Evidence map›Paper›PMID 37953870›Full record

ArticleBJR open2023

CT image-based biomarkers acquired by AI-based algorithms for the opportunistic prediction of falls.

Daniel Liu, Neil C Binkley, Alberto Perez, John W Garrett, Ryan Zea, Ronald M Summers, Perry J Pickhardt

Open access · goldAbstract read
In one paragraph

Article in BJR open, 2023. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 7 papers, 1 of them a synthesis that pooled it.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
7citing papers in PubMed, 1 pooled it
5.8field-weighted citation impact, top 4% of its field
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

7 citing papers in PubMed, 1 synthesis or guideline pooled it, 8 citations in OpenAlex.

  1. Pooled it
  2. Article
  3. Article
  4. Article
  5. Optimizing region of interest size and placement for clinical opportunistic CT trabecular bone Hounsfield unit measurements.Osteoporosis international : a journal established as result of cooperation between the European Foundation for Osteoporosis and the National Osteoporosis Foundation of the USA · 2025
    Article
  6. Article
  7. Review
4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

7 authors at 2 institutions in 1 country.

Daniel LiuDepartment of Radiology, University of Wisconsin School of Medicine & Public Health, Madison, WI, USA.
Neil C BinkleyOsteoporosis Clinical Research Program, University of Wisconsin School of Medicine & Public Health, Madison, WI, USA.
Alberto PerezDepartment of Radiology, University of Wisconsin School of Medicine & Public Health, Madison, WI, USA.
John W GarrettDepartment of Radiology, University of Wisconsin School of Medicine & Public Health, Madison, WI, USA.
Ryan ZeaDepartment of Radiology, University of Wisconsin School of Medicine & Public Health, Madison, WI, USA.
Ronald M SummersImaging Biomarkers and Computer-Aided Diagnosis Laboratory, Department of Radiology and Imaging Sciences, National Institutes of Health Clinical Center, Bethesda, MD, USA.
Perry J PickhardtDepartment of Radiology, University of Wisconsin School of Medicine & Public Health, Madison, WI, USA.
University of Wisconsin–Madison · USNational Institutes of Health Clinical Center · US

Funding

No grant is acknowledged in the PubMed record.

6 · The paper itself

Abstract

Objective: Evaluate whether biomarkers measured by automated artificial intelligence (AI)-based algorithms are suggestive of future fall risk. Methods: In this retrospective age- and sex-matched case-control study, 9029 total patients underwent initial abdominal CT for a variety of indications over a 20-year interval at one institution. 3535 case patients (mean age at initial CT, 66.5 ± 9.6 years; 63.4% female) who went on to fall (mean interval to fall, 6.5 years) and 5494 controls (mean age at initial CT, 66.7 ± 9.8 years; 63.4% females; mean follow-up interval, 6.6 years) were included. Falls were identified by electronic health record review. Validated and fully automated quantitative CT algorithms for skeletal muscle, adipose tissue, and trabecular bone attenuation at the level of L1 were applied to all scans. Uni- and multivariate assessment included hazard ratios (HRs) and area under the receiver operating characteristic (AUROC) curve. Results: Fall HRs (with 95% CI) for low muscle Hounsfield unit, high total adipose area, and low bone Hounsfield unit were 1.82 (1.65-2.00), 1.31 (1.19-1.44) and 1.91 (1.74-2.11), respectively, and the 10-year AUROC values for predicting falls were 0.619, 0.556, and 0.639, respectively. Combining all these CT biomarkers further improved the predictive value, including 10-year AUROC of 0.657. Conclusion: Automated abdominal CT-based opportunistic measures of muscle, fat, and bone offer a novel approach to risk stratification for future falls, potentially by identifying patients with osteosarcopenic obesity. Advances in knowledge: There are few well-established clinical tools to predict falls. We use novel AI-based body composition algorithms to leverage incidental CT data to help determine a patient's future fall risk.

Identifiers

PMID37953870
PMCPMC10636337
OpenAlexW4376956056

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Registered trials

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Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.