1 country.
Funding
No grant is acknowledged in the PubMed record.
Abstract
backgroundThis study aims to evaluate the long-term trend of prevalence and DALY (disability-adjusted life-year) rate on the age, period and cohort (APC) of the BRICS (Brazil, Russia, India, China and South Africa) country for autoimmune diseases (rheumatoid arthritis (RA), inflammatory bowel disease (IBD), multiple sclerosis (MS) and psoriasis).
methodsThe data are sourced from the Global Burden of Disease Study 2019, and it uses the Joinpoint regression model to estimate the time trends of autoimmune diseases from 1990 to 2019. Additionally, it employs the Age-Period-Cohort (APC) model to estimate the age, period, and cohort effects from 1990 to 2019.
resultsFor 1990 to 2019, the ASPR (age-standardised prevalence rate) of IBD increased significantly for China and South Africa, and decreased significantly for Brazil, India, Russian. The Russian ASPR of MS demonstrated a significantly decreasing trend (average annual percent change=-0.5%, 95% CI -0.6 to -0.5), with the most increased occurring in Brazil at 2009-2014. The cohort effect on DALY rates for Psoriasis displayed an ongoing decreasing trend from the 1929-1933 birth cohort to the 1999-2003 birth cohort. Specifically, the five countries relative risk values (RRs) of DALYs due to RA increased significantly by 7.98, 16.07, 5.98, 3.19, 9.13 times, from 20 to 24 age group to 65 to 69 age group.
conclusionsThe population of the BRICS countries accounts for more than 40% of the global population. And we found that the age effect of various autoimmune diseases is heavily influenced by population ageing.
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