Evidence map›Paper›PMID 38012114›Full record

ArticleBJOG : an international journal of obstetrics and gynaecology2025

Neonatal mortality risk of large-for-gestational-age and macrosomic live births in 15 countries, including 115.6 million nationwide linked records, 2000-2020.

Lorena Suárez-Idueta, Eric O Ohuma, Chia-Jung Chang, Elizabeth A Hazel, Judith Yargawa, Yemisrach B Okwaraji, Ellen Bradley, Adrienne Gordon, Jessica Sexton, Harriet L S Lawford and 30 more

Abstract read
In one paragraph

Article in BJOG : an international journal of obstetrics and gynaecology, 2025. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 11 papers.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
11citing papers in PubMed
–field-weighted citation impact
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

11 citing papers in PubMed.

  1. Article
  2. Article
  3. Adverse perinatal outcomes associated with macrosomia in nulliparous women: A multicenter cohort study.International journal of gynaecology and obstetrics: the official organ of the International Federation of Gynaecology and Obstetrics · 2026
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4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

40 authors.

Lorena Suárez-IduetaMexican Society of Public Health, Mexico City, Mexico.ORCID https://orcid.org/0000-0003-0909-7737
Eric O OhumaMaternal, Adolescent, Reproductive & Child Health (MARCH) Centre, London School of Hygiene & Tropical Medicine, London, UK.ORCID https://orcid.org/0000-0002-3116-2593
Chia-Jung ChangMaternal, Adolescent, Reproductive & Child Health (MARCH) Centre, London School of Hygiene & Tropical Medicine, London, UK.
Elizabeth A HazelDepartment of International Health, Johns Hopkins Bloomberg School of Public Health, Baltimore, Maryland, USA.ORCID https://orcid.org/0000-0002-9176-3278
Judith YargawaMaternal, Adolescent, Reproductive & Child Health (MARCH) Centre, London School of Hygiene & Tropical Medicine, London, UK.ORCID https://orcid.org/0000-0002-6299-2215
Yemisrach B OkwarajiMaternal, Adolescent, Reproductive & Child Health (MARCH) Centre, London School of Hygiene & Tropical Medicine, London, UK.ORCID https://orcid.org/0000-0002-4541-2856
Ellen BradleyMaternal, Adolescent, Reproductive & Child Health (MARCH) Centre, London School of Hygiene & Tropical Medicine, London, UK.ORCID https://orcid.org/0009-0009-4457-0762
Adrienne GordonFaculty of Medicine and Health, University of Sydney, Camperdown, New South Wales, Australia.ORCID https://orcid.org/0000-0002-2328-1066
Jessica SextonNational Health and Medical Research Council (NHMRC) Centre of Research Excellence in Stillbirth, Mater Research Institute, The University of Queensland, Brisbane, Queensland, Australia.ORCID https://orcid.org/0000-0002-5536-9468
Harriet L S LawfordNational Health and Medical Research Council (NHMRC) Centre of Research Excellence in Stillbirth, Mater Research Institute, The University of Queensland, Brisbane, Queensland, Australia.ORCID https://orcid.org/0000-0002-9699-8201
Enny S PaixaoDepartment of International Health, Johns Hopkins Bloomberg School of Public Health, Baltimore, Maryland, USA.ORCID https://orcid.org/0000-0002-4797-908X
Ila R FalcãoCenter for Data and Knowledge Integration for Health (CIDACS), Instituto Gonçalo Moniz, Fiocruz Bahia, Fundação Oswaldo Cruz, Salvador, Brazil.ORCID https://orcid.org/0000-0001-6961-3858
Sarka LisonkovaDepartment of Obstetrics & Gynaecology, University of British Columbia, Vancouver, British Columbia, Canada.ORCID https://orcid.org/0000-0002-1220-310X
Qi WenDepartment of Obstetrics & Gynaecology, University of British Columbia, Vancouver, British Columbia, Canada.
Petr VelebilDepartment of Obstetrics and Gynaecology, Institute for the Care of Mother and Child, Prague, Czech Republic.ORCID https://orcid.org/0009-0001-0643-1069
Jitka JírováDepartment of Data Analysis, Institute of Health Information and Statistics of the Czech Republic, Prague, Czech Republic.
Erzsebet Horváth-PuhóDepartment of Clinical Epidemiology, Aarhus University and Aarhus University Hospital, Aarhus, Denmark.ORCID https://orcid.org/0000-0002-3594-2212
Henrik T SørensenDepartment of Clinical Epidemiology, Aarhus University and Aarhus University Hospital, Aarhus, Denmark.ORCID https://orcid.org/0000-0003-4299-7040
Luule SakkeusSchool of Governance, Law and Society, Estonian Institute for Population Studies, Tallinn University, Tallinn, Estonia.ORCID https://orcid.org/0000-0003-3785-183X
Lili AbuladzeSchool of Governance, Law and Society, Estonian Institute for Population Studies, Tallinn University, Tallinn, Estonia.ORCID https://orcid.org/0000-0002-0109-9757
Khalid A YunisThe National Collaborative Perinatal Neonatal Network (NCPNN) Coordinating Center at the Department of Pediatrics and Adolescent Medicine, American University of Beirut, Beirut, Lebanon.ORCID https://orcid.org/0000-0002-6384-2745
Ayah Al BizriThe National Collaborative Perinatal Neonatal Network (NCPNN) Coordinating Center at the Department of Pediatrics and Adolescent Medicine, American University of Beirut, Beirut, Lebanon.ORCID https://orcid.org/0000-0002-0677-7879
Sonia Lopez AlvarezMexican Society of Public Health, Mexico City, Mexico.ORCID https://orcid.org/0000-0002-8622-080X
Lisa BroedersPerined, Utrecht, the Netherlands.
Aimée E van DijkPerined, Utrecht, the Netherlands.
Fawziya AlyafeiHamad Medical Corporation, Doha, Qatar.ORCID https://orcid.org/0000-0001-6851-0654
Mai AlQubaisiHamad Medical Corporation, Doha, Qatar.
Neda RazazClinical Epidemiology Division, Department of Medicine Solna, Karolinska Institutet, Stockholm, Sweden.ORCID https://orcid.org/0000-0002-1273-0110
Jonas SöderlingClinical Epidemiology Division, Department of Medicine Solna, Karolinska Institutet, Stockholm, Sweden.ORCID https://orcid.org/0000-0001-9006-2835
Lucy K SmithDepartment of Population Health Sciences, College of Life Sciences, University of Leicester, Leicester, UK.ORCID https://orcid.org/0000-0001-9470-0793
Ruth J MatthewsDepartment of Population Health Sciences, College of Life Sciences, University of Leicester, Leicester, UK.ORCID https://orcid.org/0000-0003-2688-4580
Estelle LowrySchool of Natural and Built Environment, Queen's University Belfast, Belfast, UK.ORCID https://orcid.org/0000-0002-4655-416X
Neil RowlandQueen's Management School, Queen's University Belfast, Belfast, UK.ORCID https://orcid.org/0000-0001-9755-1682
Rachael WoodUsher Institute, Edinburgh, UK.ORCID https://orcid.org/0000-0003-4453-623X
Kirsten MonteathPregnancy, Birth and Child Health Team, Public Health Scotland, Edinburgh, UK.
Isabel PereyraFaculty of Health Sciences, Catholic University of Maule, Curicó, Chile.ORCID https://orcid.org/0000-0002-4696-8063
Gabriella PraviaDepartment of Wellness and Health, Catholic University of Uruguay, Montevideo, Uruguay.ORCID https://orcid.org/0009-0006-5871-6257
Joy E LawnMaternal, Adolescent, Reproductive & Child Health (MARCH) Centre, London School of Hygiene & Tropical Medicine, London, UK.ORCID https://orcid.org/0000-0002-4573-1443
Hannah BlencoweMaternal, Adolescent, Reproductive & Child Health (MARCH) Centre, London School of Hygiene & Tropical Medicine, London, UK.ORCID https://orcid.org/0000-0003-1556-3159
National Vulnerable Newborn Mortality Collaborative Group and the Vulnerable Newborn Measurement Core Group

