Evidence map›Paper›PMID 38019703›Full record

ArticleInfluenza and other respiratory viruses2023

Transmissibility and severity of COVID-19 in a humanitarian setting: First few X investigation of cases and contacts in Juba, South Sudan, 2020.

Richard Lino Loro Lako, Niamh Meagher, Joseph Francis Wamala, John Ndyahikayo, Ayesheshem Ademe Tegegne, Olushayo Oluseun Olu, David J Price, Soatiana Rajatonirina, Elise Farley, Joseph Chukwudi Okeibunor and 1 more

Abstract read
In one paragraph

Article in Influenza and other respiratory viruses, 2023. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 3 papers, 1 of them a synthesis that pooled it.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
3citing papers in PubMed, 1 pooled it
–field-weighted citation impact
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

3 citing papers in PubMed, 1 synthesis or guideline pooled it.

  1. Pooled it
  2. Jugan geon-gang gwa jilbyeong · 2024
    Review
  3. Article
4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

11 authors.

Richard Lino Loro LakoGovernment of the Republic of South Sudan Ministry of Health Juba South Sudan.
Niamh MeagherDepartment of Infectious Diseases The University of Melbourne, at The Peter Doherty Institute for Infection and Immunity Melbourne Australia.ORCID 0000-0001-5324-8307
Joseph Francis WamalaWorld Health Organization Juba South Sudan.
John NdyahikayoWorld Health Organization Juba South Sudan.
Ayesheshem Ademe TegegneWorld Health Organization Juba South Sudan.
Olushayo Oluseun OluWorld Health Organization Juba South Sudan.
David J PriceDepartment of Infectious Diseases The University of Melbourne, at The Peter Doherty Institute for Infection and Immunity Melbourne Australia.
Soatiana RajatonirinaWorld Health Organization, AFRO Brazzaville Congo.
Elise FarleyWorld Health Organization, AFRO Brazzaville Congo.ORCID 0000-0003-4457-4068
Joseph Chukwudi OkeibunorWorld Health Organization, AFRO Brazzaville Congo.
Valerie Ann MizeWorld Health Organization Juba South Sudan.

Funding

World Health Organization 001
6 · The paper itself

Abstract

backgroundThe first few 'X' (FFX) studies provide evidence to guide public health decision-making and resource allocation. The adapted WHO Unity FFX protocol for COVID-19 was implemented to gain an understanding of the clinical, epidemiological, virological and household transmission dynamics of the first cases of COVID-19 infection detected in Juba, South Sudan.

methodsLaboratory-confirmed COVID-19 cases were identified through the national surveillance system, and an initial visit was conducted with eligible cases to identify all close contacts. Consenting cases and close contacts were enrolled between June 2020 and December 2020. Demographic, clinical information and biological samples were taken at enrollment and 14-21 days post-enrollment for all participants.

resultsTwenty-nine primary cases and 82 contacts were included in the analyses. Most primary cases (n = 23/29, 79.3%) and contacts (n = 61/82, 74.4%) were male. Many primary cases (n = 18/29, 62.1%) and contacts (n = 51/82, 62.2%) were seropositive for SARS-CoV-2 at baseline. The secondary attack rate among susceptible contacts was 12.9% (4/31; 95% CI: 4.9%-29.7%). All secondary cases and most (72%) primary cases were asymptomatic. Reported symptoms included coughing (n = 6/29, 20.7%), fever or history of fever (n = 4/29, 13.8%), headache (n = 3/29, 10.3%) and shortness of breath (n = 3/29, 10.3%). Of 38 cases, two were hospitalised (5.3%) and one died (2.6%).

conclusionsThese findings were used to develop the South Sudanese Ministry of Health surveillance and contract tracing protocols, informing local COVID-19 case definitions, follow-up protocols and data management systems. This investigation demonstrates that rapid FFX implementation is critical in understanding the emerging disease and informing response priorities.

Indexed as

COVID-19Contact TracingFemaleHumansIncidenceMaleSARS-CoV-2South SudanCOVID-19first few XSouth Sudantransmission investigation

Identifiers

PMID38019703
PMCPMC10655784

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LicenceCC BY
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Registered trials

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Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.