Evidence map›Paper›PMID 38017415›Full record

ArticleBMC public health2023

Evaluating effective measles vaccine coverage in the Malaysian population accounting for between-dose correlation and vaccine efficacy.

Shurendar Selva Kumar, Anna-Maria Hartner, Arunah Chandran, Katy A M Gaythorpe, Xiang Li

Abstract read
In one paragraph

Article in BMC public health, 2023. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 4 papers, 1 of them a synthesis that pooled it.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
4citing papers in PubMed, 1 pooled it
–field-weighted citation impact
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

4 citing papers in PubMed, 1 synthesis or guideline pooled it.

  1. Pooled it
  2. Article
  3. Article
  4. Article
4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

5 authors.

Shurendar Selva KumarMRC Centre for Global Infectious Disease Analysis, Jameel Institute, School of Public Health, Imperial College London, London, W2 1NY, UK. shurendarselvakumar@gmail.com.
Anna-Maria HartnerMRC Centre for Global Infectious Disease Analysis, Jameel Institute, School of Public Health, Imperial College London, London, W2 1NY, UK.
Arunah Chandran, Lyon, France.
Katy A M GaythorpeMRC Centre for Global Infectious Disease Analysis, Jameel Institute, School of Public Health, Imperial College London, London, W2 1NY, UK.
Xiang LiMRC Centre for Global Infectious Disease Analysis, Jameel Institute, School of Public Health, Imperial College London, London, W2 1NY, UK. x.li@imperial.ac.uk.

Funding

Medical Research Council MR/R015600/1
6 · The paper itself

Abstract

backgroundMalaysia introduced the two dose measles-mumps-rubella (MMR) vaccine in 2004 as part of its measles elimination strategy. However, despite high historical coverage of MCV1 and MCV2, Malaysia continues to report high measles incidence. This study suggests a novel indicator for investigating population immunity against measles in the Malaysian population.

methodsWe define effective vaccine coverage (EVC) of measles as the proportion of a population vaccinated with measles-containing vaccine (MCV) and effectively protected against measles infection. A quantitative evaluation of EVC throughout the life course of Malaysian birth cohorts was conducted accounting for both vaccine efficacy (VE) and between-dose correlation (BdC). Measles vaccination coverage was sourced from WHO-UNICEF estimates of Malaysia's routine immunisation coverage and supplementary immunisation activities (SIAs). United Nations World population estimates and projections (UNWPP) provided birth cohort sizes stratified by age and year. A step wise joint Bernoulli distribution was used to proportionate the Malaysian population born between 1982, the first year of Malaysia's measles vaccination programme, and 2021, into individuals who received zero dose, one dose and multiple doses of MCV. VE estimates by age and doses received are then adopted to derive EVC. A sensitivity analysis was conducted using 1000 random combinations of BdC and VE parameters.

resultsThis study suggests that no birth cohort in the Malaysian population has achieved > 95% population immunity (EVC) conferred through measles vaccination since the measles immunisation programme began in Malaysia.

conclusionThe persistence of measles in Malaysia is due to pockets of insufficient vaccination coverage against measles in the population. Monitoring BdC through immunisation surveillance systems may allow for the identification of susceptible subpopulations (primarily zero-dose MCV individuals) and increase the coverage of individuals who are vaccinated with multiple doses of MCV. This study provides a tool for assessment of national-level population immunity of measles conferred through vaccination and does not consider subnational heterogeneity or vaccine waning. This tool can be readily applied to other regions and vaccine-preventable diseases.

Indexed as

MeaslesMeasles VaccineHumansImmunization ProgramsImmunization ScheduleMeasles-Mumps-Rubella VaccineMeasles virusVaccinationVaccine EfficacyMeasles-Mumps-Rubella VaccineMeasles VaccineDose correlationImmunisation ProgramsMalaysiaMeaslesMeasles VaccineVaccinationVaccination Coverage

Identifiers

PMID38017415
PMCPMC10683193

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Registered trials

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Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.