Evidence map›Paper›PMID 37982042›Full record

ArticleIEEE transactions on instrumentation and measurement2021

EVDHM-ARIMA-Based Time Series Forecasting Model and Its Application for COVID-19 Cases.

Rishi Raj Sharma, Mohit Kumar, Shishir Maheshwari, Kamla Prasan Ray

Abstract read
In one paragraph

Article in IEEE transactions on instrumentation and measurement, 2021. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 19 papers.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
19citing papers in PubMed
–field-weighted citation impact
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

19 citing papers in PubMed.

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  19. Optimization in the Context of COVID-19 Prediction and Control: A Literature Review.IEEE access : practical innovations, open solutions · 2021
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4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

4 authors.

Rishi Raj SharmaDepartment of Electronics EngineeringDefence Institute of Advanced Technology Pune 411025 India.ORCID https://orcid.org/0000-0001-6835-003X
Mohit KumarNAF DepatmentIndian Institute of Technology Kanpur Kanpur 208016 India.ORCID https://orcid.org/0000-0002-3355-8815
Shishir MaheshwariDiscipline of Electrical EngineeringBirla Institute of Technology and Science Pilani 333031 India.ORCID https://orcid.org/0000-0002-5866-4569
Kamla Prasan RayDepartment of Electronics EngineeringDefence Institute of Advanced Technology Pune 411025 India.ORCID https://orcid.org/0000-0002-8400-613X

Funding

No grant is acknowledged in the PubMed record.

6 · The paper itself

Abstract

The time-series forecasting makes a substantial contribution in timely decision-making. In this article, a recently developed eigenvalue decomposition of Hankel matrix (EVDHM) along with the autoregressive integrated moving average (ARIMA) is applied to develop a forecasting model for nonstationary time series. The Phillips-Perron test (PPT) is used to define the nonstationarity of time series. EVDHM is applied over a time series to decompose it into respective subcomponents and reduce the nonstationarity. ARIMA-based model is designed to forecast the future values for each subcomponent. The forecast values of each subcomponent are added to get the final output values. The optimized value of ARIMA parameters for each subcomponent is obtained using a genetic algorithm (GA) for minimum values of Akaike information criterion (AIC). Model performance is evaluated by estimating the future values of daily new cases of the recent pandemic disease COVID-19 for India, USA, and Brazil. The high efficacy of the proposed method is convinced with the results.

Indexed as

Autoregressive integrated moving average (ARIMA)COVID-19eigenvalue decomposition of Hankel matrix (EVDHM)Phillips–Perron test (PPT)time-series forecasting

Identifiers

PMID37982042
PMCPMC8544948

What OpenQuestion holds

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Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.