Evidence map›Paper›PMID 38049413›Full record

ArticleNature communications2023

Spatiotemporal dynamics of traffic bottlenecks yields an early signal of heavy congestions.

Jinxiao Duan, Guanwen Zeng, Nimrod Serok, Daqing Li, Efrat Blumenfeld Lieberthal, Hai-Jun Huang, Shlomo Havlin

Abstract read
In one paragraph

Article in Nature communications, 2023. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 4 papers.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
4citing papers in PubMed
–field-weighted citation impact
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

4 citing papers in PubMed.

  1. Article
  2. Article
  3. Article
  4. Addressing the urban congestion challenge based on traffic bottlenecks.Philosophical transactions. Series A, Mathematical, physical, and engineering sciences · 2024
    Review
4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

7 authors.

Jinxiao DuanSchool of Economics and Management, Beihang University, Beijing, 100191, China.ORCID http://orcid.org/0000-0002-7449-1282
Guanwen ZengDepartment of Physics, Bar-Ilan University, Ramat Gan, 52900, Israel.
Nimrod SerokAzrieli School of Architecture, Tel Aviv University, Tel Aviv, 6997801, Israel.
Daqing LiSchool of Reliability and Systems Engineering, Beihang University, Beijing, 100191, China.
Efrat Blumenfeld LieberthalAzrieli School of Architecture, Tel Aviv University, Tel Aviv, 6997801, Israel. efratbl@tauex.tau.ac.il.ORCID http://orcid.org/0000-0003-3660-0035
Hai-Jun HuangSchool of Economics and Management, Beihang University, Beijing, 100191, China. haijunhuang@buaa.edu.cn.ORCID http://orcid.org/0000-0002-9001-9172
Shlomo HavlinDepartment of Physics, Bar-Ilan University, Ramat Gan, 52900, Israel. havlins@gmail.com.ORCID http://orcid.org/0000-0002-9974-5920

Funding

No grant is acknowledged in the PubMed record.

6 · The paper itself

Abstract

Heavy traffic jams are difficult to predict due to the complexity of traffic dynamics. Understanding the network dynamics of traffic bottlenecks can help avoid critical large traffic jams and improve overall traffic conditions. Here, we develop a method to forecast heavy congestions based on their early propagation stage. Our framework follows the network propagation and dissipation of the traffic jams originated from a bottleneck emergence, growth, and its recovery and disappearance. Based on large-scale urban traffic-speed data, we find that dissipation duration of jams follows approximately power-law distributions, and typically, traffic jams dissolve nearly twice slower than their growth. Importantly, we find that the growth speed, even at the first 15 minutes of a jam, is highly correlated with the maximal size of the jam. Our methodology can be applied in urban traffic control systems to forecast heavy traffic bottlenecks and prevent them before they propagate to large network congestions.

Identifiers

PMID38049413
PMCPMC10695996

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Registered trials

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Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.