Evidence map›Paper›PMID 37967346›Full record

ArticleEuropace : European pacing, arrhythmias, and cardiac electrophysiology : journal of the working groups on cardiac pacing, arrhythmias, and cardiac cellular electrophysiology of the European Society of Cardiology2023

A proteomic analysis of atrial fibrillation in a prospective longitudinal cohort (AGES-Reykjavik study).

Thorarinn Jonmundsson, Anna E Steindorsdottir, Thomas R Austin, Elisabet A Frick, Gisli T Axelsson, Lenore Launer, Bruce M Psaty, Joseph Loureiro, Anthony P Orth, Thor Aspelund and 5 more

Open access · hybridAbstract read
In one paragraph

Article in Europace : European pacing, arrhythmias, and cardiac electrophysiology : journal of the working groups on cardiac pacing, arrhythmias, and cardiac cellular electrophysiology of the European Society of Cardiology, 2023. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 17 papers, 1 of them a synthesis that pooled it.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
17citing papers in PubMed, 1 pooled it
5.7field-weighted citation impact, top 3% of its field
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

17 citing papers in PubMed, 1 synthesis or guideline pooled it, 26 citations in OpenAlex.

  1. Pooled it
  2. Article
  3. Article
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  5. Article
  6. The impact of low-frequency genetic variants on serum protein levels.bioRxiv : the preprint server for biology · 2026
    Article
  7. Article
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  9. Long-term temporal stability of circulating proteins in older adults.bioRxiv : the preprint server for biology · 2025
    Article
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  14. Review
  15. Review
  16. What the blood knows: predicting atrial fibrillation risk in hypertrophic cardiomyopathy patients.Europace : European pacing, arrhythmias, and cardiac electrophysiology : journal of the working groups on cardiac pacing, arrhythmias, and cardiac cellular electrophysiology of the European Society of Cardiology · 2024
    Article
  17. Article
4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

15 authors at 5 institutions in 3 countries.

Thorarinn JonmundssonIcelandic Heart Association, Holtasmari 1, Kopavogur 201, Iceland.ORCID 0000-0001-9158-0087
Anna E SteindorsdottirFaculty of Medicine, University of Iceland, Reykjavik 101, Iceland.ORCID 0000-0002-2386-5934
Thomas R AustinCardiovascular Health Research Unit, Department of Medicine, University of Washington, Seattle, WA, USA.ORCID 0000-0003-2671-3706
Elisabet A FrickIcelandic Heart Association, Holtasmari 1, Kopavogur 201, Iceland.ORCID 0000-0002-9812-361X
Gisli T AxelssonIcelandic Heart Association, Holtasmari 1, Kopavogur 201, Iceland.ORCID 0000-0002-7156-9080
Lenore LaunerLaboratory of Epidemiology and Population Sciences, Intramural Research Program, National Institute on Aging, Bethesda, MD, USA.ORCID 0000-0002-3238-7612
Bruce M PsatyCardiovascular Health Research Unit, Department of Medicine, University of Washington, Seattle, WA, USA.
Joseph LoureiroNovartis Biomedical Research, Cambridge, MA, USA.ORCID 0000-0001-7222-9160
Anthony P OrthNovartis Biomedical Research, San Diego, CA, USA.ORCID 0009-0005-9865-0494
Thor AspelundIcelandic Heart Association, Holtasmari 1, Kopavogur 201, Iceland.ORCID 0000-0002-7998-5433
Valur EmilssonIcelandic Heart Association, Holtasmari 1, Kopavogur 201, Iceland.ORCID 0000-0001-9982-0524
James S FloydCardiovascular Health Research Unit, Department of Medicine, University of Washington, Seattle, WA, USA.ORCID 0000-0002-0365-9041
Lori JenningsNovartis Biomedical Research, Cambridge, MA, USA.ORCID 0000-0001-5130-8417
Vilmundur GudnasonIcelandic Heart Association, Holtasmari 1, Kopavogur 201, Iceland.
Valborg GudmundsdottirIcelandic Heart Association, Holtasmari 1, Kopavogur 201, Iceland.ORCID 0000-0002-7459-1603
University of Iceland · ISUniversity of Washington · USNovartis (United States) · USGenomics Institute of the Novartis Research Foundation · USInstitute on Aging · US

