Evidence map›Paper›PMID 37981990›Full record

ArticleIEEE transactions on big data2021

An Epidemiological Neural Network Exploiting Dynamic Graph Structured Data Applied to the COVID-19 Outbreak.

Valerio La Gatta, Vincenzo Moscato, Marco Postiglione, Giancarlo Sperli

Abstract read
In one paragraph

Article in IEEE transactions on big data, 2021. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 31 papers, 2 of them syntheses that pooled it.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
31citing papers in PubMed, 2 pooled it
–field-weighted citation impact
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

31 citing papers in PubMed, 2 syntheses or guidelines pooled it.

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  15. PAN-cODE: COVID-19 forecasting using conditional latent ODEs.Journal of the American Medical Informatics Association : JAMIA · 2022
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  17. An AI-based disease detection and prevention scheme for COVID-19.Computers & electrical engineering : an international journal · 2022
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  18. A Hybrid Model Based on Improved Transformer and Graph Convolutional Network for COVID-19 Forecasting.International journal of environmental research and public health · 2022
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4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

4 authors.

Valerio La GattaDepartment of Electrical and Information TechnologyUniversity of Naples Federico II 80125 Naples Italy.
Vincenzo MoscatoDepartment of Electrical and Information TechnologyUniversity of Naples Federico II 80125 Naples Italy.ORCID https://orcid.org/0000-0002-0754-7696
Marco PostiglioneDepartment of Electrical and Information TechnologyUniversity of Naples Federico II 80125 Naples Italy.ORCID https://orcid.org/0000-0003-1470-8053
Giancarlo SperliDepartment of Electrical and Information TechnologyUniversity of Naples Federico II 80125 Naples Italy.ORCID https://orcid.org/0000-0003-4033-3777

Funding

No grant is acknowledged in the PubMed record.

6 · The paper itself

Abstract

With the recent COVID-19 outbreak, we have assisted to the development of new epidemic models or the application of existing methodologies to predict the virus spread and to analyze how the different lock-down strategies can effectively influence the epidemic diffusion. In this paper, we propose a novel machine learning based framework able to estimate the parameters of any epidemiological model, such as contact rates and recovery rates, based on static and dynamic features of places. In particular, we model mobility data through a graph series whose spatial and temporal features are investigated by combining Graph Convolutional Neural Networks (GCNs) and Long short-term memories (LSTMs) in order to infer the parameters of SIR and SIRD models. We evaluate the proposed approach using data related to the COVID-19 dynamics in Italy and we compare the forecasts of the trained model with available data about the epidemic spread.

Indexed as

COVID-19data analyticsdata modeldeep learningepidemic diffusion modelinggraph machine learningspatio temporal data mining

Identifiers

PMID37981990
PMCPMC8769012

What OpenQuestion holds

Textmetadata
Read underepoch 390

Registered trials

None linked

Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.