Evidence map›Paper›PMID 38015594›Full record

ArticleJMIR public health and surveillance2023

Application of Machine Learning Prediction of Individual SARS-CoV-2 Vaccination and Infection Status to the French Serosurveillance Survey From March 2020 to 2022: Cross-Sectional Study.

Stéphanie Bougeard, Adeline Huneau-Salaun, Mikael Attia, Jean-Baptiste Richard, Caroline Demeret, Johnny Platon, Virginie Allain, Stéphane Le Vu, Sophie Goyard, Véronique Gillon and 8 more

Open access · goldAbstract read
In one paragraph

Article in JMIR public health and surveillance, 2023. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 1 paper.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
1citing papers in PubMed
0.2field-weighted citation impact, top 50% of its field
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

1 citing paper in PubMed, 1 citations in OpenAlex.

  1. Article
4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

18 authors at 4 institutions in 1 country.

Stéphanie BougeardEpidemiology, Health and Welfare, Laboratory of Ploufragan-Plouzané-Niort, French Agency for Food, Environmental, Occupational Health & Safety, Ploufragan, France.ORCID 0009-0002-4729-5355
Adeline Huneau-SalaunEpidemiology, Health and Welfare, Laboratory of Ploufragan-Plouzané-Niort, French Agency for Food, Environmental, Occupational Health & Safety, Ploufragan, France.ORCID 0000-0002-2343-5176
Mikael AttiaUnit of Molecular Genetics of RNA Viruses, Institut Pasteur, Paris, France.ORCID 0009-0005-2294-9414
Jean-Baptiste RichardData Support, Processing and Analysis Department, Santé publique France, Saint-Maurice, France.ORCID 0000-0002-4193-9159
Caroline DemeretUnit of Molecular Genetics of RNA Viruses, Institut Pasteur, Paris, France.ORCID 0000-0002-1103-6805
Johnny PlatonData Support, Processing and Analysis Department, Santé publique France, Saint-Maurice, France.ORCID 0009-0009-7592-8894
Virginie AllainEpidemiology, Health and Welfare, Laboratory of Ploufragan-Plouzané-Niort, French Agency for Food, Environmental, Occupational Health & Safety, Ploufragan, France.ORCID 0009-0008-0650-5700
Stéphane Le VuEPI-PHARE, Saint-Denis, France.ORCID 0000-0002-1303-8281
Sophie GoyardDiagnostic Test Innovation and Development Core Facility, Institut Pasteur, Paris, France.ORCID 0000-0002-8937-2796
Véronique GillonClinical Immunology Laboratory, Institut Curie, Paris, France.ORCID 0009-0003-2404-1149
Sibylle Bernard-StoecklinInfectious Disease Division, Santé publique France, Saint-Maurice, France.ORCID 0000-0002-5027-0362
Bernadette Crescenzo-ChaigneUnit of Molecular Genetics of RNA Viruses, Institut Pasteur, Paris, France.ORCID 0000-0002-1211-5871
Gabrielle JonesInfectious Disease Division, Santé publique France, Saint-Maurice, France.ORCID 0000-0001-9441-4172
Nicolas RoseEpidemiology, Health and Welfare, Laboratory of Ploufragan-Plouzané-Niort, French Agency for Food, Environmental, Occupational Health & Safety, Ploufragan, France.ORCID 0000-0003-1327-621X
Sylvie van der WerfUnit of Molecular Genetics of RNA Viruses, Institut Pasteur, Paris, France.ORCID 0000-0002-1148-4456
Olivier Lantz *Clinical Immunology Laboratory, Institut Curie, Paris, France.ORCID 0000-0003-3161-7719
Thierry Rose *Diagnostic Test Innovation and Development Core Facility, Institut Pasteur, Paris, France.ORCID 0000-0001-8863-0207
Harold Noël *Infectious Disease Division, Santé publique France, Saint-Maurice, France.ORCID 0000-0003-3011-9267
Institut Pasteur · FRSanté Publique France · FRAgence Nationale de Sécurité Sanitaire de l’Alimentation, de l’Environnement et du Travail · FRInstitut Curie · FR

Funding

No grant is acknowledged in the PubMed record.

6 · The paper itself

Abstract

backgroundThe seroprevalence of SARS-CoV-2 infection in the French population was estimated with a representative, repeated cross-sectional survey based on residual sera from routine blood testing. These data contained no information on infection or vaccination status, thus limiting the ability to detail changes observed in the immunity level of the population over time.

objectiveOur aim is to predict the infected or vaccinated status of individuals in the French serosurveillance survey based only on the results of serological assays. Reference data on longitudinal serological profiles of seronegative, infected, and vaccinated individuals from another French cohort were used to build the predictive model.

methodsA model of individual vaccination or infection status with respect to SARS-CoV-2 obtained from a machine learning procedure was proposed based on 3 complementary serological assays. This model was applied to the French nationwide serosurveillance survey from March 2020 to March 2022 to estimate the proportions of the population that were negative, infected, vaccinated, or infected and vaccinated.

resultsFrom February 2021 to March 2022, the estimated percentage of infected and unvaccinated individuals in France increased from 7.5% to 16.8%. During this period, the estimated percentage increased from 3.6% to 45.2% for vaccinated and uninfected individuals and from 2.1% to 29.1% for vaccinated and infected individuals. The decrease in the seronegative population can be largely attributed to vaccination.

conclusionsCombining results from the serosurveillance survey with more complete data from another longitudinal cohort completes the information retrieved from serosurveillance while keeping its protocol simple and easy to implement.

Indexed as

COVID-19COVID-19 VaccinesCross-Sectional StudiesHumansMachine LearningSARS-CoV-2Seroepidemiologic StudiesVaccinationCOVID-19 Vaccinesblood testingFrench populationimmunityinfectionmachine learningpredictionSARS-CoV-2serological surveillanceseroprevalencesurveyvaccinationvaccine response

Identifiers

PMID38015594
PMCPMC10716765
OpenAlexW4381433002

What OpenQuestion holds

Textmetadata
LicenceCC BY
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Registered trials

None linked

Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.