Evidence map›Paper›PMID 37968377›Full record

ArticleScientific reports2023

Prediction of ovulation: new insight into an old challenge.

Ettie Maman, Eli Y Adashi, Micha Baum, Ariel Hourvitz

Open access · goldAbstract read
In one paragraph

Article in Scientific reports, 2023. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 13 papers.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
13citing papers in PubMed
5.2field-weighted citation impact, top 4% of its field
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

13 citing papers in PubMed, 19 citations in OpenAlex.

  1. Article
  2. Endocrine modulation of cortical and retinal baseline perfusion across the menstrual cycle.Journal of cerebral blood flow and metabolism : official journal of the International Society of Cerebral Blood Flow and Metabolism · 2026
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  10. Review
  11. Thyroid dysfunction in women with a menopausal syndrome.Przeglad menopauzalny = Menopause review · 2024
    Article
  12. Article
  13. Article
4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

4 authors at 2 institutions in 2 countries.

Ettie MamanSheba Medical Center In Vitro Fertilization Unit, Department of Obstetrics and Gynecology. Sackler School of Medicine, Tel Aviv University, Tel Aviv-Yafo, Israel. ettiemaman@gmail.com.
Eli Y AdashiDepartments of Medical Science and Obstetrics and Gynecology, the Warren Alpert Medical School, Brown University, Providence, RI, 02906, USA.
Micha Baum *Sheba Medical Center In Vitro Fertilization Unit, Department of Obstetrics and Gynecology. Sackler School of Medicine, Tel Aviv University, Tel Aviv-Yafo, Israel.
Ariel Hourvitz *Shamir Medical Center In Vitro Fertilization Unit, Department of Obstetrics and Gynecology. Sackler School of Medicine, Tel Aviv University, Tel Aviv-Yafo, Israel.
Tel Aviv University · ILBrown University · US

Funding

No grant is acknowledged in the PubMed record.

6 · The paper itself

Abstract

Ultrasound monitoring and hormonal blood testing are considered by many as an accurate method to predict ovulation time. However, uniform and validated algorithms for predicting ovulation have yet to be defined. Daily hormonal tests and transvaginal ultrasounds were recorded to develop an algorithm for ovulation prediction. The rupture of the leading ovarian follicle was a marker for ovulation day. The model was validated retrospectively on natural cycles frozen embryo transfer cycles with documented ovulation. Circulating levels of LH or its relative variation failed, by themselves, to reliably predict ovulation. Any decrease in estrogen was 100% associated with ovulation emergence the same day or the next day. Progesterone levels > 2 nmol/L had low specificity to predict ovulation the next day (62.7%), yet its sensitivity was high (91.5%). A model for ovulation prediction, combining the three hormone levels and ultrasound was created with an accuracy of 95% to 100% depending on the combination of the hormone levels. Model validation showed correct ovulation prediction in 97% of these cycles. We present an accurate ovulation prediction algorithm. The algorithm is simple and user-friendly so both reproductive endocrinologists and general practitioners can use it to benefit their patients.

Indexed as

Luteinizing HormoneProgesteroneEstradiolFemaleHumansOvulationRetrospective StudiesEstradiolLuteinizing HormoneProgesterone

Identifiers

PMID37968377
PMCPMC10651856
OpenAlexW4388692043

What OpenQuestion holds

Textmetadata
LicenceCC BY
Read underepoch 390

Registered trials

None linked

Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.