Evidence map›Paper›PMID 37954725›Full record

ArticleCureus2023

Severe Acute Pancreatitis Prediction: A Model Derived From a Prospective Registry Cohort.

Juan Carlos Barrera Gutierrez, Ian Greenburg, Jimmy Shah, Priyanka Acharya, Mingyang Cui, Elaina Vivian, Brad Sellers, Prashant Kedia, Paul R Tarnasky

Abstract read
In one paragraph

Article in Cureus, 2023. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 9 papers.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
9citing papers in PubMed
–field-weighted citation impact
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

9 citing papers in PubMed.

  1. Article
  2. Article
  3. Acute pancreatitis: mechanisms and therapeutic approaches.Signal transduction and targeted therapy · 2026
    Review
  4. Article
  5. Article
  6. Article
  7. Diagnostic and therapeutic management of severe acute pancreatitis. Evidence based medicine (EBM) clinical practice guidelines.Wideochirurgia i inne techniki maloinwazyjne = Videosurgery and other miniinvasive techniques · 2025
    Article
  8. Article
  9. Article
4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

9 authors.

Juan Carlos Barrera GutierrezMethodist Digestive Institute, Methodist Health System, Dallas, USA.
Ian GreenburgGastroenterology Fellowship Program, Methodist Health System, Dallas, USA.
Jimmy ShahMethodist Digestive Institute, Methodist Health System, Dallas, USA.
Priyanka AcharyaClinical Research Institute, Methodist Health System, Dallas, USA.
Mingyang CuiMethodist Digestive Institute, Methodist Health System, Dallas, USA.
Elaina VivianPerformance Improvement, Methodist Health System, Dallas, USA.
Brad SellersEmergency, Methodist Health System, Dallas, USA.
Prashant KediaGastroenterology, Methodist Health System, Dallas, USA.
Paul R TarnaskyGastroenterology, Methodist Health System, Dallas, USA.

Funding

No grant is acknowledged in the PubMed record.

6 · The paper itself

Abstract

Background Severe acute pancreatitis (SAP) has a mortality rate as high as 40%. Early identification of SAP is required to appropriately triage and direct initial therapies. The purpose of this study was to develop a prognostic model that identifies patients at risk for developing SAP of patients managed according to a guideline-based standardized early medical management (EMM) protocol. Methods This single-center study included all patients diagnosed with acute pancreatitis (AP) and managed with the EMM protocol Methodist Acute Pancreatitis Protocol (MAPP) between April 2017 and September 2022. Classification and regression tree (CART®; Professional Extended Edition, version 8.0; Salford Systems, San Diego, CA), univariate, and logistic regression analyses were performed to develop a scoring system for AP severity prediction. The accuracy of the scoring system was measured by the area under the receiver operating characteristic curve. Results A total of 516 patients with mild (n=436) or moderately severe and severe (n=80) AP were analyzed. CART analysis identified the cutoff values: creatinine (CR) (1.15 mg/dL), white blood cells (WBC) (10.5 × 10

Indexed as

acute pancreatitisearly medical managementprognosticationsevere acute pancreatitisseverity prediction

Identifiers

PMID37954725
PMCPMC10636501

What OpenQuestion holds

Textmetadata
LicenceCC BY
Read underepoch 390

Registered trials

None linked

Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.