Evidence map›Paper›PMID 38053749›Full record

ArticleCritical care explorations2023

A Near Real-Time Risk Analytics Algorithm Predicts Elevated Lactate Levels in Pediatric Cardiac Critical Care Patients.

Ahmed Asfari, Joshua Wolovits, Avihu Z Gazit, Qalab Abbas, Andrew J Macfadyen, David S Cooper, Craig Futterman, Jamie S Penk, Robert B Kelly, Joshua W Salvin and 2 more

Abstract read
In one paragraph

Article in Critical care explorations, 2023. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 5 papers.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
5citing papers in PubMed
–field-weighted citation impact
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

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Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

5 citing papers in PubMed.

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  5. Observational
4 · The record

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PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

12 authors.

Ahmed AsfariDepartment of Pediatric Cardiology, Section of Cardiac Critical Care Medicine, University of Alabama at Birmingham, Birmingham, AL.
Joshua WolovitsDivision of Critical Care, Department of Pediatrics, UT Southwestern Medical Center, Dallas, TX.
Avihu Z GazitDivisions of Critical Care and Cardiology, Department of Pediatrics, Washington University, St. Louis, MO.
Qalab AbbasDepartment of Pediatrics and Child Health, Section of Pediatric Critical Care Medicine, Aga Khan University Hospital, Karachi, Pakistan.
Andrew J MacfadyenDivision of Critical Care, Department of Pediatrics, University of Nebraska Medical Center, Omaha, NE.
David S CooperDivision of Cardiology, Department of Pediatrics, University of Cincinnati College of Medicine, Cincinnati, OH.
Craig FuttermanDivision of Critical Care, Department of Pediatrics, George Washington University, Washington, DC.
Jamie S PenkDivision of Cardiology, Department of Pediatrics, Northwestern University, Chicago, IL.
Robert B KellyDivision of Critical Care, Children's Hospital of Orange County, Orange, CA.
Joshua W SalvinDivision of Cardiology, Department of Pediatrics, Harvard Medical School, Boston, MA.
Santiago BorasinoDepartment of Pediatric Cardiology, Section of Cardiac Critical Care Medicine, University of Alabama at Birmingham, Birmingham, AL.
Hayden J ZaccagniDepartment of Pediatric Cardiology, Section of Cardiac Critical Care Medicine, University of Alabama at Birmingham, Birmingham, AL.

Funding

No grant is acknowledged in the PubMed record.

6 · The paper itself

Abstract

backgroundPostoperative pediatric congenital heart patients are predisposed to develop low-cardiac output syndrome. Serum lactate (lactic acid [LA]) is a well-defined marker of inadequate systemic oxygen delivery.

objectivesWe hypothesized that a near real-time risk index calculated by a noninvasive predictive analytics algorithm predicts elevated LA in pediatric patients admitted to a cardiac ICU (CICU). DERIVATION COHORT: Ten tertiary CICUs in the United States and Pakistan. VALIDATION COHORT: Retrospective observational study performed to validate a hyperlactatemia (HLA) index using T3 platform data (Etiometry, Boston, MA) from pediatric patients less than or equal to 12 years of age admitted to CICU ( PREDICTION MODEL: Physiologic algorithm used to calculate an HLA index that incorporates physiologic data from patients in a CICU. The algorithm uses Bayes' theorem to interpret newly acquired data in a near real-time manner given its own previous assessment of the physiologic state of the patient.

resultsA total of 58,168 LA measurements were obtained from 3,496 patients included in a validation dataset. HLA was defined as LA level greater than 4 mmol/L. Using receiver operating characteristic analysis and a complete dataset, the HLA index predicted HLA with high sensitivity and specificity (area under the curve 0.95). As the index value increased, the likelihood of having higher LA increased (

conclusionsThese results validate the capacity of the HLA index. This novel index can provide a noninvasive prediction of elevated LA. The HLA index showed strong positive association with elevated LA levels, potentially providing bedside clinicians with an early, noninvasive warning of impaired cardiac output and oxygen delivery. Prospective studies are required to analyze the effect of this index on clinical decision-making and outcomes in pediatric population.

Indexed as

analytic algorithmsinadequate delivery of oxygenlow-cardiac output statepediatric cardiac surgeryrisk estimationserum lactate

Identifiers

PMID38053749
PMCPMC10695536

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Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.