Funding

Children's Investment Fund Foundation 1803-02535
6 · The paper itself

Abstract

objectiveWe aimed to compare the prevalence and neonatal mortality associated with large for gestational age (LGA) and macrosomia among 115.6 million live births in 15 countries, between 2000 and 2020.

designPopulation-based, multi-country study.

settingNational healthcare systems. POPULATION: Liveborn infants.

methodsWe used individual-level data identified for the Vulnerable Newborn Measurement Collaboration. We calculated the prevalence and relative risk (RR) of neonatal mortality among live births born at term + LGA (>90th centile, and also >95th and >97th centiles when the data were available) versus term + appropriate for gestational age (AGA, 10th-90th centiles) and macrosomic (≥4000, ≥4500 and ≥5000 g, regardless of gestational age) versus 2500-3999 g. INTERGROWTH 21st served as the reference population.

main outcome measuresPrevalence and neonatal mortality risks.

resultsLarge for gestational age was common (median prevalence 18.2%; interquartile range, IQR, 13.5%-22.0%), and overall was associated with a lower neonatal mortality risk compared with AGA (RR 0.83, 95% CI 0.77-0.89). Around one in ten babies were ≥4000 g (median prevalence 9.6% (IQR 6.4%-13.3%), with 1.2% (IQR 0.7%-2.0%) ≥4500 g and with 0.2% (IQR 0.1%-0.2%) ≥5000 g). Overall, macrosomia of ≥4000 g was not associated with increased neonatal mortality risk (RR 0.80, 95% CI 0.69-0.94); however, a higher risk was observed for birthweights of ≥4500 g (RR 1.52, 95% CI 1.10-2.11) and ≥5000 g (RR 4.54, 95% CI 2.58-7.99), compared with birthweights of 2500-3999 g, with the highest risk observed in the first 7 days of life.

conclusionsIn this population, birthweight of ≥4500 g was the most useful marker for early mortality risk in big babies and could be used to guide clinical management decisions.

Indexed as

Fetal MacrosomiaInfant MortalityLive BirthAdultBirth WeightFemaleGestational AgeGlobal HealthHumansInfantInfant, NewbornMalePregnancyPrevalenceRisk Factorsfetal macrosomiainfantlarge for gestational ageneonatal mortalitypregnancy

Identifiers

PMID38012114
PMCPMC12678065

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Registered trials

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Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.