Evidence map›Paper›PMID 38035733›Full record

ArticleBMJ global health2023

Mpox (monkeypox) risk and mortality associated with HIV infection: a national case-control study in Nigeria.

Adesola Yinka-Ogunleye, Mahmood Dalhat, Afolabi Akinpelu, Olusola Aruna, Fatima Garba, Adama Ahmad, Adesola Adeleye, Iliya Botson, Bamidele Oluwafemi, Oladipo Ogunbode and 6 more

Open access · goldAbstract read
In one paragraph

Article in BMJ global health, 2023. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 36 papers, 3 of them syntheses that pooled it.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
36citing papers in PubMed, 3 pooled it
6.4field-weighted citation impact, top 3% of its field
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

36 citing papers in PubMed, 3 syntheses or guidelines pooled it, 47 citations in OpenAlex.

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  11. From neglected to notoriety: a review of Mpox clinical features, virology, epidemiology, treatment and prevention strategies.European journal of clinical microbiology & infectious diseases : official publication of the European Society of Clinical Microbiology · 2025
    Review
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  14. Mpox, HIV, and a Compounding Sepsis Crisis in Africa.The American journal of tropical medicine and hygiene · 2025
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4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

16 authors at 7 institutions in 5 countries.

Adesola Yinka-OgunleyeDepartment of Surveillance and Epidemiology, Nigeria Centre for Disease Control, Abuja, Nigeria adesola.yinka-ogunleye.20@ucl.ac.uk.
Mahmood DalhatAfrican Field Epidemiology Network, Abuja, Nigeria.
Afolabi AkinpeluNational Reference Laboratory, Nigeria Centre for Disease Control, Abuja, Federal Capital Territory, Nigeria.
Olusola ArunaIHR Strengthening Programme in Nigeria, UK Health Security Agency, London, UK.
Fatima GarbaAfrican Field Epidemiology Network Nigeria, Abuja, Nigeria.
Adama AhmadNational Reference Laboratory, Nigeria Centre for Disease Control, Abuja, Federal Capital Territory, Nigeria.
Adesola AdeleyeNational Reference Laboratory, Nigeria Centre for Disease Control, Abuja, Federal Capital Territory, Nigeria.
Iliya BotsonNational Reference Laboratory, Nigeria Centre for Disease Control, Abuja, Federal Capital Territory, Nigeria.
Bamidele OluwafemiNational Reference Laboratory, Nigeria Centre for Disease Control, Abuja, Federal Capital Territory, Nigeria.
Oladipo OgunbodePrevention Programmes and Knowledge Management, Nigeria Centre for Disease Control, Abuja, Federal Capital Territory, Nigeria.
Lateefat AmaoPrevention Programmes and Knowledge Management, Nigeria Centre for Disease Control, Abuja, Federal Capital Territory, Nigeria.
Udeme EkripoUniversity of Uyo Teaching Hospital, Uyo, Nigeria.
Gambo Gumel AliyuEpidemiology and Prevention, Institute of Human Virology, Baltimore, Maryland, USA.
Ifedayo AdetifaNigeria Centre for Disease Control, Abuja, Nigeria.
Chikwe Ihekweazu *Nigeria Centre for Disease Control, Abuja, Nigeria.
Ibrahim Abubakar *Institute of Global Health, University College London, London, UK.
Nigeria Centre for Disease Control · NGLaboratoire National de Référence · MAAfrican Field Epidemiology Network · NGPrevention Institute · USUK Health Security AgencyUniversity College London · GBUniversity of Uyo Teaching Hospital · NG

Funding

No grant is acknowledged in the PubMed record.

6 · The paper itself

Abstract

introductionRecent outbreaks of mpox are characterised by changes in the natural history of the disease, the demographic and clinical characteristics of the cases, and widening geographical distribution. We investigated the role of HIV and other sexually transmitted infections (STIs) coinfection among cases in the re-emergence of mpox to inform national and global response.

methodsWe conducted a national descriptive and case-control study on cases in the 2017-2019 Nigerian mpox outbreak. Mpox cases were age, sex and geographical area matched each with two randomly selected controls from a representative national HIV/AIDS survey. Logistic regression was used to investigate the association between HIV infection and the risk of mpox acquisition and death.

resultsAmong 204 suspected mpox cases, 86 were confirmed (median age 31 years (IQR 27-38 years), mostly males (61 cases, 70.9%). Three-fifths of mpox cases had serological evidence of one or more STIs with 27.9% (24/86) coinfected with HIV. The case fatality rate was 9.4% (8/86) and 20.8% (5/24) overall and in HIV positive cases respectively. Mpox cases were more likely to have HIV coinfection compared with an age, gender and geography-matched control group drawn from the general population (OR 45 (95% CI 6.1 to 333.5, p=0.002) and when compared with non mpox rash cases (7.29 (95% CI 2.6 to 20.5, p<0.0001)). HIV coinfection and young age were associated with mortality among mpox cases (aOR 13.66 (95% CI 1.88 to 98.95, p=0.010) and aOR 0.90 (0.82-0.97, p=0.008), respectively).

conclusionHIV infection was associated with a higher risk of contracting and dying from mpox. Children are also at high risk of death. STIs in mpox cases may be suggestive of high-risk sexual behaviours among these individuals.

Indexed as

CoinfectionHIV InfectionsMpox, MonkeypoxAdultCase-Control StudiesFemaleHumansMaleNigeriaHIV

Identifiers

PMID38035733
PMCPMC10689363
OpenAlexW4389245012

What OpenQuestion holds

Textmetadata
LicenceCC BY-NC
Read underepoch 390

Registered trials

None linked

Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.