Evidence map›Paper›PMID 38030128›Full record

ArticleJournal of advanced research2024

Ten metabolites-based algorithm predicts the future development of type 2 diabetes in Chinese.

Xiuli Su, Chloe Y Y Cheung, Junda Zhong, Yi Ru, Carol H Y Fong, Chi-Ho Lee, Yan Liu, Cynthia K Y Cheung, Karen S L Lam, Aimin Xu and 1 more

Open access · goldAbstract read
In one paragraph

Article in Journal of advanced research, 2024. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 11 papers.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
11citing papers in PubMed
2.3field-weighted citation impact, top 11% of its field
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

11 citing papers in PubMed, 15 citations in OpenAlex.

  1. Article
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  4. Early changes in urineMetabolomics : Official journal of the Metabolomic Society · 2025
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  5. Review
  6. Early Prediction of Fetal Macrosomia Through Maternal Lipid Profiles.International journal of molecular sciences · 2025
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  7. Catalpol-a compound fromFrontiers in microbiology · 2025
    Article
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  10. Observational
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4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

11 authors at 3 institutions in 2 countries.

Xiuli SuState Key Laboratory of Environmental and Biological Analysis, Hong Kong Baptist University, Hong Kong, China.
Chloe Y Y CheungDepartment of Medicine, The University of Hong Kong, Hong Kong, China; State Key Laboratory of Pharmaceutical Biotechnology, The University of Hong Kong, Hong Kong, China.
Junda ZhongDepartment of Medicine, The University of Hong Kong, Hong Kong, China; State Key Laboratory of Pharmaceutical Biotechnology, The University of Hong Kong, Hong Kong, China.
Yi RuState Key Laboratory of Environmental and Biological Analysis, Hong Kong Baptist University, Hong Kong, China.
Carol H Y FongDepartment of Medicine, The University of Hong Kong, Hong Kong, China; State Key Laboratory of Pharmaceutical Biotechnology, The University of Hong Kong, Hong Kong, China.
Chi-Ho LeeDepartment of Medicine, The University of Hong Kong, Hong Kong, China; State Key Laboratory of Pharmaceutical Biotechnology, The University of Hong Kong, Hong Kong, China.
Yan LiuDepartment of Medicine, The University of Hong Kong, Hong Kong, China; State Key Laboratory of Pharmaceutical Biotechnology, The University of Hong Kong, Hong Kong, China.
Cynthia K Y CheungDepartment of Medicine, The University of Hong Kong, Hong Kong, China; State Key Laboratory of Pharmaceutical Biotechnology, The University of Hong Kong, Hong Kong, China.
Karen S L LamDepartment of Medicine, The University of Hong Kong, Hong Kong, China; State Key Laboratory of Pharmaceutical Biotechnology, The University of Hong Kong, Hong Kong, China. Electronic address: ksllam@hku.hk.
Aimin XuDepartment of Medicine, The University of Hong Kong, Hong Kong, China; State Key Laboratory of Pharmaceutical Biotechnology, The University of Hong Kong, Hong Kong, China; Department of Pharmacology & Pharmacy, The University of Hong Kong, Hong Kong, China. Electronic address: amxu@hku.hk.
Zongwei CaiState Key Laboratory of Environmental and Biological Analysis, Hong Kong Baptist University, Hong Kong, China. Electronic address: zwcai@hkbu.edu.hk.
Pharmaceutical Biotechnology (Czechia) · CZHong Kong Baptist University · HKUniversity of Hong Kong · HK

Funding

No grant is acknowledged in the PubMed record.

6 · The paper itself

Abstract

introductionType 2 diabetes (T2D) is a heterogeneous metabolic disease with large variations in the relative contributions of insulin resistance and β-cell dysfunction across different glucose tolerance subgroups and ethnicities. A more precise yet feasible approach to categorize risk preceding T2D onset is urgently needed. This study aimed to identify potential metabolic biomarkers that could contribute to the development of T2D and investigate whether their impact on T2D is mediated through insulin resistance and β-cell dysfunction.

methodsA non-targeted metabolomic analysis was performed in plasma samples of 196 incident T2D cases and 196 age- and sex-matched non-T2D controls recruited from a long-term prospective Chinese community-based cohort with a follow-up period of ∼ 16 years.

resultsMetabolic profiles revealed profound perturbation of metabolomes before T2D onset. Overall metabolic shifts were strongly associated with insulin resistance rather than β-cell dysfunction. In addition, 188 out of the 578 annotated metabolites were associated with insulin resistance. Bi-directional mediation analysis revealed putative causal relationships among the metabolites, insulin resistance and T2D risk. We built a machine-learning based prediction model, integrating the conventional clinical risk factors (age, BMI, TyG index and 2hG) and 10 metabolites (acetyl-tryptophan, kynurenine, γ-glutamyl-phenylalanine, DG(18:2/22:6), DG(38:7), LPI(18:2), LPC(P-16:0), LPC(P-18:1), LPC(P-20:0) and LPE(P-20:0)) (AUROC = 0.894, 5.6% improvement comparing to the conventional clinical risk model), that successfully predicts the development of T2D.

conclusionsOur findings support the notion that the metabolic changes resulting from insulin resistance, rather than β-cell dysfunction, are the primary drivers of T2D in Chinese adults. Metabolomes as a valuable phenotype hold potential clinical utility in the prediction of T2D.

Indexed as

BiomarkersDiabetes Mellitus, Type 2Insulin ResistanceAdultAgedAlgorithmsChinaEast Asian PeopleFemaleHumansInsulin-Secreting CellsMaleMetabolomeMetabolomicsMiddle AgedProspective StudiesBiomarkersInsulin resistanceMetabolomicsPredictionType 2 diabetes

Identifiers

PMID38030128
PMCPMC11464468
OpenAlexW4389097309

What OpenQuestion holds

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LicenceCC BY-NC-ND
Read underepoch 390

Registered trials

None linked

Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.