ArticleGlobal environmental change : human and policy dimensions2022
How the future of the global forest sink depends on timber demand, forest management, and carbon policies.
Article in Global environmental change : human and policy dimensions, 2022. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 17 papers.
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The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.
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Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.
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Who cites it
17 citing papers in PubMed.
- Private land conservation through voluntary biodiversity conservation schemes: lessons from a payment for ecosystem services scheme in Finland.Bioscience · 2025Article
- Response of Global Forest Management to Changes in Wood Demand.Global change biology · 2025Article
- An option space approach to wood use: Providing structural timber for buildings while safeguarding forest integrity.iScience · 2025Article
- Impacts of Climate Change Interventions on Biodiversity, Water, the Food System and Human Health and Well-Being.Global change biology · 2025Review
- Role of Forest Carbon Change in Shaping Future Land Use and Land Cover Change.Global change biology · 2025Article
- Temperate forests can deliver future wood demand and climate-change mitigation dependent on afforestation and circularity.Nature communications · 2025Article
- Investing in U.S. forests to mitigate climate change.Carbon balance and management · 2025Article
- Advancing forest carbon projections requires improved convergence between ecological and economic models.Carbon balance and management · 2025Review
- Article
- Substantial carbon removal capacity of Taiga reforestation and afforestation at Canada's boreal edge.Communications earth & environment · 2025Article
- Land-use change, no-net-loss policies, and effects on carbon dioxide removals.Carbon balance and management · 2024Article
- Sapling recruitment as an indicator of carbon resiliency in forests of the northern USA.Ecology and evolution · 2024Article
- Managing Forests for Biodiversity Conservation and Climate Change Mitigation.Environmental science & technology · 2024Article
- Modeling wood product carbon flows in southern us pine plantations: implications for carbon storage.Carbon balance and management · 2024Article
- Research on the Duality of China's Marine Fishery Carbon Emissions and Its Coordination with Economic Development.International journal of environmental research and public health · 2023Article
- Projecting U.S. forest management, market, and carbon sequestration responses to a high-impact climate scenario.Forest policy and economics · 2022Article
- Simulation of Vegetation Carbon Sink of Arbor Forest and Carbon Mitigation of Forestry Bioenergy in China.International journal of environmental research and public health · 2022Article
Corrections and comments
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Authors and funding
9 authors.
Funding
Abstract
Deforestation has contributed significantly to net greenhouse gas emissions, but slowing deforestation, regrowing forests and other ecosystem processes have made forests a net sink. Deforestation will still influence future carbon fluxes, but the role of forest growth through aging, management, and other silvicultural inputs on future carbon fluxes are critically important but not always recognized by bookkeeping and integrated assessment models. When projecting the future, it is vital to capture how management processes affect carbon storage in ecosystems and wood products. This study uses multiple global forest sector models to project forest carbon impacts across 81 shared socioeconomic (SSP) and climate mitigation pathway scenarios. We illustrate the importance of modeling management decisions in existing forests in response to changing demands for land resources, wood products and carbon. Although the models vary in key attributes, there is general agreement across a majority of scenarios that the global forest sector could remain a carbon sink in the future, sequestering 1.2-5.8 GtCO2e/yr over the next century. Carbon fluxes in the baseline scenarios that exclude climate mitigation policy ranged from -0.8 to 4.9 GtCO2e/yr, highlighting the strong influence of SSPs on forest sector model estimates. Improved forest management can jointly increase carbon stocks and harvests without expanding forest area, suggesting that carbon fluxes from managed forests systems deserve more careful consideration by the climate policy community.
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Registered trials
Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.