Funding

Plasma proteomics in CHS and population biologyR01HL144483 · NHLBI · UNIVERSITY OF WASHINGTON · PI DURDA, JON PETER, GERSZTEN, ROBERT E · 2019 to 2022
$6.0M
Subclinical Atrial Fibrillation and Supraventricular Ectopy in the Jackson Heart StudyR01HL142599 · NHLBI · UNIVERSITY OF WASHINGTON · PI FLOYD, JAMES S · 2018 to 2022
$4.9M
Proteomic discovery in an inception cohort of acute myocardial infarction survivorsR01HL149706 · NHLBI · UNIVERSITY OF WASHINGTON · PI FLOYD, JAMES S · 2020 to 2023
$3.0M
Serum proteome analysis of Alzheimer´s disease in a population-based longitudinal cohort study - the AGES Reykjavik studyR01AG065596 · NIA · ICELANDIC HEART ASSOCIATION · PI Valborg Gudmundsdottir · 2021 to 2026
$2.6M
NHLBI NIH HHS R01 HL142599NHLBI NIH HHS R01 HL144483NHLBI NIH HHS R01 HL149706NIA NIH HHS 1R01AG065596-01A1NIA NIH HHS R01 AG065596NINDS NIH HHS
6 · The paper itself

Abstract

aimsAtrial fibrillation (AF) is associated with high risk of comorbidities and mortality. Our aim was to examine causal and predictive relationships between 4137 serum proteins and incident AF in the prospective population-based Age, Gene/Environment Susceptibility-Reykjavik (AGES-Reykjavik) study. METHODS AND

resultsThe study included 4765 participants, of whom 1172 developed AF. Cox proportional hazards regression models were fitted for 4137 baseline protein measurements adjusting for known risk factors. Protein associations were tested for replication in the Cardiovascular Health Study (CHS). Causal relationships were examined in a bidirectional, two-sample Mendelian randomization analysis. The time-dependent area under the receiver operating characteristic curve (AUC)-statistic was examined as protein levels and an AF-polygenic risk score (PRS) were added to clinical risk models. The proteomic signature of incident AF consisted of 76 proteins, of which 63 (83%) were novel and 29 (38%) were replicated in CHS. The signature included both N-terminal prohormone of brain natriuretic peptide (NT-proBNP)-dependent (e.g. CHST15, ATP1B1, and SVEP1) and independent components (e.g. ASPN, AKR1B, and LAMA1/LAMB1/LAMC1). Nine causal candidates were identified (TAGLN, WARS, CHST15, CHMP3, COL15A1, DUSP13, MANBA, QSOX2, and SRL). The reverse causal analysis suggested that most AF-associated proteins were affected by the genetic liability to AF. N-terminal prohormone of brain natriuretic peptide improved the prediction of incident AF events close to baseline with further improvements gained by the AF-PRS at all time points.

conclusionThe AF proteomic signature includes biologically relevant proteins, some of which may be causal. It mainly reflects an NT-proBNP-dependent consequence of the genetic liability to AF. N-terminal prohormone of brain natriuretic peptide is a promising marker for incident AF in the short term, but risk assessment incorporating a PRS may improve long-term risk assessment.

Indexed as

Atrial FibrillationBiomarkersEndosomal Sorting Complexes Required for TransportHumansNatriuretic Peptide, BrainOxidoreductases Acting on Sulfur Group DonorsPeptide FragmentsPrognosisProspective StudiesProteomicsRisk FactorsBiomarkersCHMP3 protein, humanEndosomal Sorting Complexes Required for TransportNatriuretic Peptide, BrainOxidoreductases Acting on Sulfur Group DonorsPeptide FragmentsQSOX2 protein, humanAtrial fibrillationMendelian randomizationNT-proBNPPolygenic risk scorePredictionProteomics

Identifiers

PMID37967346
PMCPMC10685397
OpenAlexW4388686383

What OpenQuestion holds

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LicenceCC BY-NC
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Registered trials

None linked

Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.