Spatial exclusion leads to "tug-of-war" ecological dynamics between competing species within microchannels.

Competition is ubiquitous in microbial communities, shaping both their spatial and temporal structure and composition. Classical minimal models of competition, such as the Moran model, have been employed in ecology and evolutionary biology to understand the role of fixation and invasion in the maintenance of population diversity. Informed by recent experimental studies of cellular competition in confined spaces, we extend the Moran model to incorporate mechanical interactions between cells that divide within the limited space of a one-dimensional open microchannel. The model characterizes the skewed collective growth of the cells dividing within the channel, causing cells to be expelled at the channel ends. The results of this spatial exclusion model differ significantly from those of its classical well-mixed counterpart. The mean time to fixation of a species is greatly accelerated, scaling logarithmically, rather than algebraically, with the system size, and fixation/extinction probability sharply depends on the species' initial fractional abundance. By contrast, successful takeovers by invasive species, whether through mutation or immigration, are substantially less likely than in the Moran model. We also find that the spatial exclusion tends to attenuate the effects of fitness differences on the fixation times and probabilities. We find that these effects arise from the combination of the quasi-neutral "tug-of-war" diffusion dynamics of the inter-species boundary around an unstable equipoise point and the quasi-deterministic avalanche dynamics away from the fixed point. These results, which can be tested in microfluidic monolayer devices, have implications for the maintenance of species diversity in dense bacterial and cellular ecosystems where spatial exclusion is central to the competition, such as in organized biofilms or intestinal crypts.