Evidence map›Paper›PMID 38026447›Full record

ArticleLancet regional health. Americas2023

Impact of post-incarceration care engagement interventions on HIV transmission among young Black men who have sex with men and their sexual partners: an agent-based network modeling study.

Anna L Hotton, Francis Lee, Daniel Sheeler, Jonathan Ozik, Nicholson Collier, Mert Edali, Babak Mahdavi Ardestani, Russell Brewer, Katrina M Schrode, Kayo Fujimoto and 3 more

Open access · goldAbstract read
In one paragraph

Article in Lancet regional health. Americas, 2023. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 5 papers, 2 of them syntheses that pooled it.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
5citing papers in PubMed, 2 pooled it
1.7field-weighted citation impact, top 14% of its field
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

5 citing papers in PubMed, 2 syntheses or guidelines pooled it, 4 citations in OpenAlex.

  1. Pooled it
  2. A Review of Network Models for HIV Spread.Journal of acquired immune deficiency syndromes (1999) · 2025
    Pooled it
  3. Trial
  4. Article
  5. Article
4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

13 authors at 7 institutions in 2 countries.

Anna L HottonDepartment of Medicine, University of Chicago, Chicago, IL, USA.
Francis LeeDepartment of Medicine, University of Chicago, Chicago, IL, USA.
Daniel SheelerDepartment of Medicine, University of Chicago, Chicago, IL, USA.
Jonathan OzikArgonne National Laboratory, Lemont, IL, USA.
Nicholson CollierArgonne National Laboratory, Lemont, IL, USA.
Mert EdaliDepartment of Medicine, University of Chicago, Chicago, IL, USA.
Babak Mahdavi ArdestaniDepartment of Medicine, University of Chicago, Chicago, IL, USA.
Russell BrewerDepartment of Medicine, University of Chicago, Chicago, IL, USA.
Katrina M SchrodeDepartment of Psychiatry, Charles R. Drew University of Medicine and Science, Los Angeles, CA, USA.
Kayo FujimotoDepartment of Health Promotion and Behavioral Sciences, School of Public Health, University of Texas Health Science Center at Houston, Houston, TX, USA.
Nina T HarawaDepartment of Psychiatry, Charles R. Drew University of Medicine and Science, Los Angeles, CA, USA.
John A SchneiderDepartment of Medicine, University of Chicago, Chicago, IL, USA.
Aditya S KhannaCenter for Alcohol and Addiction Studies and Department of Behavioral and Social Sciences, Brown University School of Public Health, Providence, RI, USA.
University of Chicago · USArgonne National Laboratory · USBrown University · USCharles R. Drew University of Medicine and Science · USChicago Department of Public Health · USThe University of Texas Health Science Center at Houston · USUniversity of California, Los Angeles · US

Funding

UCLA Rapid, Relevant, Rigorous Implementation Science HubP30MH058107 · NIMH · UNIVERSITY OF CALIFORNIA LOS ANGELES · PI Sung-Jae Lee · 1997 to 2026
$53.5M
Translational ScienceP30AI042853 · NIAID · MIRIAM HOSPITAL · PI CURT G BECKWITH, DEBBIE M. CHENG · 1998 to 2026
$51.7M
Using wearables and EMA to examine the links between cannabis and depressionP20GM130414 · NIGMS · BROWN UNIVERSITY · PI Cara Murphy · 2019 to 2026
$22.0M
Training Program for Scientists Conducting Research to Reduce HIV Health DisparitR25MH067127 · NIMH · UNIVERSITY OF CALIFORNIA, SAN FRANCISCO · PI Emily A Arnold, Torsten Brian Neilands · 2003 to 2026
$5.4M
Integrative Training in the Neurobiology of Addictive BehaviorsT32DA043469 · NIDA · UNIVERSITY OF CHICAGO · PI Donald Hedeker, Xiaoxi Zhuang · 2017 to 2026
$3.8M
HIV intervention models for criminal justice involved substance-using Black MSMR01DA039934 · NIDA · UNIVERSITY OF CHICAGO · PI FUJIMOTO, KAYO, HARAWA, NINA THAWATA · 2015 to 2019
$3.6M
NIAID NIH HHS P30 AI042853NIDA NIH HHS R01 DA039934NIDA NIH HHS T32 DA043469NIGMS NIH HHS P20 GM130414NIMH NIH HHS P30 MH058107NIMH NIH HHS R25 MH067127
6 · The paper itself

Abstract

Background: Understanding the impact of incarceration on HIV transmission among Black men who have sex with men is important given their disproportionate representation among people experiencing incarceration and the potential impact of incarceration on social and sexual networks, employment, housing, and medical care. We developed an agent-based network model (ABNM) of 10,000 agents representing young Black men who have sex with men in the city of Chicago to examine the impact of varying degrees of post-incarceration care disruption and care engagement interventions following release from jail on HIV incidence. Methods: Exponential random graph models were used to model network formation and dissolution dynamics, and network dynamics and HIV care continuum engagement were varied according to incarceration status. Hypothetical interventions to improve post-release engagement in HIV care for individuals with incarceration (e.g., enhanced case management, linkage to housing and employment services) were compared to a control scenario with no change in HIV care engagement after release. Finding: HIV incidence at 10 years was 4.98 [95% simulation interval (SI): 4.87, 5.09 per 100 person-years (py)] in the model population overall; 5.58 (95% SI 5.38, 5.76 per 100 py) among those with history of incarceration, and 12.86 (95% SI 11.89, 13.73 per 100 py) among partners of agents recently released from incarceration. Sustained post-release HIV care for agents with HIV and experiencing recent incarceration resulted in a 46% reduction in HIV incidence among post-incarceration partners [incidence rate (IR) per 100 py = 5.72 (95% SI 5.19, 6.27) vs. 10.61 (95% SI 10.09, 11.24); incidence rate ratio (IRR) = 0.54; (95% SI 0.48, 0.60)] and a 19% reduction in HIV incidence in the population overall [(IR per 100 py = 3.89 (95% SI 3.81-3.99) vs. 4.83 (95% SI 4.73, 4.92); IRR = 0.81 (95% SI 0.78, 0.83)] compared to a scenario with no change in HIV care engagement from pre-to post-release. Interpretation: Developing effective and scalable interventions to increase HIV care engagement among individuals experiencing recent incarceration and their sexual partners is needed to reduce HIV transmission among Black men who have sex with men. Funding: This work was supported by the following grants from the National Institutes of Health: R01DA039934; P20 GM 130414; P30 AI 042853; P30MH058107; T32 DA 043469; U2C DA050098 and the California HIV/AIDS Research Program: OS17-LA-003; H21PC3466.

Indexed as

Agent-based modelingHIVIncarcerationSexual minorities

Identifiers

PMID38026447
PMCPMC10679934
OpenAlexW4388553301

What OpenQuestion holds

Textmetadata
LicenceCC BY-NC-ND
Read underepoch 390

Registered trials

None linked

Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.