Evidence map›Paper›PMID 38049446›Full record

ArticleNature communications2023

Exploring interactions between socioeconomic context and natural hazards on human population displacement.

Michele Ronco, José María Tárraga, Jordi Muñoz, María Piles, Eva Sevillano Marco, Qiang Wang, Maria Teresa Miranda Espinosa, Sylvain Ponserre, Gustau Camps-Valls

Abstract read
In one paragraph

Article in Nature communications, 2023. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 14 papers.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
14citing papers in PubMed
–field-weighted citation impact
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

14 citing papers in PubMed.

  1. Review
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  10. The Rise of Hazard Gentrification.International journal of disaster risk reduction : IJDRR · 2025
    Article
  11. Review
  12. Review
  13. Article
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4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

9 authors.

Michele Ronco *Image Processing Laboratory (IPL), Universitat de València, Valencia, Spain. michele.ronco@uv.es.ORCID 0000-0002-2160-2452
José María Tárraga *Image Processing Laboratory (IPL), Universitat de València, Valencia, Spain.ORCID 0000-0002-3723-1692
Jordi MuñozImage Processing Laboratory (IPL), Universitat de València, Valencia, Spain.ORCID 0000-0002-3014-3921
María PilesImage Processing Laboratory (IPL), Universitat de València, Valencia, Spain.ORCID 0000-0002-1169-3098
Eva Sevillano MarcoImage Processing Laboratory (IPL), Universitat de València, Valencia, Spain.ORCID 0000-0002-5684-243X
Qiang WangImage Processing Laboratory (IPL), Universitat de València, Valencia, Spain.ORCID 0000-0002-8006-9950
Maria Teresa Miranda EspinosaInternal Displacement Monitoring Centre (IDMC), Geneva, Switzerland.ORCID 0009-0003-1742-6163
Sylvain PonserreInternal Displacement Monitoring Centre (IDMC), Geneva, Switzerland.ORCID 0000-0003-1649-6082
Gustau Camps-VallsImage Processing Laboratory (IPL), Universitat de València, Valencia, Spain.ORCID 0000-0003-1683-2138

Funding

EC | EU Framework Programme for Research and Innovation H2020 | H2020 Priority Excellent Science | H2020 European Research Council (H2020 Excellent Science - European Research Council) 855187EC | Horizon 2020 Framework Programme (EU Framework Programme for Research and Innovation H2020) 101003469EC | Horizon 2020 Framework Programme (EU Framework Programme for Research and Innovation H2020) 101004188EC | Horizon 2020 Framework Programme (EU Framework Programme for Research and Innovation H2020) 951847
6 · The paper itself

Abstract

Climate change is leading to more extreme weather hazards, forcing human populations to be displaced. We employ explainable machine learning techniques to model and understand internal displacement flows and patterns from observational data alone. For this purpose, a large, harmonized, global database of disaster-induced movements in the presence of floods, storms, and landslides during 2016-2021 is presented. We account for environmental, societal, and economic factors to predict the number of displaced persons per event in the affected regions. Here we show that displacements can be primarily attributed to the combination of poor household conditions and intense precipitation, as revealed through the interpretation of the trained models using both Shapley values and causality-based methods. We hence provide empirical evidence that differential or uneven vulnerability exists and provide a means for its quantification, which could help advance evidence-based mitigation and adaptation planning efforts.

Indexed as

DisastersWeatherClimate ChangeFloodsHumansSocioeconomic Factors

Identifiers

PMID38049446
PMCPMC10695951

What OpenQuestion holds

Textmetadata
LicenceCC BY
Read underepoch 390

Registered trials

None linked

Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.