Evidence map›Paper›PMID 37992033›Full record

ArticlePLOS global public health2023

South Africa's male homicide epidemic hiding in plain sight: Exploring sex differences and patterns in homicide risk in a retrospective descriptive study of postmortem investigations.

Richard Matzopoulos, Megan R Prinsloo, Shibe Mhlongo, Lea Marineau, Morna Cornell, Brett Bowman, Thakadu A Mamashela, Nomonde Gwebushe, Asiphe Ketelo, Lorna J Martin and 4 more

Abstract read
In one paragraph

Article in PLOS global public health, 2023. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 6 papers.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
6citing papers in PubMed
–field-weighted citation impact
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

6 citing papers in PubMed.

  1. Article
  2. Men's health policies: long overdue.Bulletin of the World Health Organization · 2025
    Article
  3. Article
  4. Article
  5. Article
  6. Article
4 · The record

Corrections and comments

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

14 authors.

Richard MatzopoulosBurden of Disease Research Unit, South African Medical Research Council, Cape Town, South Africa.ORCID https://orcid.org/0000-0001-9063-6210
Megan R PrinslooBurden of Disease Research Unit, South African Medical Research Council, Cape Town, South Africa.ORCID https://orcid.org/0000-0003-0415-0973
Shibe MhlongoGender and Health Research Unit, South African Medical Research Council, Cape Town, South Africa.ORCID https://orcid.org/0000-0003-3093-6646
Lea MarineauJohns Hopkins University School of Nursing, Baltimore, MD, United States of America.ORCID https://orcid.org/0000-0003-2494-472X
Morna CornellCentre for Infectious Disease Epidemiology & Research, School of Public Health, Faculty of Health Sciences, University of Cape Town, Cape Town, South Africa.
Brett BowmanSchool of Human and Community Development, University of the Witwatersrand, Johannesburg, South Africa.ORCID https://orcid.org/0000-0002-2322-0861
Thakadu A MamashelaDepartment of Forensic Medicine, Faculty of Health Sciences, University of Limpopo, Polokwane, South Africa.
Nomonde GwebusheBiostatistics Unit, South African Medical Research Council, Cape Town, South Africa.
Asiphe KeteloGender and Health Research Unit, South African Medical Research Council, Cape Town, South Africa.
Lorna J MartinDivision of Forensic Medicine and Toxicology, Faculty of Health Sciences, University of Cape Town, Cape Town, South Africa.
Bianca DekelGender and Health Research Unit, South African Medical Research Council, Cape Town, South Africa.
Carl LombardBiostatistics Unit, South African Medical Research Council, Cape Town, South Africa.ORCID https://orcid.org/0000-0002-2136-6533
Rachel JewkesGender and Health Research Unit, South African Medical Research Council, Cape Town, South Africa.
Naeemah AbrahamsGender and Health Research Unit, South African Medical Research Council, Cape Town, South Africa.ORCID https://orcid.org/0000-0002-6138-6256

Funding

Observational Antiretroviral Studies In Southern Africa (OASIS) CollaborationU01AI069924 · NIAID · UNIVERSITAT BERN · PI Cleophas Chimbetete, Mary-Ann Davies · 2006 to 2026
$55.9M
Engaging men through HIV self-test and differentiated care models to increase ART initiation and viral suppression in MalawiR01MH122308 · NIMH · UNIVERSITY OF CALIFORNIA LOS ANGELES · PI DOVEL, KATHRYN L · 2020 to 2024
$2.7M
Building Research in Inter-Disciplinary Gender and HIV through the Social Sciences (The BRIDGES Programme)D43TW011308 · FIC · UNIVERSITY OF CAPE TOWN · PI COLVIN, CHRISTOPHER JAMES · 2019 to 2023
$1.7M
FIC NIH HHS D43 TW011308NIAID NIH HHS U01 AI069924NIMH NIH HHS R01 MH122308
6 · The paper itself

Abstract

South Africa has an overall homicide rate six times the global average. Males are predominantly the victims and perpetrators, but little is known about the male victims. For the country's first ever study on male homicide we compared 2017 male and female victim profiles for selected covariates, against global average and previous estimates for 2009. We conducted a retrospective descriptive study of routine data collected through postmortem investigations, calculating age-standardised mortality rates for manner of death by age, sex and province and male-to-female incidence rate ratios with 95% confidence intervals. We then used generalised linear models and linear regression models to assess the association between sex and victim characteristics including age and mechanism of injury (guns, sharp and blunt force) within and between years. 87% of 19,477 homicides in 2017 were males, equating to seven male deaths for every female, with sharp force and firearm discharge being the most common cause of death. Rates were higher among males than females at all ages, and up to eight times higher for the age group 15-44 years. Provincial rates varied overall and by sex, with the highest comparative risk for men vs. women in the Western Cape Province (11.4 males for every 1 female). Male homicides peaked during December and were highest during weekends, underscoring the prominent role of alcohol as a risk factor. There is a massive, disproportionate and enduring homicide risk among South African men which highlights their relative neglect in the country's prevention and policy responses. Only through challenging the normative perception of male invulnerability do we begin to address the enormous burden of violence impacting men. There is an urgent need to address the insidious effect of such societal norms alongside implementing structural interventions to overcome the root causes of poverty, inequality and better control alcohol and firearms.

Identifiers

PMID37992033
PMCPMC10664949

What OpenQuestion holds

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LicenceCC BY
Read underepoch 390

Registered trials

None linked

Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.