Evidence map›Paper›PMID 37989250›Full record

ArticleJournal of the Royal Society of Medicine2024

A deathly silence: why has the number of people found decomposed in England and Wales been rising?

Lucinda Hiam, Theodore Estrin-Serlui, Danny Dorling, Martin McKee, Jon Minton

Open access · greenAbstract read
In one paragraph

Article in Journal of the Royal Society of Medicine, 2024. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 2 papers.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
2citing papers in PubMed
2.5field-weighted citation impact, top 11% of its field
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

2 citing papers in PubMed, 9 citations in OpenAlex.

  1. Article
  2. Why is there an alarming rise in decomposing bodies?Journal of the Royal Society of Medicine · 2024
    Article
4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

5 authors at 4 institutions in 1 country.

Lucinda HiamSchool of Geography and the Environment, University of Oxford, Oxford OX1 3QY, UK.ORCID 0000-0002-6394-0978
Theodore Estrin-SerluiImperial College Healthcare NHS Trust, Charing Cross Hospital, London, W6 8RF.
Danny DorlingSchool of Geography and the Environment, University of Oxford, Oxford OX1 3QY, UK.
Martin McKeeLondon School of Hygiene and Tropical Medicine, Faculty of Public Health and Policy, London WC1E 7HT, UK.ORCID 0000-0002-0121-9683
Jon MintonPublic Health Scotland, Gyle Square, 1 S Gyle Cres, Edinburgh EH12 9EB, UK.
University of Oxford · GBImperial College Healthcare NHS Trust · GBLondon School of Hygiene & Tropical Medicine · GBPublic Health Scotland · GB

Funding

No grant is acknowledged in the PubMed record.

6 · The paper itself

Abstract

objectivesThe number of deaths occurring in private homes in England and Wales had been rising for years, increasingly rapidly from 2020. Media stories and research linked decomposing bodies found in private homes with pandemic-related social isolation. We aim to explore whether these incidents are one-offs or part of a wider trend.

designDescriptive analysis of publicly available Office for National Statistics (ONS) data.

settingEngland and Wales.

participantsAll residents of England and Wales, 1979 to 2020.

main outcome measuresUsing data from the Office for National Statistics, we calculate European Age Standardised Rates for deaths coded as R98 ('unattended death') and R99 ('other ill-defined and unknown causes of mortality') in the 10th version of the International Classification of Diseases (ICD-10), and the corresponding codes in ICD-9, by sex and age group from 1979 (when ICD-9 began) to 2020. These are proxy markers for deaths where decomposition precludes attribution of a specific cause at postmortem.

resultsWhile mortality from all other causes decreased from 1979 to 2020, the opposite was seen for deaths from R98 and R99 (or 'undefined deaths'), with men more affected than women. There was a sharp rise in these deaths in both sexes but in men particularly in the 1990s and 2000s, coinciding with a time when overall mortality was rapidly improving.

conclusionsThe increase in people found dead from unknown causes suggests wider societal breakdowns of both formal and informal social support networks. They are concerning and warrant urgent further investigation. We call on national and international authorities to consider measures that would make it possible to identify these deaths more easily in routine data.

Indexed as

Cause of DeathAdolescentAdultAgedAged, 80 and overChildChild, PreschoolCOVID-19EnglandFemaleHumansInfantMaleMiddle AgedSocial IsolationWalesPathologypublic health

Identifiers

PMID37989250
PMCPMC11284264
OpenAlexW4388880093

What OpenQuestion holds

Textmetadata
Read underepoch 390

Registered trials

None linked

Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.