Evidence map›Paper›PMID 37999145›Full record

ArticleCurrent oncology (Toronto, Ont.)2023

Exploring the Future of Cancer Impact in Alberta: Projections and Trends 2020-2040.

Darren R Brenner, Chantelle Carbonell, Dylan E O'Sullivan, Yibing Ruan, Robert B Basmadjian, Vickey Bu, Eliya Farah, Shaun K Loewen, Tara R Bond, Angela Estey and 2 more

Abstract read
In one paragraph

Article in Current oncology (Toronto, Ont.), 2023. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 3 papers.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
3citing papers in PubMed
–field-weighted citation impact
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

3 citing papers in PubMed.

  1. Frontiers in oncology · 2026
    Article
  2. Article
  3. Article
4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

12 authors.

Darren R BrennerDepartment of Oncology, University of Calgary, Calgary, AB T2N 4N1, Canada.
Chantelle CarbonellDepartment of Oncology, University of Calgary, Calgary, AB T2N 4N1, Canada.ORCID 0009-0004-6384-3424
Dylan E O'SullivanDepartment of Oncology, University of Calgary, Calgary, AB T2N 4N1, Canada.
Yibing RuanDepartment of Oncology, University of Calgary, Calgary, AB T2N 4N1, Canada.
Robert B BasmadjianDepartment of Oncology, University of Calgary, Calgary, AB T2N 4N1, Canada.ORCID 0000-0002-9535-720X
Vickey BuCancer Research & Analytics, Cancer Care Alberta, Alberta Health Services, Edmonton, AB T5J 3H1, Canada.
Eliya FarahDepartment of Oncology, University of Calgary, Calgary, AB T2N 4N1, Canada.
Shaun K LoewenDivision of Radiation Oncology, University of Calgary, Tom Baker Cancer Centre, Calgary, AB T2N 4N2, Canada.ORCID 0000-0001-9594-8176
Tara R BondCancer Strategic Clinical Network, Alberta Health Services, Calgary, AB T2S 3C3, Canada.
Angela EsteyCancer Strategic Clinical Network, Alberta Health Services, Calgary, AB T2S 3C3, Canada.
Anna Pujadas BoteyCancer Strategic Clinical Network, Alberta Health Services, Calgary, AB T2S 3C3, Canada.ORCID 0000-0001-6661-4089
Paula J RobsonCancer Research & Analytics, Cancer Care Alberta, Alberta Health Services, Edmonton, AB T5J 3H1, Canada.

Funding

No grant is acknowledged in the PubMed record.

6 · The paper itself

Abstract

The impact of cancer in Alberta is expected to grow considerably, largely driven by population growth and aging. The Future of Cancer Impact (FOCI) initiative offers an overview of the present state of cancer care in Alberta and highlights potential opportunities for research and innovation across the continuum. In this paper, we present a series of detailed projections and analyses regarding cancer epidemiological estimates in Alberta, Canada. Data on cancer incidence and mortality in Alberta (1998-2018) and limited-duration cancer prevalence in Alberta (2000-2019) were collected from the Alberta Cancer Registry. We used the Canproj package in the R software to project these epidemiological estimates up to the year 2040. To estimate the direct management costs, we ran a series of microsimulations using the OncoSim All Cancers Model. Our findings indicate that from 2020, the total number of annual new cancer cases and cancer-related deaths are projected to increase by 56% and 49% by 2040, respectively. From 2019, the five-year prevalence of all cancers in Alberta is projected to increase by 86% by 2040. In line with these trends, the overall direct cost of cancer management is estimated to increase by 53% in 2040. These estimates and projections are integral to future strategic planning and investment.

Indexed as

NeoplasmsAlbertaForecastingHumansIncidencePrevalenceCanadacancercancer incidencecancer management costscancer mortalitycancer prevalencecancer survivalprojectionstrends

Identifiers

PMID37999145
PMCPMC10670527

What OpenQuestion holds

Textmetadata
LicenceCC BY
Read underepoch 390

Registered trials

None linked

Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.