Evidence map›Paper›PMID 38040701›Full record

ArticleNature communications2023

Higher Antarctic ice sheet accumulation and surface melt rates revealed at 2 km resolution.

Brice Noël, J Melchior van Wessem, Bert Wouters, Luke Trusel, Stef Lhermitte, Michiel R van den Broeke

Abstract read
In one paragraph

Article in Nature communications, 2023. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 10 papers.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
10citing papers in PubMed
–field-weighted citation impact
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

10 citing papers in PubMed.

  1. Article
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  8. Article
  9. Partitioning the drivers of Antarctic glacier mass balance (2003-2020) using satellite observations and a regional climate model.Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences of the United States of America · 2024
    Article
  10. Article
4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

6 authors.

Brice NoëlLaboratoire de Climatologie et Topoclimatologie, University of Liège, Liège, Belgium. bnoel@uliege.be.ORCID http://orcid.org/0000-0002-7159-5369
J Melchior van WessemInstitute for Marine and Atmospheric Research Utrecht, Utrecht University, Utrecht, Netherlands.ORCID http://orcid.org/0000-0003-3221-791X
Bert WoutersDepartment of Geoscience and Remote Sensing, Delft University of Technology, Delft, Netherlands.ORCID http://orcid.org/0000-0002-1086-2435
Luke TruselDepartment of Geography, Pennsylvania State University, University Park, PA, USA.ORCID http://orcid.org/0000-0002-7792-6173
Stef LhermitteDepartment of Geoscience and Remote Sensing, Delft University of Technology, Delft, Netherlands.ORCID http://orcid.org/0000-0002-1622-0177
Michiel R van den BroekeInstitute for Marine and Atmospheric Research Utrecht, Utrecht University, Utrecht, Netherlands.ORCID http://orcid.org/0000-0003-4662-7565

Funding

No grant is acknowledged in the PubMed record.

6 · The paper itself

Abstract

Antarctic ice sheet (AIS) mass loss is predominantly driven by increased solid ice discharge, but its variability is governed by surface processes. Snowfall fluctuations control the surface mass balance (SMB) of the grounded AIS, while meltwater ponding can trigger ice shelf collapse potentially accelerating discharge. Surface processes are essential to quantify AIS mass change, but remain poorly represented in climate models typically running at 25-100 km resolution. Here we present SMB and surface melt products statistically downscaled to 2 km resolution for the contemporary climate (1979-2021) and low, moderate and high-end warming scenarios until 2100. We show that statistical downscaling modestly enhances contemporary SMB (3%), which is sufficient to reconcile modelled and satellite mass change. Furthermore, melt strongly increases (46%), notably near the grounding line, in better agreement with in-situ and satellite records. The melt increase persists by 2100 in all warming scenarios, revealing higher surface melt rates than previously estimated.

Identifiers

PMID38040701
PMCPMC10692123

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Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.