Evidence map›Paper›PMID 38011553›Full record

ArticleProceedings of the National Academy of Sciences of the United States of America2023

Childhood unpredictability and the development of exploration.

Yuyan Xu, Madeline B Harms, C Shawn Green, Robert C Wilson, Seth D Pollak

Abstract read
In one paragraph

Article in Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences of the United States of America, 2023. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 25 papers, 1 of them a synthesis that pooled it.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
25citing papers in PubMed, 1 pooled it
–field-weighted citation impact
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

25 citing papers in PubMed, 1 synthesis or guideline pooled it.

  1. How childhood adversity affects components of decision making.Neuroscience and biobehavioral reviews · 2025
    Pooled it
  2. Article
  3. Article
  4. Article
  5. Article
  6. Article
  7. Article
  8. Article
  9. Review
  10. Article
  11. Article
  12. Article
  13. Individual differences in sequential decision-making.bioRxiv : the preprint server for biology · 2025
    Article
  14. Article
  15. Article
  16. Article
  17. Article
  18. Quantifying and explaining the rise of fiction.Evolutionary human sciences · 2025
    Article
  19. Computational Mechanisms of Information-Seeking in Anxiety.Current topics in behavioral neurosciences · 2025
    Review
  20. Article
4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

5 authors.

Yuyan XuDepartment of Psychology, University of Wisconsin-Madison, Madison, WI 53706.ORCID 0000-0002-8855-5216
Madeline B HarmsDepartment of Psychology, University of Minnesota Duluth, Duluth, MN 55812.
C Shawn GreenDepartment of Psychology, University of Wisconsin-Madison, Madison, WI 53706.ORCID 0000-0002-9290-0262
Robert C WilsonDepartment of Psychology, University of Arizona, Tucson, AZ 85721.ORCID 0000-0002-2963-2971
Seth D PollakDepartment of Psychology, University of Wisconsin-Madison, Madison, WI 53706.ORCID 0000-0001-5184-9846

Funding

Emotion Processing:Risk for Psychopathology in ChildrenR01MH061285 · NIMH · UNIVERSITY OF WISCONSIN-MADISON · PI SETH D POLLAK · 2001 to 2026
$12.4M
Waisman Center Intellectual and Developmental Disabilities Research CenterP50HD105353 · NICHD · UNIVERSITY OF WISCONSIN-MADISON · PI Brittany Gail Travers · 2021 to 2026
$8.5M
NICHD NIH HHS P50 HD105353NIMH NIH HHS R01 MH061285
6 · The paper itself

Abstract

Early in development, the process of exploration helps children gather new information that fosters learning about the world. Yet, it is unclear how childhood experiences may influence the way humans approach new learning. What influences decisions to exploit known, familiar options versus trying a novel alternative? We found that childhood unpredictability, characterized by unpredictable caregiving and unstable living environments, was associated with reduced exploratory behavior. This effect holds while controlling for individual differences, including anxiety and stress. Individuals who perceived their childhoods as unpredictable explored less and were instead more likely to repeat previous choices (habitual responding). They were also more sensitive to uncertainty than to potential rewards, even when the familiar options yielded lower rewards. We examined these effects across multiple task contexts and via both in-person (N = 78) and online replication (N = 84) studies among 10- to 13-y-olds. Results are discussed in terms of the potential cascading effects of unpredictable environments on the development of decision-making and the effects of early experience on subsequent learning.

Indexed as

LearningRewardAnxietyAnxiety DisordersChildHumansUncertaintycognitive flexibilitydecision-makingdevelopmentexplorationunpredictability

Identifiers

PMID38011553
PMCPMC10710094

What OpenQuestion holds

Textmetadata
LicenceCC BY
Read underepoch 390

Registered trials

None linked

Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.