Evidence map›Paper›PMID 37972797›Full record

ArticleAmerican journal of preventive medicine2024

Trends in Cardiovascular Disease Mortality Rates and Excess Deaths, 2010-2022.

Rebecca C Woodruff, Xin Tong, Sadiya S Khan, Nilay S Shah, Sandra L Jackson, Fleetwood Loustalot, Adam S Vaughan

Registry-linked trialOpen access · bronzeAbstract read
In one paragraph

Article in American journal of preventive medicine, 2024. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. It is linked to trial NCT06907524 (Community-Based Preventative Cardiometabolic Screening and Health Coaching- A Prospective Study), which is not on this map. Cited by 150 papers, 5 of them syntheses that pooled it.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
150citing papers in PubMed, 5 pooled it
45.1field-weighted citation impact, top 1% of its field
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

NCT06907524 narecruitingnot on this mapstarted 2025, after this paper: background citation

Community-Based Preventative Cardiometabolic Screening and Health Coaching- A Prospective Study

TypeinterventionalSponsorRush University Medical CenterRan2025 to 2027Enrolled200ConditionsCardiovascular Disease Prevention, Cardiometabolic Diseases, Cardiovascular Risk Factor, Cardiovascular Risk ScoreArmsLongitudinal, Individualized Health Coaching
3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

150 citing papers in PubMed, 5 syntheses or guidelines pooled it, 196 citations in OpenAlex.

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  11. Back to the future: trace lead in ambient air from wood fuel combustion.Journal of exposure science & environmental epidemiology · 2026
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90 more citing papers are in PubMed but not listed here.

4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

7 authors at 2 institutions in 1 country.

Rebecca C WoodruffDivision for Heart Disease and Stroke Prevention, National Center for Chronic Disease Prevention and Health Promotion, Centers for Disease Control and Prevention, Chamblee, Georgia. Electronic address: okp9@cdc.gov.
Xin TongDivision for Heart Disease and Stroke Prevention, National Center for Chronic Disease Prevention and Health Promotion, Centers for Disease Control and Prevention, Chamblee, Georgia.
Sadiya S KhanDepartment of Preventive Medicine, Northwestern University Feinberg School of Medicine, Chicago, Illinois.
Nilay S ShahDepartment of Preventive Medicine, Northwestern University Feinberg School of Medicine, Chicago, Illinois.
Sandra L JacksonDivision for Heart Disease and Stroke Prevention, National Center for Chronic Disease Prevention and Health Promotion, Centers for Disease Control and Prevention, Chamblee, Georgia.
Fleetwood LoustalotDivision for Heart Disease and Stroke Prevention, National Center for Chronic Disease Prevention and Health Promotion, Centers for Disease Control and Prevention, Chamblee, Georgia.
Adam S VaughanDivision for Heart Disease and Stroke Prevention, National Center for Chronic Disease Prevention and Health Promotion, Centers for Disease Control and Prevention, Chamblee, Georgia.
Centers for Disease Control and Prevention · USNorthwestern University · US

Funding

MASALA-2G: Multi-level Assessment of the South Asian Life-course of Atherosclerosis (2nd Generation Offspring Study)K23HL157766 · NHLBI · NORTHWESTERN UNIVERSITY AT CHICAGO · PI SHAH, NILAY S. · 2021 to 2025
$873k
NHLBI NIH HHS K23 HL157766
6 · The paper itself

Abstract

introductionCardiovascular disease (CVD) mortality increased during the initial years of the COVID-19 pandemic, but whether these trends endured in 2022 is unknown. This analysis describes temporal trends in CVD death rates from 2010 to 2022 and estimates excess CVD deaths from 2020 to 2022.

methodsUsing national mortality data from the National Vital Statistics System, deaths among adults aged ≥35 years were classified by underlying cause of death International Classification of Diseases 10th Revision codes for CVD (I00-I99), heart disease (I00-I09, I11, I13, I20-I51), and stroke (I60-I69). Analyses in Joinpoint software identified trends in CVD age-adjusted mortality rates (AAMR) per 100,000 and estimated the number of excess CVD deaths from 2020 to 2022.

resultsDuring 2010-2022, 10,951,403 CVD deaths occurred (75.6% heart disease, 16.9% stroke). The national CVD AAMR declined by 8.9% from 2010 to 2019 (456.6-416.0 per 100,000) and then increased by 9.3% from 2019 to 2022 to 454.5 per 100,000, which approximated the 2010 rate (456.7 per 100,000). From 2020 to 2022, 228,524 excess CVD deaths occurred, which was 9% more CVD deaths than expected based on trends from 2010 to 2019. Results varied by CVD subtype and population subgroup.

conclusionsDespite stabilization of the public health emergency, declines in CVD mortality rates reversed in 2020 and remained high in 2022, representing almost a decade of lost progress and over 228,000 excess CVD deaths. Findings underscore the importance of prioritizing prevention and management of CVD to improve outcomes.

Indexed as

Cardiovascular DiseasesHeart DiseasesStrokeAdultCause of DeathHumansMortalityPandemics

Identifiers

PMID37972797
PMCPMC10957309
OpenAlexW4388680806

What OpenQuestion holds

Textmetadata
LicenceTDM
Read underepoch 390

Registered trials

Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.