Evidence map›Paper›PMID 37995093›Full record

ArticleEuropace : European pacing, arrhythmias, and cardiac electrophysiology : journal of the working groups on cardiac pacing, arrhythmias, and cardiac cellular electrophysiology of the European Society of Cardiology2023

Performance of the PRIMaCY sudden death risk prediction model for childhood hypertrophic cardiomyopathy: implications for implantable cardioverter-defibrillator decision-making.

Gabrielle Norrish, Alexandros Protonotarios, Maria Stec, Olga Boleti, Ella Field, Elena Cervi, Perry M Elliott, Juan P Kaski

Open access · hybridAbstract read
In one paragraph

Article in Europace : European pacing, arrhythmias, and cardiac electrophysiology : journal of the working groups on cardiac pacing, arrhythmias, and cardiac cellular electrophysiology of the European Society of Cardiology, 2023. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 8 papers.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
8citing papers in PubMed
2.6field-weighted citation impact, top 8% of its field
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

8 citing papers in PubMed, 12 citations in OpenAlex.

  1. Outcomes for patients implanted with a cardioverter-defibrillator at <19 years of age: a Swedish national study.Europace : European pacing, arrhythmias, and cardiac electrophysiology : journal of the working groups on cardiac pacing, arrhythmias, and cardiac cellular electrophysiology of the European Society of Cardiology · 2026
    Article
  2. Review
  3. Hypertrophic cardiomyopathy.Nature reviews. Disease primers · 2025
    Review
  4. Review
  5. Article
  6. Article
  7. Article
  8. Observational
4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

8 authors at 3 institutions in 2 countries.

Gabrielle NorrishCentre for Inherited Cardiovascular Diseases, Zayed Centre for Research, Great Ormond Street Hospital, Great Ormond Street, London, WC1N 4JH, UK.ORCID 0000-0001-6355-9280
Alexandros ProtonotariosInstitute of Cardiovascular Sciences, University College London, 62 Huntley St, London, WC1E 6DD, UK.ORCID 0000-0001-8595-7212
Maria StecCentre for Inherited Cardiovascular Diseases, Zayed Centre for Research, Great Ormond Street Hospital, Great Ormond Street, London, WC1N 4JH, UK.ORCID 0000-0001-7205-3900
Olga BoletiCentre for Inherited Cardiovascular Diseases, Zayed Centre for Research, Great Ormond Street Hospital, Great Ormond Street, London, WC1N 4JH, UK.ORCID 0000-0002-0254-0217
Ella FieldCentre for Inherited Cardiovascular Diseases, Zayed Centre for Research, Great Ormond Street Hospital, Great Ormond Street, London, WC1N 4JH, UK.
Elena CerviCentre for Inherited Cardiovascular Diseases, Zayed Centre for Research, Great Ormond Street Hospital, Great Ormond Street, London, WC1N 4JH, UK.ORCID 0000-0003-2612-1014
Perry M ElliottInstitute of Cardiovascular Sciences, University College London, 62 Huntley St, London, WC1E 6DD, UK.ORCID 0000-0003-3383-3984
Juan P KaskiCentre for Inherited Cardiovascular Diseases, Zayed Centre for Research, Great Ormond Street Hospital, Great Ormond Street, London, WC1N 4JH, UK.ORCID 0000-0002-0014-9927
Great Ormond Street Hospital · GBSt Bartholomew's Hospital · GBMedical University of Silesia · PL

Funding

British Heart Foundation FS/16/72/32270Clinical Academic Research Partnership MR/T024062/1Great Ormond Street Hospital Children's CharityMax's FoundationMedical Research Council MR/T024062/1Medical Research Council ClinicalNational Institute for Health ResearchNIHR GOSH BRC
6 · The paper itself

Abstract

aimsThe validated HCM Risk-Kids model provides accurate individualized estimates of sudden cardiac death risk in children with hypertrophic cardiomyopathy (HCM). A second validated model, PRIMaCY, also provides individualized estimates of risk, but its performance and clinical impact has not been independently investigated. The aim of this study was to investigate the clinical impact of using the PRIMaCY sudden cardiac death (SCD) risk model in childhood HCM. METHODS AND

resultsThe estimated 5-year SCD risk was calculated for children meeting diagnostic criteria for HCM in a large single-centre cohort using PRIMaCY (clinical and genetic) and HCM Risk-Kids model, and model performance was assessed. Three hundred one patients [median age 10 (interquartile range 4-14)] were followed up for an average of 4.9 (±3.8) years, during which 30 (10.0%) reached the SCD or equivalent event endpoint. Harrell's C-statistic for the clinical and genetic models was 0.66 [95% confidence interval (CI) 0.52-0.8] and 0.66 (95% CI 0.54-0.80) with a calibration slope of 0.19 (95% CI 0.04-0.54) and 0.26 (95% CI -0.03-0.62), respectively. The number needed to treat to potentially treat one life-threatening arrhythmia for the PRIMaCY clinical, PRIMaCY genetic, and HCM Risk-Kids models was 13.7, 14.5, and 9.4, respectively.

conclusionAlthough PRIMaCY has a similar discriminatory ability to that reported for HCM Risk-Kids, estimated risk estimates did not correlate well with observed risk. A higher proportion of patients met implantable cardioverter-defibrillator thresholds using PRIMaCY model compared with HCM Risk-Kids. This has important clinical implications as these patients will be exposed to a lifetime risk of complications and inappropriate therapies.

Indexed as

Cardiomyopathy, HypertrophicDefibrillators, ImplantableChildDeath, Sudden, CardiacHumansCardiomyopathyChildhoodImplantable cardioverter-defibrillatorPredictionRiskSudden death

Identifiers

PMID37995093
PMCPMC10666656
OpenAlexW4388932389

What OpenQuestion holds

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LicenceCC BY-NC
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Registered trials

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Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.