Ethnic inequities in routine childhood vaccinations in England 2006-2021: an observational cohort study using electronic health records.

Background: Population groups that are underserved by England's childhood vaccination programme must be identified to address the country's declining vaccination coverage. We examined routine childhood vaccination coverage in England by maternal ethnicity between 2006 and 2021. Methods: We created first, second and fifth birthday cohorts using mother-child linked electronic health records from the Clinical Practice Research Datalink (CPRD) Aurum. After validation against the UK Health Security Agency (UKHSA) and National Health Service England (NHSE) annual statistical reports, we described vaccination coverage for each vaccine by ethnicity and year. We used modified Poisson regression to analyse the effect of ethnicity on receiving the primary and full course of each vaccine. Findings: Up to 1,170,804 children born after 1 April 2006 were included in the first birthday cohort, reducing to 645,492 by the fifth birthday. Children were followed up until 31 March 2021 at the latest. Children born to mothers in 9 minority ethnic groups and those of unknown ethnicity had lower vaccination coverage (61.3-97.5%) than the White British group (79.9-97.8%) for all vaccines. Indian, Pakistani, Bangladeshi, Chinese, Any other Asian background, and White and Asian ethnic groups had similar vaccination coverage to the White British group (above 90% for most vaccines in most years). Inequities particularly affected the Caribbean group (e.g. 61% coverage for the 6/5/4-in-1 full course in 2020-21 by children's fifth birthday; RR 0.66, 95% CI 0.6-0.74 compared with the White British group) and Any other Black, African and Caribbean background (e.g. coverage 68% for the MMR primary course in 2020-21; RR 0.71, 95% CI 0.64-0.78). These inequities widened over the study period. For example, the absolute difference in coverage between the Caribbean and White British groups for the full course of MMR increased from 12% in 2011-12 to 22% in 2019-20. These inequities remained even after accounting for sociodemographic, maternal and birth related factors, and also widened from primary course to full course. Interpretation: Our findings suggest that urgent policy action is needed to address the ethnic inequities throughout England's routine childhood vaccination programme, which have been worsening over time. Funding: University of Oxford Clarendon Fund, St Cross College and Nuffield Department of Population Health.