Evidence map›Paper›PMID 37963607›Full record

ArticleBMJ global health2023

Building upon the sugar beverage tax in Mexico: a modelling study of tax alternatives to increase benefits.

Juan Carlos Salgado Hernández, Ana Basto-Abreu, Isabel Junquera-Badilla, Luis Alberto Moreno-Aguilar, Tonatiuh Barrientos-Gutiérrez, M Arantxa Colchero

Abstract read
In one paragraph

Article in BMJ global health, 2023. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 7 papers.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
7citing papers in PubMed
–field-weighted citation impact
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

7 citing papers in PubMed.

  1. Article
  2. Article
  3. Article
  4. Article
  5. Article
  6. Article
  7. Article
4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

6 authors.

Juan Carlos Salgado HernándezNational Council for Science and Technology and Center for Nutrition and Health Research, National Institute of Public Health, Cuernavaca, Mexico.
Ana Basto-AbreuCenter for Population and Health Research, National Institute of Public Health, Cuernavaca, Mexico.
Isabel Junquera-BadillaCenter for Population and Health Research, National Institute of Public Health, Cuernavaca, Mexico.
Luis Alberto Moreno-AguilarCenter for Evaluation and Surveys Research, National Institute of Public Health, Cuernavaca, Mexico.
Tonatiuh Barrientos-GutiérrezCenter for Population and Health Research, National Institute of Public Health, Cuernavaca, Mexico.
M Arantxa ColcheroCenter for Evaluation and Surveys Research, National Institute of Public Health, Cuernavaca, Mexico acolchero@insp.mx.ORCID 0000-0002-4891-7120

Funding

No grant is acknowledged in the PubMed record.

6 · The paper itself

Abstract

introductionIn 2014, Mexico implemented a one peso-per-litre tax to sugar-sweetened beverage (SSB). Even though this tax reduced household purchases and predicted population health gains, the magnitude is lower compared with taxes implemented in other settings. In this study, we assessed what would happen if Mexico modified its existing tax to get higher benefits based on currently implemented taxes elsewhere.

methodsFor each tax scenario, we estimated net benefits as the difference between healthcare savings and lost jobs. We created hypothetical scenarios in which the current tax doubled or would be modified based on existing tax designs around the world including specific taxes (sugar-density or volumetric) and ad-valorem taxes.

resultsWe found that the largest benefits would correspond to a tax increase of 7.4 Mexican pesos (0.45 US dollars (USD)) per SSB litre, following the current tax in Bahrain (the highest tax rate option). This tax is predicted to yield net benefits equivalent to USD 24.7 billion after 10 years of the tax redesign. We also found that sugar-density taxes can result in larger net benefits since, in addition to reductions in consumption associated with responses to prices, they induce product reformulation. Middle-income households are the most benefited group because they reported the highest baseline prevalence of obesity and the largest price elasticity.

conclusionPolicymakers should consider pursuing a tax reform adding to the current tax, with significant increases in prices linked to a sugar-density strategy to reach a higher benefit.

Indexed as

BeveragesSugarsHumansMexicoObesityTaxesSugarsHealth policyMathematical modellingPublic Health

Identifiers

PMID37963607
PMCPMC10649495

What OpenQuestion holds

Textmetadata
LicenceCC BY-NC
Read underepoch 390

Registered trials

None linked

Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.