Evidence map›Paper›PMID 38044366›Full record

ArticleScientific reports2023

Sea level variability and modeling in the Gulf of Guinea using supervised machine learning.

Akeem Shola Ayinde, Huaming Yu, Kejian Wu

Abstract read
In one paragraph

Article in Scientific reports, 2023. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 1 paper.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
1citing papers in PubMed
–field-weighted citation impact
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

1 citing paper in PubMed.

  1. Article
4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

3 authors.

Akeem Shola AyindeCollege of Oceanic and Atmospheric Sciences, Ocean University of China, Qingdao, 266100, China. ayindeas@niomr.gov.ng.
Huaming YuCollege of Oceanic and Atmospheric Sciences, Ocean University of China, Qingdao, 266100, China. hmyu@ouc.edu.cn.
Kejian WuCollege of Oceanic and Atmospheric Sciences, Ocean University of China, Qingdao, 266100, China.

Funding

No grant is acknowledged in the PubMed record.

6 · The paper itself

Abstract

The rising sea levels due to climate change are a significant concern, particularly for vulnerable, low-lying coastal regions like the Gulf of Guinea (GoG). To effectively address this issue, it is crucial to gain a comprehensive understanding of historical sea level variability, and the influencing factors, and develop a reliable modeling system for future projections. This knowledge is essential for informed planning and mitigation strategies aimed at protecting coastal communities and ecosystems. This study presents a comprehensive analysis of mean sea level anomaly (MSLA) trends in the GoG between 1993 and 2020, covering three distinct periods (1993-2002, 2003-2012, and 2013-2020). It investigates the connections between interannual sea level variability and large-scale oceanic and atmospheric forcings. Furthermore, the study evaluates the performance of supervised machine learning techniques to optimize sea level modeling. The findings reveal a consistent rise in MSLA linear trends across the basin, particularly pronounced in the northern region, with a total linear trend of 88 mm over the entire period. The highest decadal trend (38.7 mm) emerged during 2013-2020, with the most substantial percentage increment (100%) occurring in 2003-2012. Spatial variation in decadal sea-level trends was influenced by subbasin physical forcings. Strong interannual signals in the spatial sea level distribution were identified, linked to large-scale oceanic and atmospheric phenomena. Seasonal variations in sea level trends are attributed to seasonal changes in the forcing factors. The evaluation of supervised learning modeling methods indicates that Random Forest Regression and Gradient Boosting Machines are the most accurate, reproducing interannual sea level patterns in the GoG with 97% and 96% accuracy. These models could be used to derive regional sea level projections via downscaling of climate models. These findings provide essential insights for effective coastal management and climate adaptation strategies in the GoG.

Identifiers

PMID38044366
PMCPMC10694157

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Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.