Evidence map›Paper›PMID 38012176›Full record

ArticleNature communications2023

Ocean fronts as decadal thermostats modulating continental warming hiatus.

Mi-Kyung Sung, Soon-Il An, Jongsoo Shin, Jae-Heung Park, Young-Min Yang, Hyo-Jeong Kim, Minhee Chang

Abstract read
In one paragraph

Article in Nature communications, 2023. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 3 papers, 1 of them a synthesis that pooled it.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
3citing papers in PubMed, 1 pooled it
–field-weighted citation impact
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

3 citing papers in PubMed, 1 synthesis or guideline pooled it.

  1. Pooled it
  2. Article
  3. Article
4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

7 authors.

Mi-Kyung SungClimate and Environmental Research Institute, Korea Institute of Science and Technology, Seoul, Republic of Korea. mksung@kist.re.kr.ORCID http://orcid.org/0000-0002-7659-6571
Soon-Il AnDepartment of Atmospheric Sciences/Irreversible Climate Change Research Center, Yonsei University, Seoul, Republic of Korea. sian@yonsei.ac.kr.ORCID http://orcid.org/0000-0002-0003-429X
Jongsoo ShinWoods Hole Oceanographic Institution, Woods Hole, MA, USA.ORCID http://orcid.org/0000-0002-3199-7646
Jae-Heung ParkSchool of Earth and Environmental Sciences, Seoul National University, Seoul, Republic of Korea.ORCID http://orcid.org/0000-0002-8556-2314
Young-Min YangKey Laboratory of Meteorological Disaster, Ministry of Education (KLME)/Joint International Research Laboratory of Climate and Environment Change (ILCEC)/Collaborative Innovation Center on Forecast and Evaluation of Meteorological Disasters (CIC-FEMD), Nanjing University of Information Science and Technology, Nanjing, China.
Hyo-Jeong KimLow-Carbon and Climate Impact Research Centre, School of Energy and Environment, City University of Hong Kong, Hong Kong SAR, China.ORCID http://orcid.org/0000-0002-5339-6817
Minhee ChangClimate and Environmental Research Institute, Korea Institute of Science and Technology, Seoul, Republic of Korea.

Funding

National Research Foundation of Korea (NRF) 2021R1A2C1003934National Research Foundation of Korea (NRF) NRF-2018R1A5A1024958
6 · The paper itself

Abstract

Over the past decade, an unexpected cooling trend has been observed in East Asia and North America during winter. Climate model simulations suggest that this pattern of stalled warming, besides accelerated warming, will repeat throughout the course of global warming, influenced by the natural decade-long variations in the climate system. However, understanding the exact factors affecting the pace of warming remains a challenge. Here we show that a pause in warming over continental areas-namely, local warming hiatus-can be accompanied by excessive heat accumulation north of the ocean fronts. This oceanic condition, often manifesting in the form of marine heatwaves, constrains the subseasonal growth of atmospheric planetary waves, significantly increasing the likelihood of cold extremes in downstream continents. Our results underscore the importance of closely monitoring changing ocean fronts in response to human-induced warming, which can potentially reshape the inherent decade-long fluctuations within regional climates over the long term.

Identifiers

PMID38012176
PMCPMC10682185

What OpenQuestion holds

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LicenceCC BY
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Registered trials

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Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.