Evidence map›Paper›PMID 37976349›Full record

ArticleScience advances2023

North Atlantic meltwater during Heinrich Stadial 1 drives wetter climate with more atmospheric rivers in western North America.

Jessica L Oster, Sophia Macarewich, Marcus Lofverstrom, Cameron de Wet, Isabel Montañez, Juan M Lora, Christopher Skinner, Clay Tabor

Open access · goldAbstract read
In one paragraph

Article in Science advances, 2023. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 5 papers.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
5citing papers in PubMed
2.3field-weighted citation impact, top 12% of its field
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

5 citing papers in PubMed, 11 citations in OpenAlex.

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4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

8 authors at 7 institutions in 1 country.

Jessica L OsterDepartment of Earth and Environmental Sciences, Vanderbilt University, Nashville, TN, USA.ORCID 0000-0002-1780-2435
Sophia MacarewichNational Center for Atmospheric Research, Boulder, CO, USA.ORCID 0000-0002-6263-3044
Marcus LofverstromCollege of Geosciences, University of Arizona, Tucson, AZ, USA.ORCID 0000-0002-8016-865X
Cameron de WetDepartment of Earth and Environmental Sciences, Vanderbilt University, Nashville, TN, USA.ORCID 0000-0002-9689-5886
Isabel MontañezDepartment of Earth and Planetary Sciences, University of California, Davis, Davis, CA, USA.ORCID 0000-0003-0492-3796
Juan M LoraDepartment of Earth and Planetary Sciences, Yale University, New Haven, CT, USA.ORCID 0000-0001-9925-1050
Christopher SkinnerDepartment of Environmental, Earth and Atmospheric Sciences, UMass Lowell, Lowell, MA, USA.ORCID 0000-0002-8105-8698
Clay TaborDepartment of Earth Sciences, University of Connecticut, Storrs, CT, USA.ORCID 0000-0002-9915-6157
Vanderbilt University · USNSF National Center for Atmospheric Research · USPlanetary Science Institute · USUniversity of Arizona · USUniversity of California, Davis · USUniversity of Connecticut · USUniversity of Massachusetts Lowell · US

Funding

No grant is acknowledged in the PubMed record.

6 · The paper itself

Abstract

Atmospheric rivers (ARs) bring concentrated rainfall and flooding to the western United States (US) and are hypothesized to have supported sustained hydroclimatic changes in the past. However, their ephemeral nature makes it challenging to document ARs in climate models and estimate their contribution to hydroclimate changes recorded by time-averaged paleoclimate archives. We present new climate model simulations of Heinrich Stadial 1 (HS1; 16,000 years before the present), an interval characterized by widespread wetness in the western US, that demonstrate increased AR frequency and winter precipitation sourced from the southeastern North Pacific. These changes are amplified with freshwater fluxes into the North Atlantic, indicating that North Atlantic cooling associated with weakened Atlantic Meridional Overturning Circulation (AMOC) is a key driver of HS1 climate in this region. As recent observations suggest potential weakening of AMOC, our identified connection between North Atlantic climate and northeast Pacific AR activity has implications for future western US hydroclimate.

Identifiers

PMID37976349
PMCPMC10656076
OpenAlexW4388758046

What OpenQuestion holds

Textmetadata
LicenceCC BY-NC
Read underepoch 390

Registered trials

None linked

Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.