Evidence map›Paper›PMID 38026007›Full record

ArticleRoyal Society open science2023

The effects of communicating uncertainty around statistics, on public trust.

John Kerr, Anne-Marthe van der Bles, Sarah Dryhurst, Claudia R Schneider, Vivien Chopurian, Alexandra L J Freeman, Sander van der Linden

Abstract read
In one paragraph

Article in Royal Society open science, 2023. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 9 papers.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
9citing papers in PubMed
–field-weighted citation impact
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

9 citing papers in PubMed.

  1. Article
  2. Article
  3. Uncertainty communication, trust and health promotion.Health promotion and chronic disease prevention in Canada : research, policy and practice · 2025
    Article
  4. An agenda for science communication research and practice.Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences of the United States of America · 2025
    Article
  5. Article
  6. Article
  7. Article
  8. Article
  9. Article
4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

7 authors.

John KerrWinton Centre for Risk & Evidence Communication, University of Cambridge, Cambridge CB2 1TN, UK.ORCID 0000-0002-6606-5507
Anne-Marthe van der BlesDepartment of Social Psychology, The University of Groningen, Groningen, Netherlands.ORCID 0000-0002-7953-9425
Sarah DryhurstWinton Centre for Risk & Evidence Communication, University of Cambridge, Cambridge CB2 1TN, UK.ORCID 0000-0002-7772-8492
Claudia R SchneiderWinton Centre for Risk & Evidence Communication, University of Cambridge, Cambridge CB2 1TN, UK.ORCID 0000-0002-6612-5186
Vivien ChopurianDepartment of Psychology, Humboldt-Universität zu Berlin, Berlin 10099, Germany.ORCID 0000-0001-5446-7798
Alexandra L J FreemanWinton Centre for Risk & Evidence Communication, University of Cambridge, Cambridge CB2 1TN, UK.ORCID 0000-0002-4115-161X
Sander van der LindenDepartment of Public Health, University of Otago, Wellington, New Zealand.ORCID 0000-0002-0269-1744

Funding

No grant is acknowledged in the PubMed record.

6 · The paper itself

Abstract

Uncertainty around statistics is inevitable. However, communicators of uncertain statistics, particularly in high-stakes and potentially political circumstances, may be concerned that presenting uncertainties could undermine the perceived trustworthiness of the information or its source. In a large survey experiment (Study 1;

Indexed as

communicationCOVID-19trusttrustworthinessuncertainty

Identifiers

PMID38026007
PMCPMC10663791

What OpenQuestion holds

Textmetadata
LicenceCC BY
Read underepoch 390

Registered trials

None linked

Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.