Evidence map›Paper›PMID 38030154›Full record

ArticleBMJ (Clinical research ed.)2023

Untreated cervical intraepithelial neoplasia grade 2 and subsequent risk of cervical cancer: population based cohort study.

Kathrine Dyhr Lycke, Johnny Kahlert, Lone Kjeld Petersen, Rikke Kamp Damgaard, Li C Cheung, Patti E Gravitt, Anne Hammer

Open access · hybridAbstract read
In one paragraph

Article in BMJ (Clinical research ed.), 2023. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 29 papers, 1 of them a synthesis that pooled it.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
29citing papers in PubMed, 1 pooled it
7.3field-weighted citation impact, top 2% of its field
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

29 citing papers in PubMed, 1 synthesis or guideline pooled it, 34 citations in OpenAlex.

  1. Pooled it
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  18. Antiproliferative Effect of Methanolic Extract ofMaterials (Basel, Switzerland) · 2025
    Article
  19. Frontiers in medicine · 2025
    Article
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4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

7 authors at 4 institutions in 2 countries.

Kathrine Dyhr LyckeDepartment of Obstetrics and Gynaecology, Gødstrup Hospital, Herning, Denmark katlyc@clin.au.dk.ORCID 0000-0003-1657-8600
Johnny KahlertDepartment of Clinical Epidemiology, Aarhus University Hospital, Aarhus, Denmark.
Lone Kjeld PetersenDepartment of Obstetrics and Gynaecology, Odense University Hospital, Odense, Denmark.
Rikke Kamp DamgaardDepartment of Obstetrics and Gynaecology, Gødstrup Hospital, Herning, Denmark.
Li C CheungDivision of Cancer Epidemiology and Genetics, National Cancer Institute, Rockville, MD, USA.
Patti E GravittCentre for Global Health, National Cancer Institute, Rockville, MD, USA.
Anne HammerDepartment of Obstetrics and Gynaecology, Gødstrup Hospital, Herning, Denmark.
Aarhus University · DKNational Cancer Institute · USAarhus University Hospital · DKUniversity of Southern Denmark · DK

Funding

No grant is acknowledged in the PubMed record.

6 · The paper itself

Abstract

objectiveTo describe the long term risk of cervical cancer in women with untreated (that is, undergoing active surveillance) or immediately treated cervical intraepithelial neoplasia grade 2 (CIN2).

designNationwide population based historical cohort study.

settingDanish healthcare registries.

participantsWomen with CIN2 diagnosed in 1998-2020 and aged 18-40 years at diagnosis, who had either active surveillance or immediate treatment with large loop excision of the transformation zone (LLETZ). Women with a previous record of CIN2 or worse or LLETZ were excluded.

main outcome measureA Weibull survival model for interval censored time-to-event data was used to estimate the cumulative risk of cervical cancer. Inverse probability treatment weighting was used to adjust estimates for age, index cytology, calendar year, and region of residence.

resultsThe cohort included 27 524 women with CIN2, of whom 12 483 (45%) had active surveillance and 15 041 (55%) had immediate LLETZ. During follow-up, 104 cases of cervical cancer were identified-56 (54%) in the active surveillance group and 48 (46%) in the LLETZ group. The cumulative risk of cervical cancer was comparable across the two groups during the active surveillance period of two years. Thereafter, the risk increased in the active surveillance group, reaching 2.65% (95% confidence interval 2.07% to 3.23%) after 20 years, whereas it remained stable in the LLETZ group at 0.76% (0.58% to 0.95%).

conclusionsUndergoing active surveillance for CIN2, thereby leaving the lesion untreated, was associated with increased long term risk of cervical cancer compared with immediate LLETZ. These findings show the importance of continued follow-up of women having active surveillance.

Indexed as

Papillomavirus InfectionsUterine Cervical DysplasiaUterine Cervical NeoplasmsCohort StudiesColposcopyFemaleHumansPregnancy

Identifiers

PMID38030154
PMCPMC10685285
OpenAlexW4389154702

What OpenQuestion holds

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LicenceCC BY-NC
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Registered trials

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Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.