Evidence map›Paper›PMID 37968269›Full record

ArticleNature communications2023

Evaluation of pragmatic oxygenation measurement as a proxy for Covid-19 severity.

Maaike C Swets, Steven Kerr, James Scott-Brown, Adam B Brown, Rishi Gupta, Jonathan E Millar, Enti Spata, Fiona McCurrach, Andrew D Bretherick, Annemarie Docherty and 14 more

Abstract read
In one paragraph

Article in Nature communications, 2023. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 3 papers.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
3citing papers in PubMed
–field-weighted citation impact
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

3 citing papers in PubMed.

  1. Trial
  2. Methodological Considerations in a Trial of Inhaled Aviptadil for COVID-19 Pneumonia.Medical principles and practice : international journal of the Kuwait University, Health Science Centre · 2026
    Article
  3. Article
4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

24 authors.

Maaike C Swets *Roslin Institute, University of Edinburgh, Edinburgh, UK.ORCID 0000-0003-0901-9560
Steven Kerr *Roslin Institute, University of Edinburgh, Edinburgh, UK.
James Scott-BrownSchool of Informatics, University of Edinburgh, Edinburgh, UK.ORCID 0000-0001-5642-8346
Adam B BrownRoslin Institute, University of Edinburgh, Edinburgh, UK.ORCID 0009-0002-1270-928X
Rishi GuptaInstitute for Global Health, University College London, London, UK.ORCID 0000-0002-6257-1285
Jonathan E MillarRoslin Institute, University of Edinburgh, Edinburgh, UK.
Enti SpataMedical Research Council Population Health Research Unit at the University of Oxford, Nuffield Department of Population Health (NDPH), Oxford, UK.
Fiona McCurrachEMERGE, NHS Lothian, Royal Infirmary Edinburgh, Edinburgh, UK.
Andrew D BretherickMRC Human Genetics Unit, Institute of Genetics and Cancer, University of Edinburgh, Western General Hospital, Edinburgh, UK.ORCID 0000-0001-9258-3140
Annemarie DochertyCentre for Medical Informatics, Usher Institute, University of Edinburgh, Edinburgh, UK.ORCID 0000-0001-8277-420X
David HarrisonIntensive Care National Audit & Research Centre, London, UK.
Kathy RowanIntensive Care National Audit & Research Centre, London, UK.ORCID 0000-0001-8217-5602
Neil YoungDepartment of Anaesthesia, Critical Care and Pain Medicine, Royal Infirmary of Edinburgh, Edinburgh, UK.
ISARIC4C Investigators
Geert H GroeneveldDepartment of Infectious Diseases, Leiden University Medical Center, Leiden University, Leiden, The Netherlands.
Jake DunningPandemic Sciences Institute, University of Oxford, Oxford, UK.
Jonathan S Nguyen-Van-TamPopulation and Lifespan Health, University of Nottingham School of Medicine, Nottingham, UK.ORCID 0000-0003-2579-4655
Peter OpenshawNational Heart and Lung Institute, Imperial College London, London, UK.ORCID 0000-0002-7220-2555
Peter W HorbyPandemic Sciences Institute, University of Oxford, Oxford, UK.ORCID 0000-0002-9822-1586
Ewen HarrisonCentre for Medical Informatics, Usher Institute, University of Edinburgh, Edinburgh, UK.ORCID 0000-0002-5018-3066
Natalie StaplinMedical Research Council Population Health Research Unit at the University of Oxford, Nuffield Department of Population Health (NDPH), Oxford, UK.
Malcolm G SempleInstitute of Infection, Veterinary and Ecological Sciences, Faculty of Health and Life Sciences, University of Liverpool, Liverpool, UK.ORCID 0000-0001-9700-0418
Nazir LoneCentre for Medical Informatics, Usher Institute, University of Edinburgh, Edinburgh, UK.ORCID 0000-0003-2707-2779
J Kenneth BaillieRoslin Institute, University of Edinburgh, Edinburgh, UK. j.k.baillie@ed.ac.uk.ORCID 0000-0001-5258-793X

Funding

Medical Research Council MC_PC_19025Medical Research Council MC_PC_20004Wellcome Trust
6 · The paper itself

Abstract

Choosing optimal outcome measures maximizes statistical power, accelerates discovery and improves reliability in early-phase trials. We devised and evaluated a modification to a pragmatic measure of oxygenation function, the [Formula: see text] ratio. Because of the ceiling effect in oxyhaemoglobin saturation, [Formula: see text] ratio ceases to reflect pulmonary oxygenation function at high [Formula: see text] values. We found that the correlation of [Formula: see text] with the reference standard ([Formula: see text]/[Formula: see text] ratio) improves substantially when excluding [Formula: see text] and refer to this measure as [Formula: see text]. Using observational data from 39,765 hospitalised COVID-19 patients, we demonstrate that [Formula: see text] is predictive of mortality, and compare the sample sizes required for trials using four different outcome measures. We show that a significant difference in outcome could be detected with the smallest sample size using [Formula: see text]. We demonstrate that [Formula: see text] is an effective intermediate outcome measure in COVID-19. It is a non-invasive measurement, representative of disease severity and provides greater statistical power.

Indexed as

COVID-19HumansLungReproducibility of ResultsSample Size

Identifiers

PMID37968269
PMCPMC10651917

What OpenQuestion holds

Textmetadata
LicenceCC BY
Read underepoch 390

Registered trials

None linked

Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.